Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Philadelphia Union II welcome Atlanta United II to Subaru Park in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 23 May 2026, with both sides eyeing early-season positioning in the Eastern Conference picture. The venue in Chester, Pennsylvania has hosted several dramatic meetings between these clubs in recent years, and this fixture again carries weight in the divisional and conference races.

Union II come into this one with 15 points from 10 matches, sitting 4th in the Northeast Division and 9th in the Eastern Conference. Their campaign has been streaky, with a pure win-or-lose profile (5 wins, 5 defeats, 0 draws) and a narrow positive goal difference. For Atlanta United II, the stakes are about consolidating a strong start: they have 19 points from 10 games, rank 2nd in the Central Division and 4th in the Eastern Conference, and currently occupy a “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” position.

Stats suggest a classic clash between a home side that tends to keep games relatively tight and an away team that has been one of the more free-scoring outfits in the competition. For those looking for Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II predictions and betting tips, the contrast between Union II’s 1.3 goals per game and Atlanta II’s 2.0 goals per game stands out, as does the rich recent head-to-head history at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Key Stats

• Philadelphia Union II have taken 15 points from 10 league games (5 wins, 5 losses, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 10.
• Across their last five head-to-head meetings in MLS Next Pro (since April 2023), Philadelphia Union II lead the series with 4 wins and 1 defeat.
• Atlanta United II average 2.0 goals per match this season (20 scored in 10 games), while Philadelphia Union II average 1.3 goals per match.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 9 vs 4
• Points: 15 vs 19
• Goals For: 12 vs 20
• Goals Against: 10 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Philadelphia Union II 2; Atlanta United II 2

In the Eastern Conference table, Atlanta United II have the edge: 19 points from 10 games, a +7 goal difference and a confirmed place in the current play-off positions. They have won 6 and lost 4 with no draws, underlining their high-variance, high-reward style. Their attack has been prolific, with 20 goals scored, and they have shown they can carry that threat away from home with 14 away goals.

Philadelphia Union II, 9th in the Eastern Conference, trail by four points and sit in mid-table with a goal difference of +2. Their 12 goals for and 10 against point to tighter margins, but their record of 3 wins and 4 defeats in 7 home matches suggests Subaru Park has not been a fortress so far. With both sides yet to draw a game this season, the numbers back a result-driven encounter rather than a stalemate.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Key Matchups

Stas Kornzeniowski vs Liam Butts

With no explicit top-scorer statistics listed, this matchup focuses on two experienced attacking options from the available squads. For Philadelphia Union II, Stas Kornzeniowski offers a focal point in the final third, supported by a side that averages 1.3 goals per game and has produced a biggest home win of 4-1 this season. His role will be to capitalise on a defence that concedes 1.4 goals per match on average.

For Atlanta United II, Liam Butts headlines a forward line that has fired 20 goals in 10 matches, including a biggest away win of 2-6. Atlanta II’s last-five attacking metrics (13 goals in 5 games, 2.6 per match) underline the threat that players like Butts pose. If Atlanta’s forwards maintain that output, Union II’s back line, which concedes 1.1 goals per game, will be under sustained pressure.

Edward Davis vs C. Togashi

Edward Davis is one of the notable attacking names in the Union II squad and will be vital in transition. Philadelphia’s offensive profile shows they tend to strike heavily in the 16-45 minute window, with 8 of their 13 league goals coming between minutes 16 and 45. Davis’s movement and ability to exploit those phases could be crucial in unsettling Atlanta’s back line.

On the other side, veteran attacker C. Togashi brings experience to an Atlanta United II side that often grows into games, with 13 of their 20 league goals scored after half-time. With Atlanta averaging 2.0 goals per game and often surging between minutes 46 and 90, Togashi’s presence in the box and link play can tilt the contest if Union II tire late on.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have built a rich recent rivalry across MLS Next Pro and the USL Championship. The last five MLS Next Pro clashes have largely favoured Philadelphia Union II, but Atlanta United II have enjoyed their own big wins in earlier USL Championship meetings. The pattern is of high-scoring, often decisive contests rather than cagey affairs.

• 10 April 2025: Philadelphia Union II 5-1 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 29 September 2024: Philadelphia Union II 2-1 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 15 April 2024: Atlanta United II 0-5 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro)
• 9 June 2023: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 30 April 2023: Atlanta United II 1-0 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro)

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Prediction

Form and underlying metrics point towards Atlanta United II having a slight edge despite Union II’s strong recent head-to-head record. Atlanta’s last-five form stands at 80%, with 13 goals scored and only 5 conceded, while Philadelphia’s last five show just 4 goals for and 7 against. Atlanta’s attack is more explosive, averaging 2.0 goals per game, and they have already won 4 of 7 away fixtures.

However, the head-to-head comparison favours Philadelphia (80% vs 20%), and Union II have produced some emphatic wins at Subaru Park, including the 5-1 victory on 10 April 2025. The prediction percentages give Atlanta United II and the draw equal weight at 45% each, with Philadelphia down at 10%. That suggests the away side are more likely to avoid defeat, but the historical matchups warn against writing off Union II entirely. Expect Atlanta to control large spells and create more chances, with Union II dangerous in key periods before the break.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union II 1-2 Atlanta United II

Philadelphia Union II League Form

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Atlanta United II League Form

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Philadelphia Union II Possible Starting Lineup

Pierce Holbrook; A. Craig, J. Griffin, L. Harrington, K. Moore; O. Benitez, M. Berthe, Paco Dadi, K. LeBlanc; Stas Kornzeniowski, Sal Olivas.

Union II have a youthful squad with depth in every line, especially in defence and midfield, where options like A. Craig, J. Griffin and K. Moore provide energy at the back, while O. Benitez and M. Berthe can anchor the centre. In attack, Stas Kornzeniowski and Sal Olivas are natural focal points, supported by several teenage forwards. Tactically, they are likely to line up in a balanced shape, looking to keep things compact against Atlanta’s potent attack and break quickly through their mobile front line.

Atlanta United II Possible Starting Lineup

R. Clarson; D. Chica, D. Chong Qui, Mohamed Cisset, I. Ettinger; L. Brennan, A. Fortune, Adrian Gill, S. Pita; Liam Butts, C. Togashi.

Atlanta United II’s squad blend experience and youth, particularly in midfield where players like A. Fortune and Adrian Gill can dictate tempo. At the back, D. Chica and Mohamed Cisset headline a defence that has kept 2 clean sheets, while in attack, Liam Butts and C. Togashi spearhead a unit averaging 2.0 goals per game. Expect an aggressive, front-foot setup that looks to exploit their strong second-half scoring record and stretch Union II’s defensive structure.

Philadelphia Union II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Atlanta United II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Philadelphia Union II:

• None reported.

Atlanta United II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Atlanta United II in the match result market. Their last-five form (80%), stronger goal difference (+7 vs +2), and 2.0 goals per game average, combined with the prediction edge towards Atlanta avoiding defeat, point to value on the away side. (No odds data available.)
• Goals Tip: Consider backing over 2.5 goals. Atlanta United II matches average 3.4 total goals per game (20 for, 14 against in 10), while Philadelphia Union II games average 2.2 goals. Recent head-to-heads at Subaru Park have produced scorelines of 5-1 and 2-1, reinforcing a high-scoring trend. (No odds data available.)
• Value Tip: Look at Atlanta United II to score at least 2 goals. They have scored 14 goals in 7 away matches (2.0 per game) and 13 goals in their last five overall, while Union II concede 1.1 goals per game and have struggled defensively late on, with 44.44% of their goals against coming between minutes 76 and 90. (No odds data available.)

How to Watch Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.