AC Milan vs Inter Milan: Predictions, Lineups, Odds & Tips for the Milan Derby

Odds are provided by bet365, valid at the time of publishing and may change.

• First half 1x2: Draw @ 11/8 with bet365
• 1x2: AC Milan @ 7/4 with bet365
• First half BTTS: Yes @ 11/5 with bet365

Level at the break expected

Both teams will field many fringe players, so their usual tight defenses might loosen early on. Last season, Milan and Inter each conceded just 35 goals across 38 Serie A matches, but with rotations, their defensive shape might suffer in the first half.

Milan rarely led at halftime last season, being behind or level in 74% of games. Inter had the fewest first-half goals in Serie A, with 21% of their matches scoreless at the break, and no lead at halftime in 45% of fixtures. Both clubs have yet to lead at halftime during this pre-season.

The Nerazzurri were tied at halftime against both Karlsruhe and Manchester City in friendlies, while Milan trailed 2-0 at the break before rallying late in their opener. Two of their last four meetings ended in a halftime draw, so we expect parity after 45 minutes in Perth.

Tip 1: First half 1x2 - Draw @ 11/8 with bet365

Milan aiming to keep streak alive

Though many would pick Inter to dominate, recent results show AC Milan has often held the upper hand. Despite Inter's Scudetto win last season, Milan completed the league double with two 1-0 victories. Inter hasn’t beaten Milan since April 2024, going seven matches without a win.

Amorim'sMilan to pull off an upset seems reasonable, especially as Inter will be missing some key players.

Tip 2: 1x2 - AC Milan @ 7/4 with bet365

Goals expected early on

Although the first half may end level, it probably won’t be goalless. Inter scored 89 goals in Serie A last year, showing strong attacking power. Milan ranked sixth in scoring with 53 goals, so they aren’t shy up front either.

Last season, both teams scored in the first half in 21% of Milan's league matches, ranking third in Serie A. Inter led this category with 24%. Overall, both teams found the net in 47% of their league encounters. Inter also managed to score or concede within the first 15 minutes in 14 out of 38 games, the third highest in the league behind Como and Sassuolo.

Tip 3: First half BTTS - Yes @ 11/5 with bet365

Team form and predictions

The Derby di Milano takes place midweek in Australia, featuring two Italian giants. AC Milan is under new management after Ruben Amorim replaced Massimiliano Allegri, who was dismissed following a missed Champions League qualification last season.

Amorim’s squad has started pre-season, but many regular starters remain absent. Some key players like Rafael Leao and Luka Modric have traveled to Perth but likely won't play extended minutes here.

Similarly, Christian Chivu’s Inter Milan squad is still reintegrating first-team players. As reigning Italian champions aiming to defend their domestic double, they’ve begun well with two wins in friendlies, including a penalty shootout victory over Manchester City after a 1-1 draw in regular time. They will want a strong showing before facing Juventus this weekend.

• Score Prediction: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
• Goalscorers Prediction:
• AC Milan: Francesco Camarda x2, Ruben Loftus-Cheek
• Inter Milan: Francesco Esposito, Andy Diouf

Expected lineups

• AC Milan: Torriani, Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Comotto, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Ossola, Camarda
• Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Bisseck, Bastoni, Diouf, Barella, Stankovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Esposito, Iddrissou