Sixyard logo

CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Two players competing during Liga de Expansión MX match
Liga de Expansión MX

CDS Tampico Madero and Tepatitlán meet at Estadio Tamaulipas in the Clausura Final of Liga de Expansión MX on 31 May 2026, with the hosts needing a big response after falling behind in the title decider. With the first leg in Tepatitlán ending 3-1 in favour of the Jalisco side, Tampico Madero now return to their own stadium knowing only a multi-goal win will be enough to turn the tie around.

From a broader Clausura perspective, Tepatitlán arrive as the benchmark side. They topped the Primera A: Clausura group with 26 points from 14 matches, while Tampico Madero finished fifth in the same phase with 21 points. The visitors combined that league consistency with a strong recent head-to-head record, giving them a clear edge in most CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán predictions for this second leg.

For the hosts, the narrative is different when you factor in their home strength and Apertura campaign. Tampico Madero were unbeaten in the Apertura group, taking 30 points from 14 games and earning a place in the play-offs quarter-finals. Back at Estadio Tamaulipas, in front of their own supporters and on familiar turf, they will believe they can at least win on the night, even if overturning Tepatitlán’s aggregate advantage remains a huge challenge.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán Key Stats

  • CDS Tampico Madero went unbeaten in the Apertura group, taking 30 points from 14 games with 24 goals scored and 15 conceded.
  • Tepatitlán have won the last two meetings, including a 3-1 home victory in the Clausura Final on 24 May 2026.
  • Across the current campaign, Tepatitlán have kept 14 clean sheets in all league fixtures, compared to Tampico Madero’s 13.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 5 vs 1
  • Points: 21 vs 26
  • Goals For: 15 vs 21
  • Goals Against: 15 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: 13 vs 14

In the Clausura phase, Tepatitlán finished top of the group with 26 points from 14 matches, built on a solid 7 wins, 5 draws and only 2 defeats. They scored 21 goals and conceded just 10, underlining a balanced side that combines reliable attacking output with one of the strongest defences in the competition.

CDS Tampico Madero’s Clausura numbers are more modest: 21 points from 14 games, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, and an even 15 goals scored and 15 conceded. However, their Apertura performance — third place with 30 points, 24 goals for and 15 against, and no defeats — shows a higher ceiling, especially at Estadio Tamaulipas where they were particularly strong. The clash therefore pits Tepatitlán’s current-form consistency against a Tampico side that has shown a strong home profile over the longer term.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán Key Matchups

CDS Tampico Madero attack vs Tepatitlán defence

Without specific individual scoring or assist data, the battle is best framed collectively. Tampico Madero’s league record across the campaign indicates an average of 1.7 goals per game at home and 1.0 away, for a total of 54 goals in 41 fixtures. That output suggests they are capable of creating pressure at Estadio Tamaulipas, particularly in the middle phases of matches where a significant portion of their goals arrive between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes.

They face a Tepatitlán back line that has conceded only 34 goals in 39 league fixtures overall, with an average of 0.7 goals against at home and 1.1 away. With 14 clean sheets in total, the visitors have repeatedly shown they can manage leads and shut down games, something they will look to repeat with a two-goal aggregate cushion in this final.

Midfield control: Tampico’s build-up vs Tepatitlán’s pressing

Both sides have similar overall goal averages (1.3 goals for per match), but the timing of those goals hints at different tactical tendencies. Tampico Madero’s scoring is spread relatively evenly, with spikes early in each half, while Tepatitlán are particularly dangerous late on, with 20 of their league goals coming between 76-90 minutes. That places a premium on Tampico’s midfield structure and game management: they must not only create enough chances to threaten Tepatitlán’s defence, but also maintain concentration and energy levels to avoid being punished in the closing stages.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have seen a lot of each other in recent months, with Tepatitlán holding the upper hand in the most recent clashes. Across the last five meetings listed below, Tepatitlán have three wins, Tampico Madero have one, and there has been one draw.

  • 24 May 2026: Tepatitlán 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero (Liga de Expansión MX, Clausura - Final)
  • 17 May 2026: Tepatitlán 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero (Liga de Expansión MX, Clausura - Final)
  • 10 May 2026: CDS Tampico Madero 0-0 Tepatitlán (Liga de Expansión MX, Clausura - Play Offs)
  • 18 January 2026: CDS Tampico Madero 0-1 Tepatitlán (Liga de Expansión MX, Clausura - 2)
  • 23 November 2025: CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Tepatitlán (Liga de Expansión MX, Apertura - Semi-finals)

CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán Prediction

Stats suggest Tepatitlán come into this second leg in better overall shape. Their comparison metrics lean their way in form (64% vs 36%), attack (60% vs 40%) and defence (67% vs 33%). The head-to-head comparison also favours the visitors, who lead 71% to 29% in the recent matchup metrics and have already beaten Tampico Madero twice in the current final series.

However, Tampico Madero’s strong long-term home record and their unbeaten Apertura campaign at Estadio Tamaulipas mean this is unlikely to be a straightforward away win on the night. With the predictions leaning towards a Tepatitlán “win or draw” and a low-scoring encounter (under 3.5 goals), a tight, tactical game looks likely, with the visitors prioritising control and game management to protect their aggregate advantage.

Predicted Score: CDS Tampico Madero 1-1 Tepatitlán

CDS Tampico Madero League Form

WWDDD

Tepatitlán League Form

DWDWL

CDS Tampico Madero Possible Starting Lineup

J. García; C. González, A. Portales, E. Garcia, A. Escoboza; L. Bocco, R. Dominguez, É. Torres, O. Soto; J. Martínez, J. Peralta.

Tampico Madero have several options across the pitch, with experience in goal through J. García and depth in the defensive line via players such as C. González, A. Portales and A. Escoboza. In midfield, the likes of L. Bocco, R. Dominguez and É. Torres provide a mix of energy and control, while forwards such as J. Martínez and J. Peralta give the hosts enough attacking variety to chase the goals they need. Expect an aggressive posture from the outset, with full-backs pushing high and multiple attackers on the pitch.

Tepatitlán Possible Starting Lineup

G. Gutiérrez; I. Domínguez, A. Martinez, J. A. Moreno Villegas, M. Pinela; W. Guzmán, J. Gómez, K. Gonzalez, L. Sámano; U. Cardona, Lucas Lazarte.

Tepatitlán’s squad profile suggests a balanced XI with experience at the back and in midfield. Goalkeeper G. Gutiérrez anchors a defence that has been difficult to break down all season, while midfielders such as W. Guzmán and J. Gómez can help control tempo and possession. In attack, options like U. Cardona and Lucas Lazarte provide mobility and finishing threat on the counter, a key weapon when protecting a lead away from home.

CDS Tampico Madero Team News

No significant absences reported.

Tepatitlán Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

CDS Tampico Madero:

  • None reported.

Tepatitlán:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Draw or Tepatitlán (Double Chance). With the prediction explicitly favouring Tepatitlán “win or draw” and the percentage split giving the hosts only 10% compared to 45% each for draw and away win, backing the visitors on the double chance market is the logical play.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Both teams average around 1.3 goals scored per match across the campaign, and the prediction advice points directly to under 3.5 goals. Recent head-to-heads at Estadio Tamaulipas have also produced tight scorelines, including 0-0 and 1-0 results.
  • Value Tip: Tepatitlán to qualify / lift the trophy. Tepatitlán lead the aggregate after a 3-1 home win and have the stronger recent form and head-to-head record. Their defensive solidity (only 10 goals conceded in the Clausura group and 14 clean sheets overall) underpins strong value on any market related to them ultimately winning the tie.

How to Watch CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.