Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Chicago Fire II host New York RB II at SeatGeek Stadium on 12 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could reshape the Eastern Conference picture. With both sides firmly in the playoff conversation, this fixture doubles as a statement game between two of the division’s most volatile, attack-minded teams.

Chicago Fire II come into the match sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference with 24 points from 16 games, built entirely on wins and losses – no draws so far. New York RB II, meanwhile, are better placed at 3rd in the conference on 32 points from 17 matches and currently on course for the MLS Next Pro Play Offs. For Chicago, this is about closing an eight-point gap and proving they can handle one of the conference’s most explosive attacks; for New York RB II, it’s a chance to consolidate a top playoff seed and underline their superiority in this rivalry.

With recent head-to-heads producing scorelines like 9-2, 5-3 and 5-5, this fixture has become one of MLS Next Pro’s must-watch attacking showcases. Expect plenty of interest from bettors and fans looking for Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II predictions, goal markets, and high-scoring betting tips around this matchup.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Stats

• Chicago Fire II have 24 points from 16 matches, with 24 goals scored and 24 conceded in the standings – perfectly balanced at both ends.
• The most recent competitive meeting on 26 October 2025 ended New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II after extra time in the MLS Next Pro Quarter-finals, underlining the attacking nature of this rivalry.
• In 2026 tournament statistics, New York RB II average 2.4 goals scored per match across 17 games, compared to Chicago Fire II’s 1.7, highlighting a clear attacking edge for the visitors.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 10 vs 3
• Points: 24 vs 32
• Goals For: 24 vs 39
• Goals Against: 24 vs 24
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Fire II 3 vs New York RB II 3 (tournament statistics)

Standings underline the contrast in profiles. Chicago Fire II are 10th in the Eastern Conference with a 8–0–8 record from 16 games, a zero goal difference (24 scored, 24 conceded), and a very streaky form line. They have been strong at home with 5 wins and 2 losses from 7 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9.

New York RB II sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference on 32 points from 17 games, with 10 wins and 7 losses and no draws. Their +15 goal difference (39 scored, 24 conceded) is one of the best in the conference. They have been particularly ruthless at home (28 goals in 9 games), but still decent away with 4 wins and 4 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Both sides have kept 3 clean sheets in tournament statistics, but New York’s superior scoring power and overall differential give them the edge in the table.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Matchups

O. Glasgow vs Shunya Sakai

With limited individual stats available, this matchup is more about roles and usage. Chicago forward O. Glasgow is one of the more experienced attackers in a youthful Fire II squad, expected to carry a significant share of the goal threat at SeatGeek Stadium. His movement and finishing will be crucial against a New York RB II back line that has conceded 27 goals in 17 matches but tends to allow open, end-to-end games.

On the other side, Shunya Sakai stands out as a notable young defender for New York RB II. At just 18, he already appears in both top scorers and top assists lists for the club in 2026, albeit without a goal or assist yet in his single appearance. His inclusion across multiple leaderboards suggests trust from the coaching staff and potential importance in build-up and defensive structure. How he and the rest of the Red Bulls II defence cope with Chicago’s direct attacking threats like Glasgow could tilt the balance, especially given Chicago’s 2.1 goals-per-game average at home in tournament statistics.

Chicago midfield engine vs New York RB II high-press midfield unit

Chicago Fire II’s midfield, populated by players such as H. Osorio, Samuel Williams and C. Cassano, will have to manage tempo and protect a defence that concedes 1.7 goals per match in tournament statistics. Their ability to retain possession and break New York’s press will be vital; Chicago’s overall scoring average of 1.7 per game shows they can hurt teams when they find rhythm.

New York RB II’s midfield group, including options like N. Benedetti, M. Morigi and A. Jarvis, underpins a side that averages 2.4 goals per game and has produced a biggest home win of 5-0. Their central unit drives the high tempo that leads to late goals – a significant share of their strikes arrive between 61–90 minutes. If they can overrun Chicago’s midfield, the visitors’ superior attacking metrics and 5-game winning streak earlier in the season suggest they can create enough chances to justify their status as favourites.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This rivalry has been one of the most entertaining in MLS Next Pro, with matches routinely producing high scorelines and dramatic swings. Recent meetings show both sides capable of big wins, but New York RB II have often had the upper hand at home.

• 26 October 2025: New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Quarter-finals)
• 24 August 2025: New York RB II 1-0 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 31)
• 27 July 2025: Chicago Fire II 9-2 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 26)
• 06 April 2025: New York RB II 3-2 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 5)
• 13 September 2024: Chicago Fire II 2-1 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 36)

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction

Stats suggest another high-variance, high-scoring contest. Chicago Fire II are strong at SeatGeek Stadium and have produced some spectacular attacking displays against New York RB II in the past, including the 9-2 win in July 2025. Their 2026 tournament numbers show 27 goals scored and 27 conceded in 16 games, with only 2 matches where they failed to score.

New York RB II, however, arrive with the stronger overall profile. They have 39 goals in 17 matches, a better goal difference, and a more consistent winning habit. Over their last five games, they have scored 13 goals (2.6 per match) and conceded 9, and comparison indices slightly favour them in attack and defence. The prediction model gives Chicago only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an away win rated at 45% each, and the official advice leans towards New York RB II avoiding defeat with at least two total goals in the game.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire II 1-2 New York RB II

Chicago Fire II Recent Form

Chicago Fire II’s recent form in the standings is mixed and streaky. Their sequence includes short winning runs followed by clusters of defeats, reflecting a team that either fully clicks or falls flat. At home they have been more reliable, with 5 wins from 7 in the standings and an average of 2.1 goals scored per home match in tournament statistics, but defensive lapses (1.4 goals conceded per home game) remain a concern.

New York RB II Recent Form

New York RB II’s form line in the standings shows a side capable of both hot streaks and abrupt dips. They have enjoyed a five-game winning streak in tournament statistics at one stage, and their last five fixtures feature 13 goals scored and 9 conceded. While they have lost 7 of 17 overall, their ability to win without drawing and their superior attacking averages (3.1 goals per home game, 1.5 away) underline why they are considered one of the more dangerous sides in the Eastern Conference.

Chicago Fire II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: P. Los or Bryan Dowd; Defenders: J. Reynolds, Oluwaseun Oyegunle, D. Konincks, M. Kanyane; Midfielders: H. Osorio, Samuel Williams, C. Cassano, Dylan Borso; Forwards: O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook.

Chicago Fire II have a youthful but deep squad with multiple goalkeepers (P. Los, P. Stechnij, Bryan Dowd) and a broad defensive pool including J. Reynolds, J. Diouf, and Oluwaseun Oyegunle. In midfield, players like H. Osorio, Samuel Williams, C. Cassano and David Poręba provide options for both control and vertical play, while attackers such as O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook and D. Tchéchao give them pace and penetration. Without confirmed lineups or injury issues listed, Chicago are likely to line up in a flexible attacking shape that leans into their home scoring record but must be better structured defensively against such a prolific opponent.

New York RB II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Causey; Defenders: J. Mina, O. Valencia, Shunya Sakai, J. Bazán; Midfielders: N. Benedetti, M. Morigi, A. Jarvis, S. Baitinger; Forwards: C. Harper, Roald Mitchell.

New York RB II’s squad is stacked with young talent across the pitch. At the back, defenders like J. Mina, O. Valencia and Shunya Sakai give them athleticism and ball-playing ability. The midfield group – including N. Benedetti, M. Morigi and A. Jarvis – underpins their high-tempo style, while the attacking unit featuring C. Harper, Roald Mitchell, D. Gjengaar and others is built for pressing and quick transitions. With no absences reported, New York RB II should be able to field a near full-strength side and maintain their aggressive attacking identity.

Chicago Fire II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York RB II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Fire II:

• None reported.

New York RB II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this MLS Next Pro clash:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or New York RB II. With New York RB II given a 45% chance of winning and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for a Chicago victory, the safer angle is backing the visitors to avoid defeat. Their superior goal difference (+15 vs 0) and stronger attacking record (2.4 goals per game vs 1.7) support this stance.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. The official advice already points to a “+1.5 goals” angle, and the numbers back it up: Chicago’s matches see an average of 3.4 goals (27 scored, 27 conceded in 16), while New York RB II’s games average 3.9 goals (40 scored, 27 conceded in 17). Recent H2H scorelines like 5-3, 9-2, 3-2 and 5-5 further reinforce the expectation of at least two goals.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Chicago have failed to score in only 2 of 16 matches in tournament statistics, and New York RB II have failed to score just once in 17. Both sides average around 1.7–2.4 goals scored per game, and H2H history is dominated by high-scoring affairs. With the prediction leaning towards an open contest and both attacks in better shape than the defences, BTTS offers strong value if priced reasonably by bookmakers.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.