Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

Colorado Rapids II welcome North Texas to CIBER Field on 12 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the two sides arriving in very different positions in the Frontier Division. The hosts are rooted near the bottom after a torrid campaign, while the visitors remain in the playoff picture despite inconsistency. This fixture has quietly become one of the more entertaining matchups in MLS Next Pro, regularly producing goals and late drama.

Colorado Rapids II sit 7th in the Frontier Division with just 9 points from 17 matches, already carrying a -20 goal difference and facing an uphill battle to salvage their season. North Texas, by contrast, are 5th in the same group with 22 points from 15 games and a positive goal difference of +6, keeping them firmly in contention for the postseason. With such a stark gap in both points and performance levels, this clash shapes up as a classic underdog vs favourite scenario, but history between these clubs suggests it may not be straightforward.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Stats

• Colorado Rapids II have taken just 9 points from 17 matches, with 2 wins and 15 defeats, scoring 15 and conceding 35 in the standings.
• The most recent meeting on 8 March 2026 saw North Texas beat Colorado Rapids II 3-1 at Choctaw Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage play.
• Season statistics show Colorado Rapids II conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game across 17 fixtures, while North Texas score 1.9 per match over 15 games.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 5 (Frontier Division)
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 15 vs 26
• Goals Against: 35 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Colorado Rapids II 1; North Texas 2 (season statistics)

From a standings perspective, this is a meeting between one of the league’s strugglers and a mid-table side pushing upward. Colorado Rapids II have lost 15 of their 17 matches, with a goal difference of -20 and no draws. Their home record is similarly poor: 1 win and 8 defeats from 9 matches, with 8 goals scored and 19 conceded. That kind of profile points to a team that struggles to control games and is often overwhelmed defensively.

North Texas are not flawless, but their numbers are far more robust. With 7 wins and 8 defeats from 15 matches, they have shown both high ceilings and some volatility. They have scored 26 and conceded 20 in the standings, while broader season statistics list 28 scored and 23 conceded over 15 fixtures, underlining a generally positive goal difference and stronger attacking output than most in the division. Their away record (3 wins, 6 losses) shows they can be vulnerable on the road, but they still carry significantly more threat and balance than Colorado Rapids II.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Colorado Rapids II attack vs North Texas defence

With no individual top scorers data available, this matchup is best viewed through team profiles. Colorado Rapids II average 0.9 goals per game across 17 matches, with only 16 total goals in the broader statistics, and they have failed to score in 5 of those fixtures. Their biggest attacking output at home is just 2 goals in a game, underscoring a limited cutting edge.

North Texas, meanwhile, concede 1.5 goals per match on season statistics, with only 23 goals allowed in 15 fixtures and 2 clean sheets. Their defensive numbers are not elite, but they are comfortably mid-tier and supported by a structure that keeps most games manageable. Given Colorado’s low scoring rate and North Texas’ relatively solid back line, the away side should feel confident about containing the hosts for long spells.

North Texas forwards vs Colorado Rapids II back line

On the other side, the contrast is even sharper. North Texas average 1.9 goals per game in season statistics (28 goals in 15 matches), with particularly strong home numbers but still a respectable 1.3 goals per match away. They have produced big wins such as 5-1 at home and 4-1 away, showing they can be ruthless when momentum swings their way.

Colorado Rapids II concede 2.3 goals per game over 17 fixtures, with 39 goals allowed in the broader stats and only 1 clean sheet all season. Their heaviest home defeat has been 1-4, and they routinely allow multiple goals, particularly in the 31-60 minute windows where a significant share of concessions occur. Against a North Texas side that tends to score heavily in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute periods, this matchup heavily favours the visitors’ attack.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have built a rich recent history in MLS Next Pro, with meetings in every season since 2023 and several high-scoring contests. The rivalry has produced late drama, penalty shootouts and swings in dominance between home and away sides.

• 8 March 2026: North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 3 August 2025: North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 28)
• 19 June 2025: Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 19, North Texas won 4-2 on penalties)
• 21 April 2025: North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 7)
• 2 September 2024: North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 34, North Texas won 5-4 on penalties)

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction

Stats suggest North Texas arrive as justified favourites, but the probability model paints a more nuanced picture. The win probabilities are split at 10% for a Colorado Rapids II win, 45% for a draw and 45% for a North Texas victory. That implies the market and underlying numbers see a strong chance of the visitors taking at least a point, but also acknowledge the possibility of a stalemate, perhaps influenced by North Texas’ uneven away form.

Colorado’s recent trajectory is alarming: a long sequence of defeats, heavy goals against, and no evidence of a defensive reset. North Texas, while inconsistent, carry far more attacking threat and have already beaten Colorado 3-1 earlier in the 2026 Group Stage. However, the H2H record shows Colorado have taken big away wins in Texas before and pushed North Texas to penalties in tight contests, so a runaway result is not guaranteed.

Given North Texas’ stronger attack and Colorado’s porous defence, the most likely game flow is the visitors controlling territory and chances, with the hosts relying on transitions and set pieces. The high draw probability suggests this could tighten up late if North Texas fail to kill the game, but over 90 minutes the away side should still edge it.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 North Texas

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II are in a prolonged slump. Their standings form line reads as a sequence dominated by defeats, with only occasional wins breaking up a long losing streak. Over 17 matches they have 2 victories and 15 losses, with no draws, and a goal difference of -20. Recent performances continue that pattern: they concede heavily (2.3 goals per game) and struggle to find the net consistently, averaging under a goal per match.

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas’ recent form is mixed but competitive. Their standings form shows alternating wins and losses, with short winning streaks followed by brief downturns. Across 15 matches they have 7 wins and 8 defeats, again with no draws, and a positive goal difference of +6. In their last five fixtures, they have scored 11 and conceded 8, underlining a team that plays open, attacking football and is usually involved in games with multiple goals.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Zackory Campagnolo or K. Starks
Defenders: J. Cameron, C. Harper, I. Murphy, K. Thomas, J. De Coteau
Midfielders: A. Fadal, L. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, S. Wathuta, N. Tchoumba
Forwards: J. Copeland, M. Diop, B. Jamison, A. Harris, D. Phillip

Colorado Rapids II have a very young squad, with several teenagers across the back line and midfield. Players such as Zackory Campagnolo in goal and experienced defender I. Murphy provide some stability, while attacking options like J. Copeland, M. Diop and B. Jamison will be tasked with lifting a blunt attack. Given their defensive frailties and heavy concession rate, they are likely to line up in a compact shape, perhaps prioritising numbers behind the ball and quick breaks rather than expansive build-up play.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Thompson or E. Dymora
Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, Leandro, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato
Midfielders: N. James, Umberto Pela, D. García, M. Luccin, T. Ospina
Forwards: E. Nys, J. Contreras, Ricky Louis, Nicholas Simmonds, D. Baran

North Texas have more balance across their roster, with a blend of experience and youth. At the back, the likes of Alvaro Augusto and Leandro anchor a defence that concedes 1.5 goals per game, while midfielders such as N. James, Umberto Pela and D. García help drive an attack averaging 1.9 goals per match. In the final third, forwards like E. Nys, J. Contreras and Ricky Louis give them multiple scoring outlets, which should allow them to stretch a fragile Colorado back line and sustain pressure throughout the match.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids II:

• None reported.

North Texas:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas

Below are three data-driven betting angles for this MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash.

• Result Tip: North Texas Draw No Bet With win probabilities at 10% for Colorado Rapids II, 45% for the draw and 45% for North Texas, the visitors are clearly favoured not to lose. North Texas have 7 wins from 15 matches and a positive goal difference, while Colorado have 15 defeats in 17. Taking North Texas on a draw-no-bet line offers protection against the relatively high draw chance while still backing the stronger side.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 Total Goals Colorado concede 2.3 goals per game and score 0.9, while North Texas average 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded. Recent H2H meetings have been consistently high-scoring: 3-1, 4-1, 3-3, 3-2 and 2-2 (before penalties) in the last five clashes. That profile strongly supports a play on over 2.5 goals, with both teams capable of contributing to the tally.
• Value Tip: North Texas to Score 2+ Goals North Texas have hit multiple goals in several recent meetings with Colorado (3-1, 2-2, 2-0, 3-3, 2-0) and average close to two goals per match this season. Colorado’s defence has allowed 39 goals in 17 fixtures and only one clean sheet. Backing North Texas to score at least twice taps into their attacking strength and Colorado’s defensive vulnerability, offering potential value compared to the straight match result market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.