Orlando City II vs Chattanooga Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Orlando City II welcome Chattanooga to Osceola County Stadium for a key MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash on 31 May 2026. Both sides are firmly in the Eastern Conference play-off picture and separated only by goal difference and divisional ranking, setting up a finely poised encounter between two of the Central Division’s most entertaining teams.

In the broader Eastern Conference picture, Orlando City II sit on 19 points from 11 matches with a goal difference of +2, while Chattanooga also have 19 points from 11 games but boast a slightly better goal difference of +3. Both are currently in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, so this match carries real weight in the race for seeding and potential home advantage later in the campaign.

Osceola County Stadium has already hosted some dramatic meetings between these sides, and with Chattanooga edging the recent head-to-head record and double-chance metrics leaning their way, this fixture has all the ingredients of another tight, high-stakes MLS Next Pro showdown.

Orlando City II vs Chattanooga Key Stats

• Orlando City II have taken 19 points from 11 league matches (7 wins, 4 defeats, 23 goals for, 21 against) in the Eastern Conference standings.
• Across the last five league meetings listed, Chattanooga have won three times, Orlando City II once, with one draw in regular time.
• Orlando City II matches are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game this season, while Chattanooga average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.

Orlando City II vs Chattanooga — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 6 (Eastern Conference)
• Points: 19 vs 19
• Goals For: 23 vs 19
• Goals Against: 21 vs 16
• Clean Sheets: Orlando City II 1, Chattanooga 2

The Eastern Conference table underlines just how evenly matched these two sides are. Orlando City II are seventh with 19 points from 11 games, scoring 23 and conceding 21. Chattanooga sit just one place higher in sixth, also on 19 points from 11 fixtures, but with a slightly better defensive record: 19 scored and only 16 conceded.

From a divisional perspective in the Central Division, Chattanooga are third with 19 points and a +3 goal difference, while Orlando City II are fourth with the same points tally but a +2 goal difference. Both teams have identical records in terms of wins and losses (6–0–5 in Chattanooga’s divisional line, 7–0–4 in Orlando’s conference line), but Chattanooga’s extra defensive solidity and marginally better goal difference give them a small statistical edge coming into this tie.

Orlando City II vs Chattanooga Key Matchups

Orlando City II attack vs Chattanooga defence

With no individual top-scorer or assist data available, this matchup is best viewed through team trends. Orlando City II’s attack has been prolific at home, averaging 2.8 goals per game at Osceola County Stadium and 2.4 overall. They have scored 26 goals in 11 league fixtures across all venues, including 17 at home. However, that attacking ambition comes at a cost: they concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, and 2.3 per game at home.

Chattanooga’s defence, by contrast, has been more controlled. They have conceded 17 goals in 11 games (1.5 per match), with two clean sheets and a slightly tighter away record of 1.6 goals conceded per game. Their ability to keep matches marginally lower scoring than Orlando’s typical shootouts, combined with their superior clean-sheet record, could be crucial in blunting Orlando’s high-tempo forward play.

Chattanooga attack vs Orlando City II back line

Chattanooga’s attack is less explosive but more measured, averaging 1.7 goals per game overall (11 at home, 8 away). They have still managed six wins from 11, showing that they can convert chances efficiently even without running up big scorelines. Their last five league games have brought six goals scored and only five conceded, underlining a balanced approach.

Orlando City II’s back line has been vulnerable, shipping 22 goals in 11 matches across all venues, including 14 at home. They have only one clean sheet this season, and their goals conceded profile shows particular fragility between the 31st and 75th minutes. Chattanooga’s ability to score consistently in both halves, especially late on (five goals between minutes 76–90), suggests they can exploit any lapses in concentration from the home defence.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two have built a rich recent rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with Chattanooga enjoying the upper hand in most contests. Across the seven listed league meetings, Chattanooga have been the more successful side, particularly at Finley Stadium, while Orlando City II have had to work hard for their lone win at Osceola County Stadium.

• 11 April 2026: Chattanooga 3-1 Orlando City II (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
• 9 August 2025: Orlando City II 2-2 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 29; Chattanooga won 4-2 on penalties)
• 1 June 2025: Orlando City II 2-1 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 15)
• 5 April 2025: Chattanooga 2-0 Orlando City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 5)
• 27 July 2024: Chattanooga 1-0 Orlando City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 26)

Orlando City II vs Chattanooga Prediction

Form and underlying numbers point to a very tight contest. Both teams arrive with identical 60% form over their last five games and matching 19-point hauls. Orlando City II offer the more potent attack, particularly at home, but Chattanooga’s defence is stronger, and the head-to-head record is clearly tilted in their favour, with Chattanooga winning the most recent encounter 3-1 on 11 April 2026 and generally performing well in this matchup.

The prediction metrics lean towards Chattanooga avoiding defeat, with a 45% probability for an away win, 45% for a draw, and only 10% for a home victory, supported by a “double chance: draw or Chattanooga” recommendation. That suggests an away-leaning but cautious outlook. With no explicit projected goal counts, and given Chattanooga’s solid defensive profile against Orlando’s open style, a narrow away success or a hard-fought draw looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Orlando City II 1-2 Chattanooga

Orlando City II League Form

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Chattanooga League Form

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Orlando City II Possible Starting Lineup

Javier Otero; P. Amoo-Mensah, T. Reid-Brown, S. Titus Jr, J. Yearwood; I. Gómez, I. Haruna, Bernardo Rhein Goncalves, C. Trombino; Harvey Sarajian, Y. Tsukada

Orlando City II’s squad profile suggests a youthful, energetic side with depth across all lines. With several goalkeepers available, Javier Otero stands out as a likely option between the posts, supported by a defensive unit featuring P. Amoo-Mensah, T. Reid-Brown, S. Titus Jr and J. Yearwood. In midfield, options such as I. Gómez, I. Haruna and Bernardo Rhein Goncalves give scope for a possession-based approach, while attackers like Harvey Sarajian and Y. Tsukada provide pace and direct running. Expect Orlando to line up in a flexible attacking shape that looks to maximise their strong scoring averages at home, even if that leaves them exposed at the back.

Chattanooga Possible Starting Lineup

E. Jakupović; Y. Tcheuyap, T. Robertson, F. Sar-Sar, A. Sorenson; S. Louis, A. McGrath, L. Husakiwsky, Isaiah Jones; D. Mangarov, A. Garcia

Chattanooga’s squad blends experience and youth, anchored by veteran goalkeeper E. Jakupović. At the back, defenders such as Y. Tcheuyap, T. Robertson, F. Sar-Sar and A. Sorenson form the core of a unit that has conceded only 17 goals in 11 matches. Midfielders like S. Louis, A. McGrath and L. Husakiwsky can provide balance between defensive cover and ball progression, while attacking options including D. Mangarov and A. Garcia offer threat in the final third. Given their stronger defensive numbers and clean-sheet record, Chattanooga are likely to prioritise structure and compactness, looking to strike on transitions against Orlando’s expansive style.

Orlando City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Chattanooga Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Orlando City II:

• None reported.

Chattanooga:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Orlando City II vs Chattanooga

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back “Chattanooga or Draw” on the double-chance market. With Chattanooga given a 45% chance to win and a 45% chance to draw, and Orlando City II just 10% to take all three points, the probability profile strongly favours the visitors avoiding defeat, especially given their superior defensive record and favourable head-to-head trend.
• Goals Tip: Back “Over 1.5 total goals”. Orlando City II’s matches average 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Chattanooga’s average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Recent head-to-head clashes have produced scorelines such as 3-1, 2-2 and 2-1, all comfortably over the 1.5 line, making a multi-goal game a statistically solid angle.
• Value Tip: Consider “Both Teams to Score – Yes”. Orlando City II have failed to score in only one match this season and average 2.8 goals at home, while Chattanooga have scored in nine of their 11 league fixtures and carry consistent threat in both halves. Combined with Orlando’s leaky defence (22 conceded), the BTTS market offers attractive value in what profiles as an open, competitive encounter.

How to Watch Orlando City II vs Chattanooga

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.