Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

Philadelphia Union II and New York City II renew one of MLS Next Pro’s most compelling rivalries at Subaru Park on 14 June 2026 in the Group Stage. With both sides sitting in the upper half of the standings, this clash has direct implications for playoff positioning and momentum in a tightly packed table.

Union II come into this fixture with 18 points from 13 matches, a record built on six wins and no draws but tempered by seven defeats. New York City II trail slightly with 15 points from 11 games, also without a draw and with a similar win–loss profile. With just three points separating the sides, this is effectively a six-pointer in the MLS Next Pro context, and another chapter in a head-to-head series that has consistently delivered goals and drama.

Recent meetings between Philadelphia Union II and New York City II have produced high-scoring encounters and decisive results, making this one of the standout fixtures for neutral viewers tracking MLS Next Pro action at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Key Stats

• Philadelphia Union II have taken 18 points from 13 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14 in league play.
• In their last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed, Philadelphia Union II have beaten New York City II four times, including a 4-3 home win on 5 October 2025.
• Philadelphia Union II average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this campaign, while New York City II average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 6
• Points: 18 vs 15
• Goals For: 15 vs 15
• Goals Against: 14 vs 19
• Clean Sheets: Philadelphia Union II 2, New York City II 1

The standings underline how finely balanced this matchup is. Philadelphia Union II, ranked 5th with 18 points from 13 games, have combined a positive goal difference of +1 (15 scored, 14 conceded) with a win-or-bust profile — six victories and seven defeats, no draws. Their home record is solid if inconsistent: four wins and four losses from eight at Subaru Park, with 11 goals scored and eight conceded.

New York City II sit just behind in 6th place on 15 points from 11 matches, also with a +1 goal difference in terms of goals scored (15) but a more porous defence, conceding 19. Their away form is a concern: one win and four defeats from five on the road, with six goals scored and eight conceded. On pure numbers, Union II have the sturdier defensive record, while NYC II’s attacking metrics (1.5 goals per game) suggest they carry more consistent threat going forward.

Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Key Matchups

Stas Kornzeniowski vs A. Farnos

Without explicit scoring charts, the focus shifts to attacking profiles from the squads. For Philadelphia Union II, Stas Kornzeniowski stands out among the forwards, a 22-year-old attacker wearing number 37. He is part of a frontline that has delivered 16 goals in all league fixtures this campaign and has been involved in a side whose biggest home win has been 4-1, showing the capacity to put up multi-goal performances at Subaru Park.

For New York City II, A. Farnos, a 23-year-old attacker with number 87, is a key figure in an attack that averages 1.5 goals per match and has produced an away high of a 2-3 win. NYC II’s offensive metrics — 16 goals from 11 games, with strong production particularly between minutes 46 and 75 — suggest Farnos and his fellow forwards will test a Union II defence that concedes 1.2 goals per game. The duel between Kornzeniowski’s home-side attack and Farnos in the visiting frontline could be decisive in a game where both teams tend to score.

R. Uzcátegui vs Nico Cavallo

At the back, Philadelphia Union II will look to defenders such as R. Uzcátegui, a 21-year-old wearing number 40, to maintain a defensive record that has allowed just nine goals in eight home fixtures. Union II have kept two clean sheets this season, underlining their ability to shut games down when they manage the tempo.

New York City II lean on experienced defender Nico Cavallo, 24 years old and wearing number 2, to stabilise a back line that has conceded 20 goals in 11 matches. Their away defence allows 1.8 goals per game, with late-game vulnerability: 11 of those 20 goals have arrived between minutes 61 and 90. The battle between Uzcátegui’s unit and Cavallo’s back line will shape whether this becomes another end-to-end contest or a more controlled tactical encounter.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The rivalry between these two MLS Next Pro sides has been intense and relatively high scoring. Across the last five meetings listed below, Philadelphia Union II have recorded four wins and New York City II one, with several matches decided by a single goal.

• 5 October 2025: Philadelphia Union II 4-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 39)
• 26 July 2025: New York City II 0-2 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 26)
• 23 April 2025: New York City II 1-4 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 8)
• 20 October 2024: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Conference - Quarter-finals)
• 23 September 2024: Philadelphia Union II 4-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 38)

Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Prediction

Stats suggest a tight but attack-minded contest. Philadelphia Union II’s league form line of “LLWLOL” highlights inconsistency, yet their season profile shows they can dominate at home when they click. New York City II’s form string “LWWLW” indicates more recent momentum, with 11 goals in their last five matches and an attacking edge in current output.

Head-to-head history strongly favours Union II, especially at Subaru Park, where they have taken multiple high-scoring wins over NYC II. The prediction metrics lean towards the hosts with a 45% home win probability and 45% chance of a draw, versus just 10% for an away victory, and advice pointing to a “Philadelphia Union II or draw” angle. With both teams averaging over a goal per game and conceding at similar or higher rates, another open contest is likely, but Union II’s H2H dominance and slightly better defensive numbers give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 New York City II

Philadelphia Union II League Form

LLWLOL

New York City II League Form

LWWLW

Philadelphia Union II Possible Starting Lineup

Pierce Holbrook; A. Craig, J. Griffin, L. Harrington, K. Moore; O. Benitez, M. Berthe, Paco Dadi, K. LeBlanc; Stas Kornzeniowski, Sal Olivas.

Union II have depth in goal with options such as Pierce Holbrook and G. Marks, while a young but sizeable defensive group led by A. Craig, J. Griffin and L. Harrington supports their solid home defensive record. In midfield, players like O. Benitez, M. Berthe and Paco Dadi provide energy and balance, and the attacking unit featuring Stas Kornzeniowski and Sal Olivas underpins a side capable of producing big scorelines, as seen in their 4-1 and 4-3 home wins this campaign. The overall profile points towards a flexible, attack-minded shape, likely with a focus on wide areas and quick transitions.

New York City II Possible Starting Lineup

T. Romero; Nico Cavallo, João Loiola, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray; Jacob Arroyave, C. Flax, Musu, K. Pierre; A. Farnos, M. Jones.

New York City II have strong experience in goal with T. Romero and a varied defensive unit including Nico Cavallo and João Loiola. Midfielders such as Jacob Arroyave, C. Flax and Musu support an attack that has generated 16 goals in 11 games, with forwards like A. Farnos and M. Jones central to their threat. Their statistical profile — higher attacking averages but a leakier defence — suggests a side that will commit numbers forward and accept risk at the back, particularly in the second half where they both score and concede heavily.

Philadelphia Union II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Philadelphia Union II:

• None reported.

New York City II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back Philadelphia Union II in the double chance market (home or draw). The prediction metrics give the hosts a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat (45% win, 45% draw) against just 10% for an away win, and Union II have dominated recent head-to-heads, especially at Subaru Park. [No odds data available.]
• Goals Tip: Consider under 3.5 total goals. Both teams’ league averages sit between 1.2 and 1.8 goals scored and conceded, and the prediction advice points towards a cautious edge for the hosts, with xG-style thresholds showing most of Union II’s matches staying under higher goal lines. [No odds data available.]
• Value Tip: Look at a home win in a one-goal margin market (e.g. Philadelphia Union II by exactly one goal). Union II’s stronger defensive record (14 conceded vs 19) and their narrow 1-0 and 2-0 wins in recent H2H clashes suggest a tight victory scenario that could offer better value than the straight result. [No odds data available.]

How to Watch Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.