Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Real Monarchs welcome Portland Timbers II to Zions Bank Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 13 June 2026, with both sides firmly in the playoff conversation. The venue in Herriman has already seen some dramatic clashes between these clubs in recent years, and this latest meeting arrives with the visitors sitting higher in the standings but the hosts boasting a powerful head-to-head record.

In the league table, Real Monarchs have collected 18 points from 13 matches, winning 7 and losing 6 with a goal difference of -3. Portland Timbers II, meanwhile, have taken 26 points from the same number of fixtures, winning 8 and losing 5 with a goal difference of +1. That puts Portland Timbers II in a stronger overall position and, according to their standings description, inside the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, while Real Monarchs are chasing from behind.

Stats suggest a tight contest for anyone looking for Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II predictions in MLS Next Pro. The predictive metrics lean towards the hosts avoiding defeat, but Portland Timbers II’s superior points tally and defensive record ensure this is far from straightforward to call.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Key Stats

• Real Monarchs have 18 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses, 20 goals for, 23 against), while Portland Timbers II have 26 points from 13 (8 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, 16 goals for, 15 against).
• Across their last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed, Real Monarchs have won four times against Portland Timbers II, including a 4-1 home win on 29 May 2025 and a 2-0 victory at Zions Bank Stadium on 30 September 2024.
• Team statistics show Real Monarchs matches average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, while Portland Timbers II average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded, underlining a consistent goal threat from both sides.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 1
• Points: 18 vs 26
• Goals For: 20 vs 16
• Goals Against: 23 vs 15
• Clean Sheets: Real Monarchs 2 vs Portland Timbers II 6

The season record shows a clear contrast in profiles. Real Monarchs have scored more goals (20) than Portland Timbers II (16) but have also conceded significantly more (23 vs 15). That negative goal difference of -3 underlines their volatility: seven wins but six defeats and no draws from 13 games, pointing to a high-risk, high-reward approach.

Portland Timbers II, by comparison, sit on 26 points with a slimmer goals-for column but a more controlled defensive record. Their goal difference of +1, combined with six clean sheets, suggests a side more comfortable in tight, controlled matches. With Real Monarchs ranked 5th and Portland Timbers II 1st in their respective tables, this fixture pits a dangerous but inconsistent host against a more balanced league leader.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Key Matchups

Real Monarchs Attack vs Colin Griffith

With no individual Real Monarchs players appearing in the league’s top scorers or assists lists, the hosts rely on a collective attacking output that has produced 20 league goals. They average 1.8 goals per game and have recorded a biggest away win of 0-5 and a biggest home win of 2-0, underlining their capacity to score in bursts.

For Portland Timbers II, Colin Griffith stands out across multiple leaderboards. He appears as the top-rated player in the league’s scoring, assist, yellow card and red card lists for his club, even though his raw numbers are modest: 1 appearance as a forward, with 0 goals, 0 assists and no cards. His presence in these rankings still marks him as a focal point in the attacking unit and a player Real Monarchs must track closely, particularly in transition where Portland Timbers II’s away wins (including a biggest away win of 0-3) hint at their counter-attacking potential.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history between these sides has been dominated by Real Monarchs, especially at Zions Bank Stadium, though Portland Timbers II did produce a statement win in their most recent visit. Counting only the fixtures listed below, Real Monarchs have four wins and Portland Timbers II one.

• 3 May 2026: Real Monarchs 0-3 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 4 August 2025: Portland Timbers II 1-2 Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 28)
• 29 May 2025: Real Monarchs 4-1 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 15)
• 16 March 2025: Portland Timbers II 2-3 Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 2)
• 30 September 2024: Real Monarchs 2-0 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 40)

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest. Real Monarchs have historically enjoyed this matchup, winning four of the last five listed meetings, and their attacking numbers (1.8 goals scored and conceded per game) suggest another open encounter at Zions Bank Stadium. However, Portland Timbers II arrive as league leaders with 26 points, a better defensive record, and six clean sheets, indicating a side capable of controlling tempo and limiting chances.

The predictive metrics lean towards the hosts avoiding defeat: Real Monarchs are given a 45% chance of winning, with the draw also at 45% and Portland Timbers II at just 10%. That aligns with the strong home H2H record and the Monarchs’ attacking output. At the same time, both teams’ under/over profiles show more matches staying under higher goal thresholds, hinting at a competitive but not necessarily high-scoring affair. Expect Real Monarchs to push the initiative, with Portland Timbers II dangerous on the break but perhaps more conservative than usual away from home.

Predicted Score: Real Monarchs 1-1 Portland Timbers II

Real Monarchs League Form

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Portland Timbers II League Form

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Real Monarchs Possible Starting Lineup

R. Alphin; W. Charpie, G. Calderón, K. Henry, D. Kropp; G. Dillon, L. O'Gara, L. Djiro; Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso, Lineker Rodrigues, Z. Gozo.

Lineup options for Real Monarchs are deep across all lines, with multiple goalkeepers available including R. Alphin and B. Ewing, and a sizeable defensive pool led by experienced figures such as W. Charpie and G. Calderón. In midfield, players like G. Dillon and L. O'Gara offer balance, while in attack the likes of Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso and Lineker Rodrigues give the hosts the firepower that underpins their 20-goal league tally. Tactical flexibility is evident, with enough defenders and attackers to switch between a back four and more aggressive shapes depending on game state.

Portland Timbers II Possible Starting Lineup

H. Sulte; N. Lund, Charles Ondo, C. Ferguson, M. Nystrom; V. Enriquez, Lucas Fernandez-Kim, B. VanVoorhis; Colin Griffith, Andrew Guerra, N. Santos.

Portland Timbers II also possess a well-balanced squad. In goal, options such as H. Sulte and S. Joseph provide security behind a defensive group including N. Lund and Charles Ondo, which has contributed to six clean sheets and only 15 goals conceded. The midfield mix of V. Enriquez, Lucas Fernandez-Kim and B. VanVoorhis supports a versatile attack where Colin Griffith, Andrew Guerra and N. Santos can rotate across the front line. With a biggest away win of 0-3 and four away victories from five, this group is clearly comfortable executing a structured, counter-attacking game plan on the road.

Real Monarchs Team News

No significant absences reported.

Portland Timbers II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Monarchs:

• None reported.

Portland Timbers II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Double chance: Real Monarchs or draw. The prediction metrics give Real Monarchs a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, with Portland Timbers II at just 10%. Combined with Real Monarchs’ strong head-to-head record at Zions Bank Stadium, backing the hosts to avoid defeat looks the most sensible angle. [No odds available in the current data.]
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Real Monarchs average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, while Portland Timbers II sit at 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have more matches under higher goal thresholds in their under/over profiles, and the prediction model flags both sides under 2.5 goals, suggesting a relatively tight contest. [No odds available in the current data.]
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Real Monarchs have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches, while Portland Timbers II have failed in 3 of 13, but both average over a goal per game and their recent head-to-heads at Zions Bank Stadium include scorelines of 4-1 and 3-2. With Real Monarchs’ attack and Portland Timbers II’s efficient away form, a trade on both sides finding the net has appeal. [No odds available in the current data.]

How to Watch Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.