St. Louis City II vs North Texas Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

St. Louis City II welcome North Texas to CITYPARK for an intriguing MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could reshape the Frontier Division and Eastern Conference picture. With both sides already 12 games into their 2026 campaigns, this is a meeting between a strong home outfit and one of the most dangerous attacking units in the conference.

St. Louis City II sit on 24 points from 12 matches, ranked 3rd in both the Frontier Division and the Eastern Conference. That places them firmly in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, but their recent wobble – reflected in a league form line of “LLLLW” – means they can ill afford another slip at CITYPARK, where they have otherwise been excellent.

North Texas arrive with 18 points from 12 games. They are 5th in the Frontier Division and 9th in the Eastern Conference, outside the play-off places but well within striking distance. Their league form string of “LWWLL” underlines an up‑and‑down run, yet the underlying numbers suggest a side capable of hurting anyone, especially with 22 league goals already on the board.

St. Louis City II vs North Texas Key Stats

• St. Louis City II have taken 24 points from 12 league games (8 wins, 4 losses, 0 draws), scoring 23 and conceding 17.
• Across their last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed, St. Louis City II have beaten North Texas 3-1 on 17 August 2025, 2-0 on 5 June 2025, and 4-0 on 25 August 2024 at CITYPARK.
• St. Louis City II matches in 2026 average 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while North Texas average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.

St. Louis City II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 9
• Points: 24 vs 18
• Goals For: 23 vs 22
• Goals Against: 17 vs 17
• Clean Sheets: St. Louis City II 3; North Texas 1

In the Eastern Conference table, St. Louis City II’s 24 points from 12 games put them in a strong 3rd place with a positive goal difference of +6 (23 scored, 17 conceded). At home they have been particularly effective: 5 wins and just 1 defeat from 6, with 14 goals scored and 9 conceded. That home dominance underpins their current play‑off position and makes CITYPARK a difficult venue for visiting sides.

North Texas, by contrast, sit 9th in the Eastern Conference on 18 points with a +5 goal difference (22 for, 17 against). Their away record is competitive – 3 wins and 4 defeats from 7, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded – suggesting they are capable of picking up big results on the road. However, the lack of draws (6 wins, 6 losses overall) highlights their volatility: they tend to either win or lose, with little middle ground.

St. Louis City II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Attacking Units vs Defences

Without individual scorer data available, the collective attacking profiles take centre stage. St. Louis City II average 2.1 goals per game in 2026, with 16 of their 25 goals coming at home and a particularly strong period between minutes 46-60, where they have scored 6 times. North Texas are not far behind, averaging 2.0 goals per match, with a notable surge late in games: 6 of their 24 goals have arrived between minutes 76-90.

Defensively, both sides concede at a similar rate of 1.6 goals per game. St. Louis City II’s biggest vulnerability lies between minutes 61-75, where they have shipped 7 of their 19 conceded goals, while North Texas are most exposed in the 31-60 minute window. This sets up a fascinating battle between St. Louis City II’s strong start to second halves and North Texas’s late-game surge, with in‑game momentum swings likely.

Discipline and Game Management

Discipline could also shape the flow. St. Louis City II have accumulated yellow cards fairly evenly across matches, with peaks between 46-75 minutes and three red cards shown in the 46-90 minute ranges combined. North Texas also see a cluster of yellows from 16-60 minutes and have three reds across 46-105 minutes. With both sides prone to cards in the middle third of games, managing aggression without tipping into indiscipline will be vital, especially in a fixture that has often been high‑stakes in recent seasons.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This is one of MLS Next Pro’s more established rivalries, with a rich recent history in league play and the conference finals. The record is finely balanced over the last ten listed meetings, with both teams enjoying strong spells and several heavy wins at home.

• 17 August 2025: North Texas 1-3 St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro)
• 5 June 2025: St. Louis City II 2-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)
• 10 March 2025: North Texas 0-3 St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 November 2024: North Texas 3-0 St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro)
• 25 August 2024: St. Louis City II 4-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)

St. Louis City II vs North Texas Prediction

Recent form and the prediction metrics point to a tight contest. St. Louis City II’s league form string of “LLLLW” underlines a dramatic drop‑off after an eight‑game winning streak earlier in the campaign, while North Texas’s “LWWLL” shows inconsistency but slightly better short‑term momentum. The comparison metrics lean towards North Texas in form (67% vs 33%), attack (64% vs 36%), and defence (63% vs 37%), and the main prediction advice is “Double chance : draw or North Texas”, with 10% home, 45% draw, and 45% away probabilities.

At the same time, St. Louis City II’s home strength and historically strong results at CITYPARK against North Texas cannot be ignored. With both sides averaging around two goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, this shapes up as a relatively open but finely poised encounter. The prediction edge lies with North Texas avoiding defeat rather than a clear winner, and the goal projections (both sides “-2.5” in the prediction output) hint at a scoreline on the lower side of their usual averages.

Predicted Score: St. Louis City II 1-1 North Texas

St. Louis City II League Form

LLLLW

North Texas League Form

LWWLL

St. Louis City II Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: B. Lundt, N. Martinez; Defenders: E. Chavez, A. De Gannes, F. Fall, K. Hiebert, O. Jorgensen, Z. Lillington, L. MacNaughton, M. Fall, S. Paris, T. Pearce, T. Totland; Midfielders: A. Gbadehan, M. Joyner, A. Jundt, E. Löwen, P. McDonald, E. Niles, T. Ostrák, Y. Ota, C. Pearson, M. Perez, J. Wagoner; Forwards: P. Ault, J. Barclay, E. Carlock, L. Cornelius, C. Forcellini, C. Glover, Jeong Sang-Bin, R. Lynch, S. Marion, Brendan McSorley, C. Nwankwo.

With no confirmed lineup data, St. Louis City II are likely to build around a deep defensive pool featuring experienced options such as L. MacNaughton and K. Hiebert, supported by a creative midfield group including E. Löwen and T. Ostrák. In attack, a wide array of forwards allows for flexibility, whether they opt for pace in behind or more physical presence. Their strong home record suggests an aggressive setup, looking to press high and exploit the periods where they traditionally score most, especially just after half‑time.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: T. Burchfield, E. Dymora, A. Jordan, N. Montoya; Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar, D. Easterly, J. Gibson, Leandro, Z. Molomo, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato, L. Vejrostek, C. Wygant; Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, I. Charles, D. García, N. James, M. Luccin, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela, C. Swann; Forwards: D. Baran, J. Contreras, B. Flowers, Ricky Louis, E. Nys, C. Salazar, S. Sedeh, Nicholas Simmonds.

North Texas also boast a large, youthful squad with plenty of attacking options. The presence of several forwards and attack‑minded midfielders aligns with their 24 goals in 12 games and strong late‑game scoring profile. On the road, expect a setup that balances compact defending with quick transitions, aiming to exploit St. Louis City II’s vulnerability in the 61-75 minute window and to finish strongly in the final quarter of an hour.

St. Louis City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

St. Louis City II:

• None reported.

North Texas:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: St. Louis City II vs North Texas

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back North Texas double chance (draw or away). The prediction advice explicitly favours “Double chance : draw or North Texas” with just 10% home win probability against 45% for both draw and away. North Texas also hold the edge in comparative form, attack, and defence metrics, making them a solid option to avoid defeat at CITYPARK. (No odds available in the current data.)
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Both teams average just over 3.5 goals combined per game (around 3.7), but the prediction goal lines list both sides as “-2.5”, and only 1 of St. Louis City II’s 12 league matches has gone over 3.5 based on their under/over splits. Similarly, only 2 of North Texas’s 12 games have gone over 3.5. A competitive, balanced fixture leans towards a tighter scoreline. (No odds available in the current data.)
• Value Tip: Draw in the first half. St. Louis City II and North Texas concede relatively few goals in the opening 15 minutes (1 each), with more action typically coming later in halves. With the overall prediction split evenly between draw and away win, a cautious opening 45 minutes and a level score at the break offers potential value. (No odds available in the current data.)

How to Watch St. Louis City II vs North Texas

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.