Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Tacoma Defiance welcome Houston Dynamo FC II to Starfire Sports in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 18 June 2026, with the hosts looking to upset the league leaders on home turf. The Washington side have endured an inconsistent campaign so far, while Houston Dynamo FC II arrive as the standout team in the competition.

From a standings perspective, this is a classic clash between a mid-table outfit and a runaway contender. Tacoma Defiance sit on 14 points from 13 matches, with a negative goal difference and no draws to their name, highlighting their high-variance profile. Houston Dynamo FC II, by contrast, have been relentlessly efficient, collecting 31 points from just 12 games and boasting a dominant goal differential.

For Tacoma, the stakes are about stabilising their season and proving they can match the best in MLS Next Pro at Starfire Sports. For Houston Dynamo FC II, this is about consolidating top spot and maintaining the momentum of an extraordinary run that has them firmly positioned in the promotion play-off zone.

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II Key Stats

• Tacoma Defiance have 14 points from 13 matches with 13 goals scored and 19 conceded in MLS Next Pro.
• Houston Dynamo FC II beat Tacoma Defiance 4-0 at SaberCats Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage on 8 March 2026.
• Houston Dynamo FC II average 2.6 goals scored per match this season, with 31 goals in 12 fixtures and only 8 conceded, including 6 clean sheets.

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 14 vs 31
• Goals For: 13 vs 29
• Goals Against: 19 vs 8
• Clean Sheets: Tacoma Defiance 3; Houston Dynamo FC II 6

The season record shows two teams operating at very different levels. Tacoma Defiance, ranked 6th, have 5 wins and 8 defeats from 13 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. They are capable of winning games, but their negative goal difference and lack of draws underline how often matches tip against them when margins are fine.

Houston Dynamo FC II sit 1st with 31 points from 12 matches, winning 11 and losing just once. They have scored 29 league goals and conceded only 8, combining one of the most potent attacks with the tightest defences in MLS Next Pro. With a description line confirming they are in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, they are not merely chasing the play-offs — they are already setting the standard for the rest of the league.

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II Key Matchups

Tacoma attacking unit vs Houston Dynamo FC II back line

Without individual scorer data, the focus shifts to unit performance. Tacoma Defiance average 1.2 goals per match across all fixtures, with 15 goals scored in 13 games and 5 matches where they have failed to score. At home they are slightly better, averaging 1.3 goals. They face a Houston Dynamo FC II defence that has conceded only 8 times in 12 games, an average of 0.7 goals per match, and has kept 6 clean sheets. The numbers back Houston’s ability to shut down opponents, especially given they have yet to fail to score themselves, meaning Tacoma’s forwards will likely need to be highly efficient with limited chances.

Tacoma’s late-game resilience vs Houston’s relentless scoring pattern

Analysis points to a critical battle in the final half-hour. Tacoma concede heavily in the 61-90 minute window, with 10 goals allowed between minutes 61 and 90 across their league campaign. Houston Dynamo FC II, meanwhile, are particularly dangerous after the break, with 6 goals scored in each of the 46-60, 61-75 and 76-90 minute ranges. This suggests that if Tacoma cannot establish control early, Houston’s sustained pressure and fitness could decide the contest in the latter stages.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head history is extensive and leans narrowly towards Tacoma Defiance, despite Houston’s recent 4-0 home win. Tacoma have generally enjoyed strong results at Starfire, while Houston Dynamo FC II have produced some big scores at SaberCats Stadium. Across the most recent meetings listed below, Tacoma hold the edge in wins but both sides have produced high-scoring encounters.

• 8 March 2026: Houston Dynamo FC II 4-0 Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro)
• 5 October 2025: Tacoma Defiance 5-1 Houston Dynamo FC II (MLS Next Pro)
• 18 September 2025: Houston Dynamo FC II 1-2 Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro)
• 30 September 2024: Tacoma Defiance 2-0 Houston Dynamo FC II (MLS Next Pro)
• 26 May 2024: Houston Dynamo FC II 2-3 Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro)

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II Prediction

Form and season-long metrics make this one of the most intriguing MLS Next Pro fixtures on the schedule. Houston Dynamo FC II arrive with an extraordinary record: 11 wins from 12, 31 goals scored and just 8 conceded, backed by an 80% form rating over their last five. Tacoma Defiance are more volatile, with a 60% recent form rating but an overall pattern of 5 wins and 8 losses, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average.

However, the matchup metrics and comparison numbers are surprisingly balanced. The prediction model rates Tacoma Defiance at 35% to win, the draw at 35%, and Houston Dynamo FC II at 30%, with a specific “Win or draw” edge for Tacoma and advice pointing to a double chance for the hosts. H2H comparison also favours Tacoma (80% vs 20%), largely due to their strong home record in this fixture. Expect Houston to control large portions of the ball and create chances, but Tacoma’s familiarity with Starfire Sports and their historical success in this matchup suggest they can avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: Tacoma Defiance 1-1 Houston Dynamo FC II

Tacoma Defiance League Form

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Houston Dynamo FC II League Form

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Tacoma Defiance Possible Starting Lineup

M. Anchor; D. Alvarez, C. Baker, R. Sailor, Mark O'Neill; X. Gnaulati, P. Kingston, Daniel Robles; O. De Rosario, R. Jauregui, Y. Tsukanome.

Tacoma Defiance have several defensive options such as D. Alvarez, C. Baker and R. Sailor, alongside creative midfielders like X. Gnaulati, P. Kingston and Daniel Robles to link play. In attack, O. De Rosario, R. Jauregui and Y. Tsukanome provide different profiles to stretch defences. With no confirmed absences, Tacoma can rotate their young squad to find the right balance between solidity and attacking threat against the most efficient side in the league.

Houston Dynamo FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Pedro; Felipe Andrade, Reese Miller, Vinicius Silva, I. Mwakutuya; D. Gonzalez, Gustavo Dohmann, T. Wiesner; Arthur Sousa, Austin Brummett, D. Herrera.

Houston Dynamo FC II possess depth across the pitch, with multiple defensive options including Felipe Andrade and Reese Miller, and a midfield core featuring D. Gonzalez, Gustavo Dohmann and T. Wiesner. In attack, the likes of Arthur Sousa, Austin Brummett and D. Herrera headline a frontline that has helped deliver 31 goals in 12 matches. Their structure has been both aggressive and balanced, reflected in 11 wins and 6 clean sheets.

Tacoma Defiance Team News

No significant absences reported.

Houston Dynamo FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tacoma Defiance:

• None reported.

Houston Dynamo FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance Tacoma Defiance or draw. The prediction percentages give Tacoma a 35% win probability and the draw another 35%, with Houston at 30% and specific advice backing “Win or draw” for the hosts. Tacoma’s strong H2H record at home further supports a cautious angle against the league leaders. (No odds data available.)
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Tacoma average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Houston concede just 0.7 on average and have 6 clean sheets. Despite Houston’s strong attack, their defensive solidity and Tacoma’s relatively modest scoring rate suggest a controlled game rather than a shootout. (No odds data available.)
• Value Tip: Both teams to score – Yes. Houston Dynamo FC II have scored in every league match (0 failed to score), and Tacoma’s home average of 1.3 goals plus their historic success at Starfire against this opponent point to the hosts finding a goal. Combining Houston’s attacking reliability with Tacoma’s H2H edge makes BTTS an appealing value angle. (No odds data available.)

How to Watch Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.