Ventura County vs The Town Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County welcome The Town to Dignity Health Sports Park on 25 July 2026 in a high‑stakes MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash. With both sides firmly in the playoff picture, this fixture has the feel of a benchmark game for two attack‑minded teams that rarely draw and almost always entertain.

The standings underline how tight the margins are. Ventura County sit 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches, while The Town are 4th in the same group on 28 points from 17 games. Ventura County have been prolific but leaky, The Town explosive in attack with a notably better goal difference. With recent meetings heavily tilted in favour of The Town, this match doubles as a chance for Ventura County to halt a worrying head‑to‑head trend and reassert home dominance at Dignity Health Sports Park.

Stats suggest a goal‑rich contest: both teams average close to or above two goals scored per game this season, and their recent MLS Next Pro encounters have produced scorelines like 3-1, 4-0 and 4-1. For bettors and neutral fans alike, this is one of the standout attacking matchups on the MLS Next Pro schedule.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Stats

• Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches, scoring 34 and conceding 27.
• The Town have won the last three meetings in all competitions at Dignity Health Sports Park, including a 3-1 victory on 2 May 2026.
• Season statistics show Ventura County averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Ventura County vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 4
• Points: 32 vs 28
• Goals For: 34 vs 37
• Goals Against: 27 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Ventura County 5, The Town 2 (season statistics)

In the Pacific Division table, Ventura County’s 2nd place reflects a high‑variance profile: 11 wins and 8 defeats, with no draws across 19 matches. Their 34 goals for and 27 against yield a +7 goal difference, but the absence of draws underlines a boom‑or‑bust pattern. At home they have been strong, winning 6 of 10 and scoring 21 times.

The Town, 4th in the Pacific Division with 28 points from only 17 games, actually boast a superior goal difference of +17, thanks to 37 scored and just 20 conceded. Their attack is marginally more productive than Ventura County’s, and their defence has been considerably tighter. They have also been competitive away from home, winning 4 of 9 road matches and scoring 17 goals, though they do concede at a higher rate on their travels.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs The Town defence

Ventura County’s season statistics highlight a potent frontline: 37 goals across 19 fixtures in all MLS Next Pro action, with an average of 2.1 goals per home game. They tend to grow into matches, with a significant share of their goals coming between minutes 46 and 75. Their penalty record (5 scored from 7, a 71.43% conversion rate) adds another layer of threat when they get into the box.

They will be tested by a The Town back line that has conceded just 22 goals in 17 league matches and only 6 at home. Away from home, however, The Town allow 1.8 goals per game, and a large proportion of those concessions arrive late, particularly between minutes 61 and 90. If Ventura County can keep the tempo high and stretch the game into the later stages, their attacking volume could expose that away‑day vulnerability.

The Town forwards vs Ventura County defensive structure

The Town’s attack is one of the most dangerous in MLS Next Pro this season. They average 2.2 goals per match overall and 2.0 away, with a pronounced scoring spike just before half‑time: a significant share of their goals arrives in the 31–45 minute window. Their biggest home win of 6-1 and away win of 4-1 underline just how ruthless they can be when momentum swings their way.

Ventura County concede 1.5 goals per match on average and 1.6 away, but even at home they allow 1.5 per game. The minutes between 46 and 75 have been particularly problematic, with a large portion of their goals conceded in that period. Given that The Town also score heavily on transitions around half‑time and early in the second half, Ventura County’s defensive concentration either side of the interval will be critical.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history between these sides has been dominated by The Town, especially in high‑scoring encounters. Ventura County have struggled to contain The Town’s attack, both at home and away, in MLS Next Pro play.

• 2 May 2026: Ventura County 1-3 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
• 22 September 2025: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 37)
• 16 August 2025: The Town 4-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 30)
• 30 June 2025: The Town 1-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 21, The Town won 4-3 on penalties)
• 29 July 2024: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 27)

Ventura County vs The Town Prediction

All indicators point towards another open, attacking game. Both teams come in with strong offensive numbers and no draws in their league records this season, which dovetails with the prediction model assigning just a 10% chance to a Ventura County win, but 45% each to a draw and an away victory. The Town are favoured on the double‑chance (win or draw) and have the psychological edge from a dominant recent head‑to‑head record.

Ventura County’s recent five‑match sample is slightly stronger in terms of form index (60 in the last‑five metric versus The Town’s 40), and they are capable of scoring against anyone. However, The Town’s superior goal difference, more balanced profile and repeated big wins in this fixture suggest they are better equipped to control key moments. Expect Ventura County to get on the scoresheet, but The Town’s attacking quality and historical success in this matchup tilt the balance their way.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 1-2 The Town

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent form is streaky but generally positive. Their last five matches are rated at 60 in the form index, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded (2.2 for, 1.4 against per game). Across the broader season, they have 11 wins and 8 losses from 19 matches, underlining their all‑or‑nothing profile. A three‑match winning streak earlier in the campaign was followed by a three‑match losing run, but they have since stabilised with a series of victories that keep them in the upper reaches of the Pacific Division.

The Town Recent Form

The Town’s last‑five form index sits at 40, reflecting a slightly more mixed recent run, yet they have matched Ventura County’s last‑five scoring output with 11 goals in that span (2.2 per game) while conceding 8 (1.6 per game). Over 17 league matches, they have 9 wins and 8 defeats, again with no draws, mirroring Ventura County’s high‑risk style. Their biggest results — including a 6-1 home win and 4-1 away victory — show that when they click, they can overwhelm opponents, and that has repeatedly been the case against Ventura County.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

GK: S. Conlon or B. Scott; Defenders: R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, Harbor Miller, C. Rindov; Midfielders: G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, A. Vilamitjana; Forwards: O. Aina, I. Luna, Maximus Steelman.

Ventura County have a youthful but deep squad, particularly in midfield and attack, where players like Tucker Lepley, I. Parente and A. Vilamitjana provide technical quality and energy. At the back, the presence of C. Rindov and Harbor Miller offers some stability, though the team’s goals‑against numbers suggest they can be exposed when pushed high. With multiple attacking options such as O. Aina, I. Luna and Maximus Steelman, Ventura County are likely to set up in an aggressive shape, leaning on pace and rotation in the final third to unsettle The Town’s back line.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Francesco Montali or N. Crockford; Defenders: A. Cano, N. Dossmann, M. Floriani, Jack Jasinski; Midfielders: G. Bracken Serra, N. Buck, N. Fernandez, E. Mendoza; Forwards: N. Adimabua, D. Baptista, S. de Flores.

The Town’s squad blends experience and emerging talent. At the back, defenders such as A. Cano, N. Dossmann and Jack Jasinski provide a solid core in front of an experienced goalkeeper like Francesco Montali. In midfield, players including G. Bracken Serra and N. Buck can dictate tempo and link play, while the attacking group led by N. Adimabua, D. Baptista and S. de Flores underpins their strong scoring record. Expect The Town to set up in a balanced but front‑foot system, comfortable both in possession and in exploiting transitions.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

• None reported.

The Town:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs The Town

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back The Town on the double chance (draw or away win). Prediction data gives Ventura County just a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and The Town win each rated at 45 out of 100. Combined with The Town’s dominant recent head‑to‑head record and superior goal difference, the safer angle is to side against a home win.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average well above one goal scored per match (Ventura County 1.9, The Town 2.2) and concede at least 1.3 on average. Their last five meetings have all featured at least two goals in regular time, making a low‑scoring game statistically unlikely.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Ventura County have failed to score in only 1 of 19 league fixtures this season, while The Town have found the net consistently, with only 4 blanks in 17. Given The Town’s strong attack and Ventura County’s improved recent scoring form, the BTTS angle offers value in a matchup where both defences can be opened up.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.