Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Ventura County host Los Angeles FC II at Dignity Health Sports Park on 19 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could have major implications in the Pacific Division race. Both sides are locked on 29 points, separated only by goal difference and divisional ranking, adding extra edge to this latest chapter of a growing regional rivalry.

Ventura County come into the game sitting 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches and a +5 goal difference. They have been one of the most entertaining sides in the conference, scoring freely but also leaving space at the back. Los Angeles FC II are just behind them in 3rd place on 29 points from 17 matches, with a neutral goal difference and a stronger home record than away. With playoff positioning and divisional pride on the line, this fixture shapes up as a high-intensity, high-scoring encounter.

Recent meetings between Ventura County and Los Angeles FC II have produced goals, late drama and even a penalty shootout. Stats suggest another open contest, and with both teams in the playoff picture, neither can afford to drop points lightly at this stage of the Group Stage campaign.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

• Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 27 in the standings.
• The last meeting on 17 May 2026 ended Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action at Titan Stadium.
• In 2026 tournament statistics, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match across 18 fixtures, with 4 clean sheets.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 3 (Pacific Division)
• Points: 29 vs 29
• Goals For: 32 vs 28
• Goals Against: 27 vs 28
• Clean Sheets: Ventura County 4, Los Angeles FC II 1 (tournament statistics)

In the Pacific Division standings, Ventura County hold 2nd place with 29 points from 18 matches, winning 10 and losing 8 with no draws. They have scored 32 goals and conceded 27, reflecting a positive goal difference of +5 and an aggressive, front-foot approach. Their home record in the standings shows 5 wins and 4 losses from 9 matches, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded.

Los Angeles FC II sit 3rd in the Pacific Division, also on 29 points but from 17 matches, with 9 wins and 8 defeats. They have scored 28 and conceded 28, leaving them with a neutral goal difference. At home they have been strong (7 wins, 3 losses), but away they have struggled more, with 2 wins and 5 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 18. That away vulnerability could be a key factor as they travel to Dignity Health Sports Park.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs Los Angeles FC II defence

Without individual scorer and assist data, the focus shifts to unit performance. Ventura County’s attack has been one of the most potent in MLS Next Pro this season. Across 18 tournament fixtures, they have scored 35 goals in the extended statistics, averaging 1.9 per game, with 2.1 at home. A significant share of their goals come between minutes 46–75, where they are particularly dangerous, and they have gone over 1.5 team goals in 11 of 18 matches.

Los Angeles FC II’s defence has been inconsistent, especially away from home. In 17 tournament fixtures they have conceded 32 goals, an average of 1.9 per game, but that rises to 2.9 away from home, with 20 conceded in just 7 away matches. They have only 1 clean sheet overall. This matchup strongly favours Ventura County’s forward line, especially in the second half where Los Angeles FC II have been vulnerable and have conceded a significant share of their goals late in games.

Los Angeles FC II counter-attack vs Ventura County defensive structure

Los Angeles FC II still pose a real threat going forward. They have scored 30 goals in 17 tournament fixtures, averaging 1.8 per match, and have shown they can explode for big scores, with a biggest away win of 3-2. Their goal distribution is relatively balanced, with important contributions in the final quarter-hour and in added time, indicating they remain dangerous late in matches.

Ventura County’s defence, meanwhile, concedes 1.6 goals per game across 18 fixtures, with 29 goals allowed. They have just 4 clean sheets and can be exposed, particularly between minutes 61–75, where a significant share of their concessions occur. If Los Angeles FC II can absorb pressure and break quickly, they have the attacking tools to exploit Ventura County’s open style and turn this into another high-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This rivalry has been one of the most entertaining in MLS Next Pro, with recent matches consistently producing goals and drama, including extra time and penalties. The venues have alternated, but the pattern of high-scoring contests has remained constant.

• 17 May 2026: Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 21 July 2025: Ventura County 3-3 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 25, Los Angeles FC II won 3-1 on penalties)
• 10 May 2025: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 11)
• 15 March 2025: Los Angeles FC II 3-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 2)
• 12 August 2024: Ventura County 1-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 30)

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

All indicators point toward another tight, attacking contest. Ventura County have the edge in recent form and attacking metrics. Their last five matches show 11 goals scored and 8 conceded, with a last-five form index of 60, attacking index 65 and defensive index 53. Los Angeles FC II’s last five show 6 scored and 7 conceded, with a form index of 40, attack 35 and defence 59, suggesting they are slightly more solid at the back recently but less dangerous going forward.

The prediction model leans toward the hosts on a “win or draw” basis, with probabilities of 45 out of 100 for a Ventura County win, 45 out of 100 for a draw and just 10 out of 100 for a Los Angeles FC II victory. The comparison indices are finely balanced overall, with total ratings of 49.3 for Ventura County and 50.7 for Los Angeles FC II, underlining how evenly matched these teams are over a longer horizon.

Given Ventura County’s strong home scoring rate, Los Angeles FC II’s away defensive issues and the H2H trend of both teams finding the net, a high-tempo match with goals at both ends looks likely. However, with the double-chance edge and home advantage, Ventura County are marginally favoured to take something from the game.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent tournament form has been streaky but generally positive. Their longer form line reads as a mix of winning runs and short losing spells, with a biggest winning streak of three matches and an identical losing streak. Over 18 fixtures they have 10 wins and 8 defeats, with no draws, underlining their high-risk, high-reward style. At home they have won 5 of 9, scoring 19 and conceding 13, and they have failed to score only once across the entire campaign.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

Los Angeles FC II’s recent tournament form has been more volatile. Their extended form string includes sequences of three straight losses followed by a four-match winning streak, showing a side that can swing between extremes. Overall they have 9 wins and 8 defeats from 17 matches, again with no draws. At home they are strong, but away they have lost 5 of 7, conceding 18 goals. That away record is a clear concern heading into this trip.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups available, a likely core group for Ventura County could include: goalkeepers such as S. Conlon, J. Rhodes, B. Scott or W. Walker; defenders like R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, E. Martinez, M. McLean, Harbor Miller, Pepe and C. Rindov; midfield options including G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, V. Garcia, C. Gozdieski, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, B. Phan, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney and A. Vilamitjana; and attacking choices such as O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios and Maximus Steelman.

Ventura County have depth across the pitch, especially in midfield where they can rotate between more creative and more industrious profiles. Their attacking options are young and mobile, fitting a high-tempo, pressing game that aligns with their strong second-half scoring profile. The lack of reported absences allows them to set up aggressively, likely in a shape that emphasises width and quick transitions.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Los Angeles FC II also have a broad squad to choose from. In goal, options include Cabral Carter, T. Hasal, J. Romero and E. Scally. Defensively they can call on T. Babineau, C. Diaz, É. Díaz, L. Goodman, S. Minor-Kaplan, Kenny Nielsen, E. Ponciano, J. Santiago and G. Whitchurch. Midfield choices feature M. Evans, D. Guerra, L. Lambert, B. Moyado, Jude Terry, Lisandro Torres, E. Villeda and G. Zambrano, while in attack they have M. Aiyenero, C. Kosakoff, J. Machuca, N. Mardaresco, Tommy Mihalic, Sebastian Nava, D. Resich and E. Rodriguez.

The squad profile suggests a young, energetic team capable of pressing high and countering quickly. With a strong home record but weaker away results, the coaching staff may opt for a slightly more conservative setup on the road, focusing on compactness and using pace in wide areas and up front to exploit Ventura County’s defensive gaps.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

• None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Ventura County Double Chance (Home or Draw). With win probabilities of 45 out of 100 for Ventura County and 45 out of 100 for the draw, against just 10 out of 100 for a Los Angeles FC II win, backing the hosts not to lose aligns with both the probabilities and Los Angeles FC II’s poor away record (5 losses in 7 away matches).
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Ventura County’s matches have seen 35 goals scored and 29 conceded across 18 fixtures (average 3.1 total goals per game), while Los Angeles FC II’s 17 matches have produced 30 scored and 32 conceded (average 3.6 per game). Historical H2H meetings regularly feature at least two goals, making over 1.5 a strong statistical play.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Ventura County have failed to score only once in 18 fixtures and concede at 1.6 goals per game; Los Angeles FC II score 1.8 and concede 1.9 on average. Recent head-to-head clashes such as 3-2, 3-3, 2-1 and 3-1 underline how often both sides get on the scoresheet, offering potential value in the BTTS market despite the lack of individual player stat standouts.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.