2026 World Cup Semifinal Favorites: Latest Odds and Insights

Which Teams Are Poised for the 2026 World Cup Semifinals?

With 48 teams battling it out in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, just reaching the semifinals will be a remarkable feat. Only four squads will survive the rigorous knockout phase, putting themselves two wins away from the sport's most coveted prize.

Here’s a look at the current odds to reach the semifinals according to FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 17.

The Leading Contenders

Spain, France, Portugal, England, Argentina, Brazil, and Germany top the list with odds better than +330 to reach the semifinals. These seven countries have collectively appeared in 39 World Cup semifinals and include six former champions, making clear why bookmakers see them as the favorites in 2026.

Shifts in the Odds

Argentina’s odds improved sharply after Lionel Messi’s historic first career hat trick helped secure a 3-0 victory over Algeria. The team’s chances jumped from +260 to +180. Norway also climbed to +600 after a strong 4-1 win against Iraq. Meanwhile, Portugal’s odds slipped slightly from +175 to +190 following a disappointing draw with DR Congo.

Underdogs Making Noise

Morocco stunned the world in 2022 by becoming the first African nation to reach the semifinals. Entering that tournament at 200-1 odds to win the title, they defied expectations and earned bettors big returns. Coming into 2026, Morocco’s odds to reach the semifinals have improved from +1000 to +800 after a competitive draw against Brazil. Could another surprise run happen this year? It seems possible given how competitive things have been early on.