2026 World Cup Semifinals: Why France, Spain, England, and Argentina Could Win or Lose the Title

The 2026 FIFA World Cup began with 48 teams, but now only four remain standing as the semifinals unfold. Each of these soccer giants has unique strengths and flaws that shape their chances of claiming the trophy.

England barely edged out Norway in extra time, Spain clinched a late winner against Belgium, and France secured a couple of second-half goals to eliminate Morocco. Even these top contenders have faced tough tests along the way.

The Sporting News ranks the semifinalists based on squad talent, tournament performance, and title odds. Here’s a look at each team’s prospects and standout qualities heading into the final rounds.

4. Argentina

Superlative: Legacy AwardFIFA Ranking: #1

Argentina came into this World Cup showing some clear weaknesses, but resilience and Lionel Messi’s brilliance have kept them alive. They benefited from a relatively soft draw, yet questions linger about whether this team can go all the way.

The midfield has looked depleted, lacking the control and physicality they once displayed. When Argentina tries to assert themselves, they risk being caught on the counterattack. Still, this squad has enough star power and experience to beat anyone on their day.

They've reached three straight semifinals and could be the first team since the 1960s to repeat as champions. But watching them struggle in consecutive matches raises doubts about their endurance against tougher opposition.

Why Argentina might win: Their long experience and ability to absorb pressure make them hard to defeat. Messi’s presence lifts the entire team, turning tight moments in their favor.

Why Argentina might lose: A fading midfield and lack of width leave them vulnerable. The current form suggests they could stumble before reaching another final.

3. England

Superlative: Most Likely To Be Stuck On A Desert Island WithFIFA Ranking: #4

England started strong, dismantling Croatia convincingly, but then showed inconsistency against Ghana and DR Congo. Despite this, they’ve demonstrated remarkable mental toughness in high-pressure matches, even earning praise from coach Thomas Tuchel for their resilience after narrowly beating Norway.

Talent-wise, England ranks among the world’s best. Tuchel’s coaching has masked some defensive weaknesses, especially at right-back. Losing Declan Rice to injury was a blow, but the team battled through it.

Why England might win: Their refusal to quit in hostile environments is impressive. Players like Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane have been outstanding. Depth off the bench adds to their strength.

Why England might lose: Defensive gaps and injuries could be exploited. Questions remain about full-back and winger options if key players are unfit.

2. Spain

Superlative: Best DressedFIFA Ranking: #3

Spain boasts the tournament’s most disciplined defense, holding six consecutive clean sheets before conceding to Belgium. Their attack hasn’t fired fully due to injuries to Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, but their organization remains solid.

With Pedri and Rodri controlling midfield and Unai Simon guarding the net, Spain looks like a strong contender. Coach Luis de la Fuente prioritizes defensive solidity, though there are concerns about their offensive threat and endurance in shootouts.

Why Spain might win: Few teams match their balance and tactical discipline. Their system executes well, and key players perform their roles precisely.

Why Spain might lose: Injuries to attackers limit their threat. If their offense cannot keep pace with rivals like France or Argentina, they may falter, especially if Pedri underperforms.

1. France

Superlative: Most Likely To SucceedFIFA Ranking: #2

France remains the strongest team on paper and on the field. Their knockout performances have shown they can dominate when needed. Kylian Mbappe shines as one of the world’s top forwards, supported by a talented attacking group including Michael Olise.

The main weakness lies in midfield, where Aurelien Tchouameni carries a heavy load. Injury worries and limited depth behind him could pose problems. Coach Didier Deschamps prefers a possession-based approach but lacks midfield personnel to fully realize it.

Why France might win: Their attacking firepower is unmatched, with multiple players complementing Mbappe perfectly. The defense, led by William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano, offers stability. This team repeatedly proves its quality.

Why France might lose: Midfield frailty could disrupt transitions. If injuries persist, linking defense and attack becomes harder, potentially blunting their offensive threat.