Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atlético Ottawa welcome Supra du Quebec to TD Place Stadium on 9 June 2026 in a Canadian Premier League group-stage clash that already feels significant in the battle for the upper half of the table. With only one point separating the sides, this is a key fixture for anyone tracking Canadian Premier League predictions and looking for value in Ottawa vs Supra betting tips.

The season record shows Atlético Ottawa sitting 4th on 11 points from 9 matches, currently occupying a “Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)” spot. Supra du Quebec are just behind in 5th with 10 points from 7 games, aiming to force their way into the playoff picture. For home fans in Ottawa, this is an early opportunity to consolidate a top-four position; for Supra, it is a chance to leapfrog a direct rival.

With the only previous meeting this season ending in an away win for Atlético Ottawa, this rematch has a clear narrative: can the newcomers from Quebec respond, or will Ottawa confirm their early dominance in this matchup?

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Atlético Ottawa have taken 11 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 15 in the league.
• The only previous meeting on record came on 19 April 2026, when Atlético Ottawa beat Supra du Quebec 1-0 away in the Canadian Premier League at CEPSUM Stadium.
• Atlético Ottawa average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 5
• Points: 11 vs 10
• Goals For: 10 vs 9
• Goals Against: 15 vs 8
• Clean Sheets: Atlético Ottawa 2; Supra du Quebec 0

The standings underline how finely poised this encounter is. Atlético Ottawa have played more games (9) than Supra du Quebec (7), but still hold a narrow one-point advantage. Ottawa’s goal difference of -5 (10 scored, 15 conceded) highlights a side that has been vulnerable defensively, particularly away, yet their home record is strong: unbeaten at TD Place Stadium with 2 wins and 1 draw, and only 2 goals conceded in 3 home fixtures.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, have been more balanced statistically. They have scored 9 and conceded 8, giving them a positive goal difference of +1. Their away record (1 win, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 4 scored and 4 conceded) suggests they travel competitively but without dominance. With Ottawa currently in a playoff semi-final berth and Supra just outside any described promotion zone, this match carries obvious implications: a home win would create a small cushion, while an away victory would flip the positions.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

Emiliano García vs M. Chretien

Emiliano García has emerged as a useful attacking option for Atlético Ottawa. The attacker has made 8 appearances, scoring 1 goal from limited minutes (111) and just 1 shot, which was on target. His efficiency on the ball is notable, with 22 passes at 86% accuracy and 1 key pass, plus solid work rate with 2 tackles and 7 duels won from 11. He also draws fouls (3) and has picked up 1 yellow card, underlining his willingness to compete in tight spaces.

Opposite him, Supra du Quebec’s defender M. Chretien has been one of their standout performers. In 7 appearances (6 starts) and 135 minutes, he has also scored 1 goal and taken 1 shot on target. His passing has been excellent — 108 passes at 91% accuracy — and defensively he has contributed 4 tackles, 4 blocks, and 1 interception. Winning 10 of 13 duels, Chretien has been dominant in individual battles. This clash between García’s movement and Chretien’s physical, efficient defending could be pivotal in determining whether Ottawa can break through.

Manuel Aparicio vs Sean Rea

In midfield, Atlético Ottawa’s Manuel Aparicio is a central figure. Across 8 appearances and 270 minutes, he has provided 1 assist, with 180 passes at 82% accuracy and 2 key passes. Defensively he is active, registering 6 tackles, 1 block and 8 interceptions, plus 31 duels contested with 15 won. His 3 yellow cards show he plays on the edge, but his ability to influence both phases makes him crucial to Ottawa’s structure.

For Supra du Quebec, Sean Rea is the creative counterpart. In 7 appearances (6 starts) and 119 minutes, Rea has matched Aparicio’s 1 assist and added real threat in the final third with 3 shots (1 on target) and 5 key passes from 70 total passes at 84% accuracy. His dribbling (3 attempts, 2 successful) and 2 fouls drawn underline his role as a line-breaking midfielder. The battle between Aparicio’s box-to-box industry and Rea’s playmaking will shape which side controls territory and chance creation.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The sides have only met once in competitive action so far, with Atlético Ottawa holding the early edge. Any aggregate record is therefore based on a single fixture, but it still offers a clear reference point for this rematch.

• 19 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a tight contest, but the balance of probabilities leans towards the hosts avoiding defeat. Atlético Ottawa are unbeaten at home and have already shown they can edge Supra du Quebec, as evidenced by the 1-0 away win in April. The prediction metrics give Ottawa and the draw equal weight at 45% each, with only 10% assigned to a Supra victory, and explicitly recommend a double chance in favour of the home side.

Both teams’ goal averages point towards a relatively low-scoring affair. Ottawa’s 1.1 goals for and 1.7 against, combined with Supra’s 1.3 for and 1.1 against, align with the advice that both sides are more likely to stay under a high total-goals line. With the guidance pointing to “Win or draw” for Atlético Ottawa and goals on both sides projected under 2.5, a cautious scoreline expectation is a narrow home win or a draw.

Predicted Score: Atlético Ottawa 1-1 Supra du Quebec

Atlético Ottawa League Form

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Supra du Quebec League Form

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Atlético Ottawa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Crampton (GK); N. Abatneh, M. Stojadinovic, W. Timóteo, T. Walker, L. Cloutier; M. Aparicio, G. Antinoro, K. Habibullah; E. García, B. Tabla

Atlético Ottawa have favoured a 3-4-3 shape this season, and the available squad profile supports a flexible back line built around defenders such as W. Timóteo, M. Stojadinovic and N. Abatneh. In midfield, Manuel Aparicio is a natural fulcrum with his blend of passing and defensive work, while creative options like G. Antinoro and K. Habibullah can operate between the lines. Up front, Emiliano García and B. Tabla provide pace and direct threat. With no listed absences, Ottawa should be able to field a strong, balanced XI tailored to protect their unbeaten home record.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Not available

Detailed squad data for Supra du Quebec is not available, but their statistical profile suggests a compact, organised side. With no clean sheets yet this season but a positive goal difference, they are likely to rely on a solid defensive core featuring performers like M. Chretien and D. Abzi, supported by industrious midfielders such as Sean Rea and Safwane Mlah. Their away record indicates they can score on the road while keeping matches close.

Atlético Ottawa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Ottawa:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Atlético Ottawa or Draw. With 45% assigned to a home win, 45% to the draw and only 10% to an away win, plus Ottawa’s unbeaten home record and their previous 1-0 victory over Supra, backing the hosts not to lose is the logical angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Both sides’ league averages (Ottawa 1.1 scored, 1.7 conceded; Supra 1.3 scored, 1.1 conceded) and the previous 1-0 meeting point towards a tight game rather than a shootout, aligning with the projection that goals for both teams are likely to stay below 2.5.
• Value Tip: Card-focused angle on midfield battles. Players like Manuel Aparicio (3 yellow cards) for Ottawa and D. Abzi (4 yellow cards) for Supra, plus O. Boughanmi’s disciplinary record, indicate a combative midfield. Markets involving bookings for key midfielders and defenders could offer value given their existing card tallies.

How to Watch Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.