Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atlético Ottawa welcome Supra du Quebec to TD Place Stadium on 20 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could prove pivotal at both ends of the table. Ottawa are pushing to cement themselves in the upper reaches of the standings, while Supra are trying to drag themselves away from the lower positions and build some consistency.

The hosts come into this fixture sitting 3rd with 34 points from 22 matches, boasting one of the stronger home records in the division. Supra du Quebec, by contrast, are 7th with 22 points from 21 games and have struggled for defensive stability, conceding 38 goals so far. Recent head-to-head meetings between Atlético Ottawa and Supra du Quebec have been high-octane and goal-heavy, suggesting another open contest is on the cards in Ottawa.

With both sides still fighting for their respective objectives in the Canadian Premier League, this matchup has all the ingredients of a key late-season encounter: a strong home side, a dangerous but inconsistent visitor, and a recent H2H history full of drama and goals.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Atlético Ottawa are 3rd in the Canadian Premier League with 34 points from 22 matches, scoring 34 and conceding 37.
• The last four meetings between these sides across league and cup have all seen at least three goals, including a 5-3 Ottawa home win on 9 June 2026.
• In league statistics this season, Atlético Ottawa average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 7
• Points: 34 vs 22
• Goals For: 34 vs 29
• Goals Against: 37 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: Atlético Ottawa 4 (league statistics), Supra du Quebec 1 (league statistics)

From a standings perspective, Atlético Ottawa have been the more consistent outfit. With 10 wins in 22 matches, they are firmly in the upper half and have a positive points return despite a negative goal difference. Their home form is particularly strong: 7 wins, 3 draws and just 1 defeat from 11 home games, with 21 goals scored and only 13 conceded at TD Place Stadium.

Supra du Quebec, meanwhile, sit 7th with 6 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats from 21 matches. They have been slightly better away than at home in terms of goals scored (18 away vs 11 at home), but their defence has leaked 21 goals on the road. Their overall record underlines a side that can hurt opponents going forward but often leaves itself exposed, especially late in games.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

B. Tabla vs L. Kwemi

Ballou Tabla is one of Atlético Ottawa’s primary attacking threats. Across 22 league appearances (21 starts), he has scored 5 goals and added 1 assist. His 19 total shots with 13 on target, combined with 26 dribble attempts (12 successful), show a player who is both direct and technically capable. With a rating of 7.04 and 25 fouls drawn, he is a constant problem for defenders, especially in one-on-one situations.

Loïc Adrien Kwemi is Supra du Quebec’s main goal threat, also with 5 goals from 19 appearances (15 starts). He has 22 shots (11 on target) and a slightly higher involvement in duels (107 total, 45 won), underlining his physical presence up front. He has also converted 2 penalties, which makes him dangerous from the spot. This duel between Tabla’s creativity and Kwemi’s finishing power will go a long way to deciding who controls the scoreboard.

N. Fleuriau Chateau vs D. Choinière

Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau offers Atlético Ottawa a versatile attacking option. In just 9 appearances (7 starts), he has already contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, with 14 shots and 6 on target. His 7 goal involvements in limited minutes (368) underline his efficiency in the final third. He also appears in the top assists list, which highlights his dual role as scorer and creator.

On the other side, David Choinière is a key creative hub for Supra du Quebec. With 4 assists in 20 appearances (16 starts), he has produced 19 key passes from 305 total passes at an 86% accuracy rate. He is also involved defensively, with 9 tackles and 5 interceptions. If Choinière can find space between the lines and feed Kwemi and the other forwards, Supra can trouble an Ottawa defence that concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Atlético Ottawa and Supra du Quebec have been entertaining and often high-scoring, with both teams finding joy in attack but showing vulnerabilities at the back.

• 16 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)
• 11 August 2026: Atlético Ottawa 3-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Championship)
• 8 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 3-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Championship)
• 9 June 2026: Atlético Ottawa 5-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 19 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a relatively even contest in terms of attacking output, but Atlético Ottawa hold the edge in form and defensive solidity, particularly at home. In the last five matches, Ottawa’s recent metrics are stronger, and the comparison indices favour them in form, attack and defence. Supra du Quebec remain dangerous going forward, averaging 1.8 goals per game away from home in league play, but their tendency to concede heavily — especially late in matches — is a concern.

The probability model gives Atlético Ottawa a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Supra du Quebec at just 10%. That points strongly towards a home win or, at worst, a stalemate for the hosts. Given the goal-heavy H2H history and both teams’ season-long averages (Ottawa 1.5 scored/1.7 conceded, Supra 1.4 scored/1.8 conceded), another match with chances at both ends is likely, but Ottawa’s superior home record and slightly better defensive numbers tilt the balance.

Predicted Score: Atlético Ottawa 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Atlético Ottawa Recent Form

Atlético Ottawa’s recent form in the Canadian Premier League is mixed but generally positive, with a pattern of bouncing back quickly from defeats. Their current form string in the standings is LDWLW, reflecting some inconsistency but also resilience. At TD Place Stadium they have been particularly strong, losing only once in 11 home league games and often scoring multiple goals, as evidenced by the 5-3 win over Supra in June.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form is more worrying. Their standings form reads LLWDL, showing three defeats in their last five league matches. While they can produce strong attacking performances — as seen in their 3-1 home win and 3-3 away draw against Ottawa in cup play — their defensive frailty, especially late in games, continues to undermine their efforts. Away from home, they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, underlining their unpredictability on the road.

Atlético Ottawa Possible Starting Lineup

With no specific lineup data from recent fixtures, we can only highlight key players likely to feature based on the squad list and season statistics: GK T. Crampton; defenders such as J. Dunn-Johnson, Sergei Kozlovskiy, Joaquim Coulanges and W. Timóteo; midfielders including M. Aparicio, G. Antinoro, D. Gutiérrez, K. Habibullah and J. Castro; and an attacking line led by B. Tabla, N. Fleuriau Chateau and E. García.

Ottawa have used a variety of formations this season, including 3-4-3 and 4-2-3-1, which suits their wide attacking talents like Tabla and Fleuriau Chateau. Aparicio provides control and bite in midfield, while Antinoro adds dribbling and forward thrust. The presence of multiple creative and goal-scoring threats suggests Ottawa will look to dominate possession and create overloads in wide areas.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

There is no full squad list provided for Supra du Quebec, but key figures based on season statistics should form the spine of their XI: in defence, D. Abzi, C. Auguste and M. Chretien; in midfield, D. Choinière, S. Rea, Aboubacar Sissoko, Alessandro Biello and R. Bey; and in attack, L. Kwemi and I. Conde as primary goal threats.

Supra have often lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, which allows Choinière and Rea to operate as advanced playmakers behind Kwemi. Their challenge will be balancing this attacking intent with defensive discipline, particularly given the high number of yellow cards and late goals conceded. Abzi and Chretien will need to be aggressive but controlled in dealing with Ottawa’s wide forwards.

Atlético Ottawa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Ottawa:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Atlético Ottawa Draw No Bet or Double Chance (Atlético Ottawa or Draw). The probability model gives Ottawa a 45% win chance and only 10% for Supra, with Ottawa also boasting a strong home record (7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). This market leans on their superiority while providing insurance against a draw.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams’ league averages (Ottawa 1.5 scored/1.7 conceded, Supra 1.4 scored/1.8 conceded) and the H2H history — 5-3, 3-3, 3-1, 2-1 in the last four high-scoring meetings — strongly support a goals-based angle.
• Value Tip: Anytime goalscorer L. Kwemi. Supra’s striker has 5 goals in 19 appearances, including 2 penalties scored, and remains their main attacking outlet. Even if Ottawa are favourites, Supra’s decent away scoring record (18 goals in 10 league away games) gives Kwemi a realistic chance to find the net at a potentially attractive price.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.