Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

This second leg in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round sees Celje host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Celje, with everything finely poised after a dramatic first meeting. The tie moves from Demrozi Stadium to Slovenia, where Celje will try to make home advantage count following a 3-3 draw in Albania.

For Celje, this is a chance to turn an encouraging away result into progression. They showed attacking quality to score three times on the road, but defensive vulnerabilities left the tie open. Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with strong early-tournament form and an unbeaten record, having already played three Champions League qualifiers with 10 goals scored.

With the aggregate score level and both sides showing they can score and concede, this looks like a high‑stakes, high‑variance clash that should interest those looking for Champions League qualifying predictions and goal-heavy betting angles.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

• Celje have played 1 Champions League qualifier so far this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game.
• The only previous meeting between these sides, on 22 July 2026 at Demrozi Stadium, finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje in the Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
• Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s tournament statistics show 10 goals scored and 5 conceded across 3 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals for and 1.7 against per game.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 3 (Celje tournament total) vs 10 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë tournament total)
• Goals Against: 3 (Celje tournament total) vs 5 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë tournament total)
• Clean Sheets: Celje 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 in current Champions League campaign

Standings data for this qualifying round is not provided, but the tournament statistics paint a clear picture. Celje have only one Champions League qualifier on record this season, the 3-3 draw away, so their sample size is small but suggests an open, end‑to‑end style.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, by contrast, have three qualifiers behind them with 1 win and 2 draws. They have been prolific at home, scoring 9 goals in 2 matches, but more measured away with 1 goal in 1 game. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the competition so far, underlining the likelihood of goals again in Celje.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë defence

Celje’s offensive output in the first leg was impressive: 3 goals away from home in their only Champions League qualifier to date, giving them a tournament average of 3.0 goals scored per match. Their goals have been spread across the 31–75 minute window, with a significant share coming in the 31–45, 46–60 and 61–75 minute ranges, suggesting they grow into games rather than starting explosively.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defence has conceded 5 goals in 3 matches (1.7 per game) and tends to give up chances in key phases: a notable proportion of goals conceded have arrived between 31–45 and 61–75 minutes. That timing overlaps with Celje’s strongest attacking periods, indicating that the middle of each half could be decisive. While Egnatia have not been fragile, they are far from watertight, and Celje will believe they can again find multiple scoring opportunities.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack vs Celje defence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s attack has been one of the standout features of the early qualifying rounds. With 10 goals in 3 games, they average 3.3 goals per match, including a 6-1 home win as their biggest victory. Their scoring is well distributed: a meaningful share of goals has come early (0–15), around half-time (31–60), and late (76–90), showing they can threaten throughout the 90 minutes.

Celje, however, have conceded 3 goals in their only qualifier, with a significant share arriving very early (0–15) and then again around the hour and late on. That pattern suggests vulnerability at the start of each half and in closing stages. Against an Egnatia side with strong attacking indices in recent form and a comparison model that heavily favours their attack over Celje’s, the home defence will need to be much sharper than in the first leg.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met only once before in European competition, in the first leg of this tie. It was a wild, high‑scoring contest that leaves everything to play for in Celje.

• 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Stats suggest a very balanced second leg with a clear tilt towards goals. The prediction model gives Celje only a 10% chance of winning in 90 minutes, with both the draw and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë victory rated at 45% each. That effectively frames the visitors as slight favourites on the double‑chance market, but also highlights how live the draw remains after the 3-3 first leg.

Celje’s small sample of one match shows both high attacking potential and defensive frailty. Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s three‑match record backs up their status as the more consistent side so far, with stronger indices for form and attack in the comparison block, even if their defence is not dominant. With neither team keeping a clean sheet and both averaging over 3.0 goals scored per game in this campaign, another open encounter is the most likely scenario.

Predicted Score: Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

Celje’s Champions League qualifying form reads as a single draw so far, a 3-3 away result at Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That performance underlines their ability to score on the road but also points to defensive issues, with an average of 3.0 goals conceded in their only match.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent tournament form is strong at this early stage: 3 matches, 1 win and 2 draws, and no defeats. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 5, including a 6-1 home victory that showcases their attacking ceiling. Overall, their unbeaten run and higher attacking output give them a slight edge coming into the second leg.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Celje (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban, S. Sluga;
Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koútris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševič, I. Ćalušić;
Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha;
Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have a deep squad with multiple options in every line, including four goalkeepers and a large pool of midfielders. Their previous Champions League lineup data indicates a 4-4-2 setup has been used, which fits the profile of a side looking to balance width and central presence. With no injury information provided, the coach should have flexibility to adjust, perhaps tightening the defensive line after conceding three times in the first leg while still maintaining enough attacking threat to chase the win at home.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja, L. Tandilashvili;
Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli;
Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili;
Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 formations in their three qualifiers, suggesting tactical flexibility and a preference for systems with three central defenders and wing‑backs. That structure supports their strong attacking numbers while offering an extra body at the back. With no confirmed absences listed, they should be able to field a settled core, aiming to exploit Celje’s defensive gaps while managing the away leg with a compact back line.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

• None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Egnatia Rrogozhinë on the double chance (draw or away win). The prediction model rates Celje at only 10% to win in 90 minutes, with both the draw and Egnatia victory at 45%. Egnatia are unbeaten in 3 qualifiers (1 win, 2 draws) and have the stronger attacking and form indices, making the double‑chance a logical, lower‑risk angle.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Celje’s only qualifier ended 3-3, while Egnatia’s 3 matches have produced 15 total goals (average 5.0 per game). Both sides have yet to keep a clean sheet in this campaign, and the advice explicitly leans towards a “+2.5 goals” scenario, suggesting a high‑scoring contest is more likely than not.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Celje average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match in qualifying, while Egnatia average 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. With both teams’ failed‑to‑score count at zero in the current Champions League run, the “both teams to score” market offers value in a tie where attacking strengths clearly outweigh defensive solidity.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.