CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats, Lineups, and Betting Tips

CSKA Sofia host OFI at National Stadium Vasil Levski in Sofia on 27 August 2026 in the UEFA Europa League Play-offs, with the Bulgarians needing a big response after a bruising first leg. Having lost 3-0 in Heraklion a week earlier, CSKA face a steep uphill task to turn this tie around in front of their own fans.

For OFI, this trip to Sofia is about finishing the job professionally and protecting a commanding aggregate lead. Their 3-0 home win, with a clean sheet and goals spread across the 90 minutes, has put them in control of this Europa League qualifier. CSKA, meanwhile, will lean on their generally strong tournament record and home support to try to spark a comeback and keep their European campaign alive.

With CSKA Sofia vs OFI prediction, H2H history and betting tips in focus, this second leg sets up an intriguing tactical battle: can CSKA’s higher-volume Europa League campaign overturn a one-off statement performance from OFI, or will the Greeks’ defensive solidity and clinical edge carry them through?

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Stats

• CSKA Sofia have played 7 Europa League matches this campaign, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded.
• The only previous meeting between these sides came on 20 August 2026 in Heraklion, where OFI beat CSKA Sofia 3-0 in the Europa League Play-offs.
• In tournament statistics, CSKA Sofia have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches, while OFI have 1 clean sheet from their single Europa League game so far.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 10 (CSKA Sofia tournament total) vs 3 (OFI tournament total)
• Goals Against: 9 (CSKA Sofia tournament total) vs 0 (OFI tournament total)
• Clean Sheets: CSKA Sofia 3 vs OFI 1 (tournament statistics)

There is no group-stage standings table for this Play-offs tie, but the broader Europa League statistics still tell a story. Across 7 matches, CSKA Sofia have been relatively productive, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, with 4 wins and only 2 defeats. They have also shown tactical flexibility, using five different formations, most commonly 4-3-3.

OFI’s sample is much smaller but impressive: a single Europa League match, a 3-0 home win over CSKA, with a clean sheet and a perfect record in front of goal. They average 3.0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game in this campaign, and deployed a 3-4-3 system effectively in the first leg. While CSKA have the larger body of work, OFI arrive in Sofia with the psychological and aggregate advantage.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Matchups

Bruno Jordão vs Aitor Cantalapiedra (creative battle)

Bruno Jordão has been one of CSKA Sofia’s key midfielders in the Europa League, with 2 appearances and 1 goal. His ability to break lines from midfield and contribute directly to the scoresheet is vital if CSKA are to chase down a three-goal deficit. With no penalties in CSKA’s campaign so far, his open-play contribution becomes even more important.

On the other side, Aitor Cantalapiedra stands out in OFI’s squad list as a technically gifted midfielder who fits naturally into their 3-4-3 structure. While individual Europa League stats for him are not listed, his role as a creative and attacking midfielder is crucial to linking OFI’s midfield to forwards like T. Fountas and A. Leya. If Jordão can dictate tempo and pin OFI back, CSKA gain a foothold; if Aitor finds space between the lines, OFI can threaten on the counter and kill the tie.

Pastor vs T. Fountas (defensive solidity vs clinical finishing)

Defender Pastor has quietly been one of CSKA Sofia’s most effective performers in this Europa League run. In 2 appearances he has provided 1 assist, underlining his ability to contribute in the final third from the back. With no goals but a key pass record in both top scorers and top assists lists, he offers progressive passing and overlaps that can overload OFI’s wide defenders.

For OFI, attacker T. Fountas is a key outlet in their forward line. While we do not have his specific Europa League goal tally here, his presence in an attacking role within a 3-4-3 makes him a primary threat in transition. Pastor’s dual responsibility—containing Fountas’ runs while still providing width and delivery for CSKA—could be decisive. If he overcommits forward, OFI’s pace can exploit the space; if he stays conservative, CSKA may struggle to create enough from wide areas.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have only just met for the first time in European competition, and that match has set the tone for this second leg. OFI’s dominant display at home gives them a strong platform, while CSKA must show they can quickly adjust to an opponent that outplayed them a week earlier.

• 20 August 2026: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League Play-offs)

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction

Stats suggest a complex picture. Over the wider Europa League campaign, CSKA Sofia have been solid: 4 wins in 7, 10 goals scored, and 3 clean sheets. Their last-five performance index shows balanced output, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded across those matches. However, the recent H2H and comparison indices tilt towards OFI: the head-to-head comparison gives OFI a clear edge, and defensively the Greeks hold a perfect record in this competition so far.

Probability-wise, the prediction model gives CSKA Sofia only a 10% chance of winning this match, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an OFI win. That reflects OFI’s 3-0 first-leg victory and their 100 defensive index in the comparison block. Yet the betting market strongly favours CSKA on the night, with home odds around 1.58–1.65 (implied probability roughly 60.6%–63.3%), the draw 3.82–4.00 (about 25.0%–26.2%), and OFI as big underdogs at 5.00–5.80 (17.2%–20.0%). The market is clearly pricing in CSKA’s home advantage and desperation to attack.

Given CSKA’s need to chase the game and OFI’s demonstrated ability to punish them on the break, this second leg could be tighter than the first but still cautious early on. OFI do not need to force the issue and may prioritise structure and compactness. CSKA should see more of the ball, but breaking down a three-centre-back system that has yet to concede in Europe will be challenging.

Predicted Score: CSKA Sofia 1-1 OFI

CSKA Sofia Recent Form

In recent Europa League matches, CSKA Sofia have shown mixed but generally positive form. Across their last 7 fixtures in the competition, they have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with a goal difference of 10 scored and 9 conceded. Their last-five sample indicates 5 goals for and 6 against, suggesting matches are often competitive and relatively tight.

OFI Recent Form

OFI’s recent Europa League form is short but perfect: a single match, a 3-0 home win over CSKA Sofia. That performance delivered 3 goals scored, none conceded, and a clean sheet backed by a 100 defensive index in the comparison metrics. With a 100 form index from their last-five block (1 win from 1), they arrive in Sofia confident and with momentum, even if the sample size is small.

CSKA Sofia Possible Starting Lineup

Likely squad options (key players): D. Evtimov (GK); J. Gbamin, Adrián Lapeña, Á. Martino, Pastor, Facundo Santiago Rodríguez, A. Yordanov, Tamimou Ouorou (Defenders); M. Ebong, J. Eto'o, J. Iliev, Bruno Jordão, V. Kaymakanov, P. Panayotov, S. Sensi, I. Solet Bomawoko, M. Brahimi, C. Itu, Léo Pereira (Midfielders); S. Godoy, A. Piedrahita, I. Pittas, R. Zhivkov, J. Zwarts (Attackers).

CSKA have used a variety of shapes in this Europa League run, most often 4-3-3, but also 4-3-1-2, 3-5-2, 4-4-2 and 4-1-4-1. That flexibility suggests they can switch between back three and back four depending on the game state. Expect an aggressive setup with multiple attackers like I. Pittas, S. Godoy or J. Zwarts supported by creative midfielders such as Bruno Jordão and S. Sensi. Pastor’s presence at the back adds an attacking outlet from defence, given his 1 assist in 2 European appearances.

OFI Possible Starting Lineup

Likely squad options (key players): N. Christogeorgos (GK); L. Dickmann, Borja González, N. Marinakis, D. Nikolaou, A. Poungouras, C. Sielis, K. Krizmanić, K. Kostoulas (Defenders); N. Athanasiou, S. Almasidis, T. Androutsos, G. Apostolakis, A. Bouchalakis, Aitor Cantalapiedra, M. Chnaris, G. Kanellópoulos, Z. Karachalios, K. Lagoudakis, Thanasis Sitmalidis, T. Nuss (Midfielders); T. Fountas, A. Leya, T. Romano, G. Theodosoulakis, Charalampos Antonakakis (Attackers).

OFI lined up in a 3-4-3 in their only Europa League outing so far and are likely to stick with that successful formula. Three centre-backs provide a strong platform for wing-backs and midfielders like Aitor Cantalapiedra and A. Bouchalakis to support a front line that includes threats such as T. Fountas and A. Leya. With a 3-0 lead to protect, OFI can sit deeper, compress space centrally and look to spring forward quickly when CSKA commit numbers ahead of the ball.

CSKA Sofia Team News

No significant absences reported.

OFI Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

CSKA Sofia:

• None reported.

OFI:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: CSKA Sofia vs OFI

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: CSKA Sofia to win the match. While the prediction model rates OFI and the draw both at 45% versus just 10% for a CSKA win, the betting market strongly favours the hosts at 1.58–1.65 (implied 60.6%–63.3%). CSKA’s 4 wins in 7 Europa League games and the need to chase the tie suggest a strong home performance, even if they ultimately go out on aggregate.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. CSKA average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per Europa League game, while OFI have one match at 3-0. OFI’s defensive record (0 goals conceded in Europe) and their incentive to manage the game with a three-goal cushion point towards a controlled, lower-scoring contest. Look for the Under 3.5 line in the goals market at available odds.
• Value Tip: Draw in the match winner market. With the draw priced between 3.82 and 4.00 (implied 25.0%–26.2%) against a 45% model probability, there appears to be value in a stalemate. CSKA’s need to attack and OFI’s strong defensive structure could cancel each other out, leading to a result like 1-1 that sees OFI progress comfortably.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.