HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

HFX Wanderers FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Wanderers Grounds on 24 July 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that already feels important in the battle for mid-table security and potential playoff positioning. With both sides in the lower half of the table, this fixture offers a chance to reset trajectories heading into the second half of the campaign.

The hosts sit 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, a negative goal difference of -3 but a platform of relative stability at home. Supra du Quebec arrive 7th with 11 points from 11 matches and a goal difference of -6, under pressure to stop a worrying defensive trend that has seen them concede 21 goals already. Recent form and predictive metrics suggest a tight contest, with HFX Wanderers FC marginally favoured to avoid defeat.

Search interest around “HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec prediction”, “Canadian Premier League betting tips”, and “HFX Wanderers probable lineup” will centre on whether the hosts can avenge their April defeat at CEPSUM Stadium and turn improved underlying form into three points at Wanderers Grounds.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• HFX Wanderers FC are 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, while Supra du Quebec are 7th with 11 points from 11 matches in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
• The only previous meeting this season, on 24 April 2026, ended Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC at CEPSUM Stadium.
• HFX Wanderers FC have kept 2 clean sheets in 14 league fixtures this season, while Supra du Quebec have yet to record a clean sheet in 11 matches.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 18 vs 15
• Goals Against: 21 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: 2 vs 0

In pure standings terms, HFX Wanderers FC have a slight edge. They have played more matches (14 vs 11) but have still accumulated five more points, indicating a higher floor in terms of consistency. Their goal difference of -3 (18 scored, 21 conceded) reflects a side that scores at 1.3 goals per game but concedes at 1.5, with a particular vulnerability in the middle phases of each half.

Supra du Quebec mirror HFX Wanderers’ defensive record with 21 goals conceded, but in three fewer matches, for a higher average of 1.9 goals against per game. Offensively, they actually shade the scoring rate at 1.4 goals per game (15 in 11), driven by a strong away attacking average of 1.8 goals per game. However, the absence of any clean sheets underlines their fragility, especially late in games where a significant share of their goals conceded arrive between minutes 76 and 90.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

L. Callegari vs S. Rea

L. Callegari has been one of HFX Wanderers FC’s standout performers in midfield. Across 12 appearances and 540 minutes, he has scored 2 goals, with 3 total shots on target from 3 attempts, and completed 467 passes at an impressive 87% accuracy. He also contributes defensively with 13 tackles and 12 interceptions, plus 9 key passes going forward. His influence as a tempo-setter and ball-winner will be central to controlling transitions against a Supra side that thrives in open games.

For Supra du Quebec, S. Rea is a creative hub. In 11 appearances (10 starts) and 299 minutes, he has 1 goal and 1 assist, but more importantly 15 key passes from 152 total passes at 82% accuracy. His 11 dribble attempts with 5 successes and 6 fouls drawn show a player who can carry the ball and win free-kicks in advanced areas. The battle between Callegari’s control and Rea’s playmaking could define which side dictates the midfield and creates the better chances.

I. Johnston vs C. Auguste

Another crucial duel comes between HFX’s box-to-box midfielder I. Johnston and Supra defender C. Auguste. Johnston has been productive in the final third: 3 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances, with 9 shots (8 on target), 8 key passes, and 20 dribble attempts (11 successful). His ability to break lines with runs from midfield and contribute to both phases makes him a constant threat between the lines.

Auguste, meanwhile, is an important part of Supra’s back line. In 11 appearances and 348 minutes, he has delivered 243 passes at 86% accuracy, 11 tackles, and 9 interceptions, plus 4 key passes from deep. His defensive reading and distribution from the back will be vital in dealing with Johnston’s forward surges and in launching Supra’s own counters. If Auguste can limit Johnston’s influence, Supra’s chances of taking something from Halifax increase significantly.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met once so far in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, with Supra du Quebec drawing first blood at home. That result will linger in the minds of both teams as they prepare for the return fixture at Wanderers Grounds.

• 24 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League)

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest. The prediction model gives HFX Wanderers FC a 35% chance of winning, the draw also at 35%, and Supra du Quebec at 30%. That points to a game where the hosts are marginally favoured, primarily due to home advantage, a slightly better defensive profile, and their two clean sheets versus Supra’s none.

Recent five-match metrics show HFX Wanderers FC with a stronger form index (47 vs 27) and significantly better defensive index (50 vs 13). Supra du Quebec, however, match HFX in attacking index and average 1.8 goals per game in their last five, the same as the Wanderers. Both teams have seen high-scoring tendencies: HFX’s last five feature 9 scored and 8 conceded; Supra’s 9 scored and 14 conceded.

Given that the goals prediction values are thresholds rather than exact scores, and with the recommended angle being double chance HFX Wanderers FC or draw combined with over 1.5 goals, the expectation is for a competitive match with goals at both ends. HFX’s stronger recent form and slightly more solid defence should help them avoid a repeat of April’s defeat, but Supra’s attacking threat means a tight margin.

Predicted Score: HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

HFX Wanderers FC Recent Form

HFX Wanderers FC’s recent league form is mixed but trending more stable than their rivals. Their Group Stage form string reads DWLWL, reflecting inconsistency but also an ability to respond after setbacks. Across 14 matches, they have 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, scoring 18 and conceding 21. At home, they are competitive: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded, averaging 1.8 goals both for and against per home game.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s Group Stage form is more concerning at LLLDW in their latest five, indicating three straight defeats before a small upturn. Over 11 matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home, they are dangerous going forward (7 goals in 4 matches, 1.8 per game) but porous at the back (9 conceded, 2.3 per game). Their last five overall see them concede 14 goals, underlining defensive instability despite respectable attacking numbers.

HFX Wanderers FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Carducci; Defenders: Jefferson Alphonse, T. Meilleur-Giguère, Kareem Sow, F. Linder; Midfielders: L. Callegari, M. Godinho, I. Johnston, Miguel Arilla, A. Rampersad; Forwards: T. Ciccarelli, Y. Baï.

HFX Wanderers FC have a well-balanced squad spine. In goal, M. Carducci offers experience, while a defensive unit built around T. Meilleur-Giguère and Kareem Sow can provide stability in either a back three or four, as suggested by their frequent use of 3-5-2 and 4-3-3 formations. In midfield, the technical quality and work rate of L. Callegari, M. Godinho, I. Johnston, and Miguel Arilla give the Wanderers control, creativity, and set-piece threat. Up front, the scoring contributions of T. Ciccarelli (3 goals) and the presence of Y. Baï offer penetration. The tactical shape is likely to emphasise midfield dominance and overlapping wide players to stretch Supra’s fragile back line.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: [not available]; Defenders: C. Auguste, D. Abzi; Midfielders: S. Rea, Alessandro Biello, R. Bey, O. Boughanmi; Forwards: [not available].

Detailed positional data for the full Supra du Quebec XI is limited, but key figures are clear. At the back, C. Auguste and D. Abzi combine defensive solidity with good passing ranges, allowing Supra to build from deep. In midfield, the creativity of S. Rea, supported by the energy of Alessandro Biello and the dribbling of R. Bey and O. Boughanmi, suggests a side that will look to transition quickly and exploit spaces behind the HFX defence. However, disciplinary records for several of these players, including red cards for Biello and Bey, hint at a risk of indiscipline in high-pressure moments.

HFX Wanderers FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

HFX Wanderers FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: HFX Wanderers FC Double Chance (HFX or Draw). With win probabilities at 35% for HFX, 35% for the draw, and 30% for Supra, and HFX showing stronger recent form indices and better defensive numbers, backing the hosts to avoid defeat aligns with the predictive edge.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Both teams average over 1.3 goals scored per game and concede at least 1.5 (HFX) and 1.9 (Supra) respectively, while their last five matches each feature an average of 1.8 goals scored. Combined with the recommended over 1.5 angle, this points strongly towards at least two goals in the match.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. HFX Wanderers FC have failed to score in only 3 of 14 fixtures, while Supra du Quebec have also failed to score just 3 times in 11 games and average 1.8 goals per away match. Given Supra’s defensive frailties and attacking potency, and HFX’s strong home scoring record (1.8 goals per game), BTTS offers attractive value where prices are generous.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.