One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

One Knoxville welcome Chattanooga Red Wolves to Regal Stadium on 10 June 2026 in a pivotal USL League One Cup Group Stage clash. With both sides in the lower reaches of Group 3, this derby-style matchup carries extra weight as they jostle for position and try to keep their cup campaigns alive.

The group picture is tight, and every point matters. One Knoxville sit fifth in Group 3 with 2 points and a goal difference of 0 after two games, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are sixth with 1 point and a goal difference of -2. The hosts have split their early fixtures with one win and one defeat, whereas Chattanooga have lost both of their opening matches and are still searching for their first cup victory of this campaign.

Recent history between these clubs in both USL League One and the USL League One Cup suggests a fiercely contested series, often low-scoring and decided by fine margins. With that context and the group standings in mind, this encounter looks set to be a cagey, tactical affair rather than a free-scoring shootout.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Key Stats

• One Knoxville are fifth in Group 3 with 2 points from 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4 in the USL League One Cup standings.
• The last meeting at Regal Stadium on 1 October 2025 in USL League One ended One Knoxville 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves.
• In this USL League One Cup campaign, One Knoxville average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match, while Chattanooga Red Wolves average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 6
• Points: 2 vs 1
• Goals For: 4 vs 3
• Goals Against: 4 vs 5
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

The group standings underline how fine the margins are. One Knoxville, fifth with 2 points from 2 games, have been involved in open contests so far, scoring and conceding 4. Their home record in the group is less convincing, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded across their single home outing, but they have shown they can win on the road with a 2-1 away success.

Chattanooga Red Wolves are one rung below in sixth with 1 point from 2 matches, having scored 3 and conceded 5. All of their cup action to date has come at home, where they have lost twice, scoring just once and conceding 3. Away numbers are still blank in the standings, but their early defensive record of 1.5 goals conceded per game and no clean sheets suggests they arrive in Knoxville under pressure and in need of a more solid platform.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Key Matchups

One Knoxville attack vs Chattanooga Red Wolves defence

Without individual scoring data available, the battle is best framed in unit terms. One Knoxville’s attack has produced 2 goals in 2 USL League One Cup matches, with an average of 1.0 goals per game and their best attacking moments coming away from home. They have failed to score once, at home, but their overall attacking metrics compare favourably with Chattanooga’s.

Chattanooga’s defence, meanwhile, has conceded 3 goals in 2 cup outings, an average of 1.5 per match. They have yet to keep a clean sheet and have allowed goals in both the early (0-15) and later (61-75) phases of games. If One Knoxville can apply consistent pressure, particularly around those windows, they should find opportunities to break through.

Midfield control and late-game discipline

Discipline and control in midfield could be decisive. One Knoxville have picked up yellow cards predominantly between minutes 61-75 and 91-105, indicating a tendency to become stretched late on. Chattanooga Red Wolves spread their cautions more evenly, with bookings across four separate 15-minute ranges, including the opening quarter-hour and the final stages.

With both sides yet to score heavily and each averaging at least one goal conceded per game, whichever midfield can maintain composure and avoid late fouls or lapses in concentration is likely to tilt the balance in a tight contest.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides are no strangers, with a rich recent history across league and cup. The rivalry has been balanced, with both teams enjoying wins home and away, and several matches decided by a single goal. Below are the most recent clashes.

• 1 October 2025: One Knoxville 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One)
• 26 July 2025: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville (USL League One Cup)
• 5 July 2025: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville (USL League One)
• 5 October 2024: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 One Knoxville (USL League One)
• 16 August 2024: One Knoxville 4-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One)

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction

Stats suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter. One Knoxville have the edge in form and attacking output, with a league form line of “LW” in the group and 4 goals scored compared to Chattanooga’s 3. Chattanooga’s “LL” form, coupled with no wins and a negative goal difference, underlines their early struggles.

The prediction metrics strongly favour the hosts not to lose, with One Knoxville given a 45% chance of victory and the draw also at 45%, leaving Chattanooga on just 10%. The advice leans towards a double chance for One Knoxville or draw, combined with a low goal count under 3.5. That aligns with both sides averaging a combined 1.5 goals scored per game in this competition and neither keeping a clean sheet.

Predicted Score: One Knoxville 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves

One Knoxville League Form

LW

Chattanooga Red Wolves League Form

LL

One Knoxville Possible Starting Lineup

J. Burke; J. Brown, Bull, S. McLeod, Finn McRobb; T. Baker, A. Caputo, R. Gill, J. Murphy; B. Diene, S. Zarokóstas.

One Knoxville have options across the pitch, with J. Burke and J. Garibay competing for the goalkeeper spot and a solid defensive core featuring players such as J. Brown, Bull, S. McLeod and Finn McRobb. In midfield, the likes of T. Baker, A. Caputo, R. Gill and J. Murphy offer energy and balance, while in attack, B. Diene, S. Zarokóstas, K. Linhares and D. Krioutchenkov provide multiple profiles to stretch a Chattanooga back line that has struggled early in the group. Expect a flexible setup capable of transitioning quickly, particularly given their away scoring record in the competition.

Chattanooga Red Wolves Possible Starting Lineup

J. Smith; T. Adewole, J. Ayimbila, P. Hernandez, H. Jolley; O. Hernandez, J. Ramos, W. Wessels, J. Vaughan; M. Bentley, R. Mensah.

Chattanooga Red Wolves can call on three goalkeepers, with J. Smith a likely starter, and a defensive unit including experienced figures such as T. Adewole and A. Lombardi alongside younger options like H. Jolley. Their midfield depth is notable, with O. Hernandez, J. Ramos and W. Wessels providing industry and J. Vaughan adding experience. Up front, attackers such as M. Bentley, R. Mensah and G. Mercer will be tasked with improving a return of just 1 goal in 2 cup matches. Given their defensive vulnerabilities, Chattanooga may look to stay compact and hit One Knoxville on the break.

One Knoxville Team News

No significant absences reported.

Chattanooga Red Wolves Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

One Knoxville:

• None reported.

Chattanooga Red Wolves:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back One Knoxville or Draw (Double Chance). With One Knoxville given a 45% win probability and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for Chattanooga, the numbers back the hosts to avoid defeat. Their “LW” form and superior goals for/against profile in the group reinforce this angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 Total Goals. Both sides average low scoring in the USL League One Cup: One Knoxville at 1.0 goals for and 1.0 against per game, Chattanooga at 0.5 for and 1.5 against. The prediction advice specifically highlights a combination with under 3.5 goals, and recent H2H meetings have often finished with three or fewer goals.
• Value Tip: One Knoxville to Win & Under 3.5 Goals (Same-Game Combo). With One Knoxville favoured in the win-or-draw market and neither side prolific in front of goal, combining a home win with a low total goals line offers value. One Knoxville’s defensive record of 1.0 goals conceded per game and Chattanooga’s modest attacking average of 0.5 per match support a narrow home victory scenario.

How to Watch One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.