Premier League Odds: Who Will Be the Next Manager Sacked in 2026/27?

As the 2026/27 Premier League season approaches, betting odds on which manager will be the next to lose their job highlight the pressure and expectations clubs face. Nine teams start the season with new bosses after Eddie Howe left Newcastle United, reminding us that departures don't always depend on league results.

"Promoted managers dominate the market, but history shows the next Premier League sacking isn't always predictable..."

Looking at relegation chances helps understand the risk managers carry, especially those at newly promoted clubs or sides likely to struggle early on. Below are the main contenders to be the first Premier League boss to go in 2026/27, plus a longer shot who could come under pressure if the season starts poorly.

Top Candidates to Be the First Premier League Manager Sacked

• Sergej Jakirovic: Odds 1/1 (Decimal 2.00) – Implied Probability 50.0%
• Frank Lampard: Odds 3/1 (Decimal 4.00) – Implied Probability 25.0%
• Gary O’Neil: Odds 4/1 (Decimal 5.00) – Implied Probability 20.0%
• Roberto De Zerbi: Odds 8/1 (Decimal 9.00) – Implied Probability 11.1%

These odds are theoretical, compiled by Oddspedia, as no live markets are currently open.

Recent Managerial Changes in the Premier League

• Eddie Howe – Newcastle United – July 2026
• Vitor Pereira – Nottingham Forest – July 2026
• Arne Slot – Liverpool – June 2026
• Pep Guardiola – Manchester City – May 2026
• Scott Parker – Burnley – April 2026
• Liam Rosenior – Chelsea – April 2026
• Igor Tudor – Tottenham – March 2026
• Sean Dyche – Nottingham Forest – February 2026
• Thomas Frank – Tottenham – February 2026
• Ruben Amorim – Manchester United – January 2026

Profiles of Leading Candidates

Sergej Jakirovic is top of the sack betting after leading Hull City back to the Premier League. Hull start among relegation favourites with a tight budget, meaning any injuries or poor runs could quickly spell trouble. His promotion success might buy some time, but survival won't be easy.

Frank Lampard, now at Coventry City, also faces tough odds despite a contract running until 2029. Coventry are predicted to fight near the bottom and compete against wealthier clubs. Lampard's promotion record offers protection, though a rough start might erode that goodwill.

Gary O’Neil takes charge at Ipswich Town, another newly promoted side expected to battle relegation. Unlike others, he doesn't have long-term credit with the club, so early struggles could put him in the firing line.

Roberto De Zerbi at Tottenham Hotspur has a strong squad after a big summer investment. While he should get time to settle, a poor run despite high expectations could quickly increase pressure.

Longshot: Keith Andrews at Brentford

Keith Andrews offers outsider value at 16/1. Brentford showed stability last season, but raised expectations mean a shaky start might bring scrutiny. His odds could shorten fast if results dip.

Full List of Premier League Next Manager Sacked Odds 2026/27

• Sergej Jakirovic: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
• Frank Lampard: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
• Gary O’Neil: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
• Roberto De Zerbi: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
• Oliver Glasner: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
• Daniel Farke: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
• Keith Andrews: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
• Regis Le Bris: 20/1 (21.00) – 4.8%
• Michael Carrick: 25/1 (26.00) – 3.8%
• Fabian Hurzeler: 33/1 (34.00) – 2.9%
• Marco Silva: 40/1 (41.00) – 2.4%
• Enzo Maresca: 50/1 (51.00) – 2.0%
• Unai Emery: 66/1 (67.00) – 1.5%
• David Moyes: 80/1 (81.00) – 1.2%
• Mikel Arteta: 200/1 (201.00) – 0.5%

Strategies for Betting on the Next Manager to Leave

• Watch Newly Promoted Managers: They often lead sack odds due to survival battles and limited resources.
• Keep an Eye on Big-Spending Clubs With Poor Results: High investment raises expectations; failure can bring quick pressure.
• Check Team Form and Fixtures: Tough schedules may allow some slack, but losing to direct rivals hurts more.
• Follow Club and Fan Sentiment: Board confidence and fan unrest can signal impending change.
• Consider Contract Length and Experience: Short deals and rookie managers might be less secure.

You can use tools like Oddspedia's Bet Calculator to gauge potential winnings and compare offers from top betting sites such as bet365.

FAQs on Premier League Next Manager Sacked Odds

• How do these odds work? They estimate which manager might leave first, based on results, expectations, club stability, and fixtures.
• Who is most likely to be sacked? Managers at promoted clubs or those underperforming at ambitious teams usually top the list.
• Why are promoted-team bosses favorites? Smaller budgets and squad depth make survival harder, increasing risk.
• What influences sackings? Mainly poor results, but also performance quality, morale, injuries, transfers, and ownership patience.
• Where to find live odds? Once markets open, sites like Oddspedia update real-time prices and movements.
• Which bookmakers offer these bets? Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor, and Paddy Power often have these markets during the season.
• What other outright bets exist? Options include title winner, top-four finish, relegation, top scorer, and player awards.
• Where to find betting tips? Various platforms provide Premier League previews, accumulator tips, and predictions throughout the season.