Supra du Quebec vs York United Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
Supra du Quebec welcome York United to CEPSUM Stadium in Canadian Premier League Group Stage action on 29 May 2026, with the hosts looking to steady an inconsistent start and the visitors aiming to consolidate their early position in the play-off places. With just five points separating the sides, this has the feel of an early litmus test for both clubs’ ambitions.
Supra du Quebec sit 5th with 7 points from 6 matches, having struggled for consistency and goals in front of their own fans. York United, meanwhile, are unbeaten and up in 3rd on 12 points after 6 games, already occupying a “Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)” spot. For neutrals tracking Canadian Premier League predictions and betting angles, this matchup offers a classic contrast between a stuttering mid-table side and one of the league’s early pace-setters.
Form indicators and underlying numbers suggest York United arrive as the more balanced outfit, particularly in both boxes, while Supra du Quebec will hope home advantage at CEPSUM Stadium can help them punch above their current ranking. With York’s strong defensive record and Supra’s issues breaking teams down, this could be a tight, tactical encounter rather than a shootout.
Supra du Quebec vs York United Key Stats
- Supra du Quebec have taken 7 points from 6 matches (rank 5), while York United have collected 12 points from 6 games without a defeat (rank 3).
- There are no previous head-to-head meetings recorded between Supra du Quebec and York United in the available data.
- York United average 1.7 goals scored per game and just 0.8 conceded, with 2 clean sheets so far; Supra du Quebec average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded with no clean sheets.
Supra du Quebec vs York United — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 5 vs 3
- Points: 7 vs 12
- Goals For: 6 vs 10
- Goals Against: 7 vs 5
- Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0 vs York United 2
The season record shows Supra du Quebec hovering in mid-table after 6 matches, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, and a negative goal difference of -1 (6 scored, 7 conceded). Their home record is particularly mixed: 1 win and 2 defeats from 3 at CEPSUM Stadium, with just 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. That lack of cutting edge at home is a concern heading into a meeting with one of the division’s most efficient defences.
York United, by contrast, are unbeaten through 6 games, winning 3 and drawing 3, with a healthy goal difference of +5 (10 scored, 5 conceded). They have been strong both home and away, taking 5 points from 3 road games (1 win, 2 draws) while conceding only 2 goals on their travels. With their league status already in the “Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)” zone, York’s task here is to maintain momentum and keep a buffer over the chasing pack.
Supra du Quebec vs York United Key Matchups
M. Chretien vs T. Skublak
For Supra du Quebec, defender M. Chretien has been one of the standout performers. He has 1 goal from 6 appearances (5 starts), backed up by 108 passes at an impressive 91% accuracy, plus 4 tackles, 4 blocks and 1 interception. His duel numbers are strong too, winning 10 of 13 contests, underlining his importance in both defensive solidity and first-phase build-up.
He will be tested by York United’s leading attacker T. Skublak, who has 3 goals in just 5 appearances (4 starts) and an eye-catching rating line. Skublak has taken 6 shots with 5 on target, and also contributed 35 passes with 3 key passes at 71% accuracy. He is heavily involved physically, with 25 duels and 14 won, plus 4 fouls drawn. This duel between Chretien’s aerial and positional strength and Skublak’s movement and finishing could be decisive in determining whether York can find a breakthrough.
Sean Rea vs Shola Jimoh
In midfield and wide areas, the creativity battle may pit Supra du Quebec’s Sean Rea against York United’s Shola Jimoh. Rea has 1 assist from 6 appearances (5 starts), with 70 passes at 84% accuracy and 5 key passes, showing his ability to unlock defences. He also contributes defensively with 1 interception and has drawn 2 fouls, making him a key conduit between midfield and attack.
For York, Shola Jimoh has been a dynamic presence. Across 6 appearances (all starts), he has 1 assist and 30 passes at 86% accuracy, including 3 key passes. His attacking intent is clear from 7 dribble attempts (2 successful) and 2 shots, both on target. He also engages in 16 duels, winning 4, and has collected 2 yellow cards, underlining his aggressive style. Whoever controls this flank battle could tilt territory and chance creation in their team’s favour.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
There are no recorded recent head-to-head meetings between Supra du Quebec and York United in the available competitive data. This fixture therefore represents a fresh tactical matchup rather than a renewal of an established rivalry.
Supra du Quebec vs York United Prediction
Form and statistical comparison lean heavily towards York United. The comparison metrics rate York at 73% for form and attack versus 27% for Supra du Quebec, with a similar edge in defensive rating (63% vs 38%). York’s unbeaten start, superior goals return (1.7 scored per game) and two clean sheets contrast with Supra’s more fragile profile: 3 defeats in 6, 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average, and no clean sheets.
Supra du Quebec do have some late-scoring potential, with 50% of their league goals coming between minutes 76–90, but York’s balanced scoring pattern across both halves and their ability to limit opponents (only 5 goals conceded in 6 matches) suggest they are well equipped to manage those moments. With the prediction model indicating a 50% chance of a York win and 50% draw, and explicitly favouring “Win or draw” for the visitors combined with under 3.5 goals, the expectation is for a controlled away performance rather than an open contest.
Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-2 York United
Supra du Quebec League Form
DLLWL
York United League Form
DWWDW
Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup
Key players likely to feature: M. Chretien, S. Mlah, D. Abzi, Alessandro Biello, Sean Rea, Charles Auguste.
Supra du Quebec’s selection picture is built around a core of versatile defenders and midfielders. Chretien offers composure on the ball and aerial presence at the back, while D. Abzi contributes progressive passing (96 passes at 89% accuracy) and 5 tackles from defence. In midfield, S. Mlah and Alessandro Biello bring energy and ball-winning, with Biello particularly tidy in possession (92% pass accuracy). Creative responsibility will fall on Sean Rea and Charles Auguste, who have combined for 2 assists and 8 key passes, suggesting a shape that prioritises compactness and quick transitions rather than sustained possession.
York United Possible Starting Lineup
Likely key players: I. Pavela or D. Urtiaga (GK); defenders such as L. Singh, J. Córdova, M. Ferrari, Shola Jimoh; midfielders S. Yeates, O. Bassett, Gabriel Bitar; forwards J. Altobelli, B. Badibanga, T. Skublak.
York United have the depth to rotate but their spine is well defined. At the back, L. Singh and J. Córdova combine solid distribution (118 and 75 passes respectively, both at 80%+ accuracy) with defensive interventions. Wide and full-back roles are well covered by M. Ferrari and Shola Jimoh, who add ball progression and crossing threat. In midfield, S. Yeates is a key metronome with 119 passes at 91% accuracy and 4 key passes, supported by the creativity of O. Bassett and Gabriel Bitar. Up front, the trio of Skublak, Altobelli and Badibanga offers goals, movement and link play, giving York multiple avenues to break down Supra’s defence.
Supra du Quebec Team News
No significant absences reported.
York United Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Supra du Quebec:
- None reported.
York United:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs York United
Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:
- Result Tip: York United Double Chance (Draw or Away). With York rated at 69.8% overall in the comparison metrics, unbeaten in 6, and explicitly advised as “Win or draw”, backing them on the double chance market is a logical, lower-risk angle compared to an outright away win.
- Goals Tip: Under 3.5 Total Goals. Both teams’ under/over profiles point towards a relatively low-scoring game: Supra du Quebec average 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against, while York average 1.7 for and 0.8 against. The prediction specifically recommends a combo with under 3.5 goals, aligning with York’s solid defence and Supra’s modest attacking output.
- Value Tip: T. Skublak to Score Anytime (Player Market). Skublak has 3 goals in 5 appearances, with 5 of his 6 shots on target and 3 key passes, making him York’s most potent attacking threat. Against a Supra side yet to keep a clean sheet and conceding 1.2 goals per game, backing Skublak in the goalscorer markets offers attractive upside.
How to Watch Supra du Quebec vs York United
Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:
- Spain: Movistar LaLiga
- UK: Premier Sports
- Australia: beIN Sports
- India: FanCode
- MENA: beIN Sports
- South America: ESPN / Disney+
- Africa: SuperSport
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
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