Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tottenham welcome Everton to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 12 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that already feels significant at both ends of the early table. The hosts are under pressure after a poor start, while the visitors arrive unbeaten and looking to cement a place in the upper half.

After three rounds, Tottenham sit 18th with just 1 point and a goal difference of -5, having failed to score in any of their opening fixtures. Everton, by contrast, are 8th with 5 points, unbeaten and with a positive goal difference. For Spurs, this is about kick-starting their season and easing relegation talk before it even properly begins; for Everton, it is an opportunity to turn a solid start into something more ambitious.

The recent head-to-head record in the Premier League at this venue has largely favoured Tottenham, but current form and underlying stats point to a much more balanced contest. With both sides typically lining up in a 4-2-3-1 and the betting markets split between home advantage and Everton’s momentum, this shapes up as one of the more intriguing fixtures of the weekend for both fans and bettors.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Stats

• Tottenham are 18th with 1 point from 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 5 in the Premier League standings.
• In their most recent meeting on 24 May 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Tottenham beat Everton 1-0 in the Premier League.
• In 2026 Premier League statistics, Tottenham have failed to score in all 3 matches, while Everton average 1.7 goals scored per game across 3 fixtures.

Tottenham vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 18 vs 8
• Points: 1 vs 5
• Goals For: 0 vs 5
• Goals Against: 5 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: Tottenham 1, Everton 1 (2026 Premier League statistics)

The standings underline how contrasting these early weeks have been. Tottenham’s 0 goals for and 5 against from 3 matches leave them in the relegation zone, with a form line of DLL. They have taken just 1 point and already carry a negative goal difference of -5, with their only clean sheet coming away from home. At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, they have lost their sole home game 0-2.

Everton, meanwhile, sit 8th with 5 points and a goal difference of +2 after a WDD start. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 across 3 matches, including 4 goals at home and 1 away. Their away record shows 1-1 from their single road trip so far, suggesting they are competitive on their travels. While it is early in the campaign, the numbers point to Everton as the more balanced and confident side at this stage.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups

D. Udogie vs B. Johnson

With no top scorers data available, discipline and defensive duels could be decisive, making the clash between Tottenham defender D. Udogie and Everton midfielder B. Johnson particularly interesting. Udogie has made 3 Premier League appearances in 2026, logging 92 minutes with 1 yellow card. He has contributed 50 passes at 88% accuracy, 1 key pass, and has won 7 of 14 duels, underlining his physical presence on the left side.

Johnson, operating higher up for Everton, has also played 3 times with 100 minutes on the pitch. He has 1 yellow card and has been involved in 12 duels, winning 3, while contributing 22 passes at 77% accuracy and 2 key passes. His 4 fouls committed and 1 foul drawn show he is involved in plenty of contact. Udogie’s ability to manage Johnson’s runs and avoid cheap bookings could be crucial in keeping Tottenham’s defensive structure intact.

H. Hackney vs Tottenham midfield unit

On the Everton side, H. Hackney has been a standout in creative metrics. In 3 appearances (122 minutes), he has registered 1 assist, 3 key passes, and 75 total passes at an impressive 89% accuracy. He has also contributed defensively with 3 tackles, 2 blocks, and 2 interceptions, plus 6 duels won from 14, showing he can both build play and break it up.

Tottenham’s midfield personnel are known from the squad list but lack individual 2026 stat lines here, so the focus is on how their collective will cope with Hackney’s passing range. If Spurs allow him time between the lines, Everton’s already solid attacking numbers (5 goals in 3 matches) could be enhanced. Denying Hackney space and disrupting his rhythm will be a key tactical task for the home side.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent Premier League history between these clubs has been rich in storylines, with Tottenham generally strong at home but Everton capable of upsetting them at Goodison Park. Goals have not been in short supply in this fixture.

• 24 May 2026: Tottenham 1-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 26 October 2025: Everton 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League)
• 19 January 2025: Everton 3-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
• 24 August 2024: Tottenham 4-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 3 February 2024: Everton 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction

Form trends and underlying stats point towards a tight, low-scoring contest. Tottenham’s attacking output has been non-existent so far in 2026, with 0 goals in 3 games and an average of 0.0 goals per match. Defensively they concede 1.7 per game, and a significant share of those goals have arrived in the final half-hour, hinting at late-game frailty.

Everton, by contrast, average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, with a strong late scoring profile: a large proportion of their goals have come between the 76th and 90th minute. The prediction model assigns just a 10% chance to a Tottenham win, with 45% each for draw and Everton victory, effectively making the visitors and the stalemate joint-most likely outcomes. However, the betting markets disagree: home odds for Tottenham range from 1.95 to 2.05 (implied roughly 48.8%–51.3%), while Everton are priced between 3.60 and 3.86 (about 25.9%–27.8%), making Spurs clear market favourites due to home advantage and historical dominance at this ground.

Balancing Tottenham’s strong home H2H record with Everton’s superior current form and more potent attack, a cagey draw feels the most realistic outcome, especially given Spurs’ early-season struggles in front of goal.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 1-1 Everton

Tottenham Recent Form

Tottenham’s recent Premier League form is poor, with a sequence of DLL. Across 3 matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring 0 and conceding 5. Their average of 0.0 goals scored per game and 1.7 conceded highlights both an attacking crisis and defensive vulnerability, despite one clean sheet away from home.

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent Premier League form reads WDD. They are unbeaten in 3, with 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their attack averages 1.7 goals per game, and they have yet to fail to score in a match. Defensively they allow 1.0 goal per game and have one clean sheet, indicating a relatively solid platform at both ends.

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: B. Austin; M. Dúbravka; A. Kinský.
Defenders: T. Adarabioyo, B. Davies, M. Hardy, Pedro Porro, A. Robertson, James Rowswell, M. Senesi, D. Udogie, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven.
Midfielders: A. Gray, D. Ajayi, R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, Mateus Fernandes, C. Gallagher, T. Hall, T. Hall, M. Kudus, Rio Kyerematen, J. Maddison, C. Olusesi, X. Simons, S. Tonali, M. Mudryk, Sávio, M. Tel.
Forwards: Omar Marmoush, Richarlison, D. Solanke, L. Williams-Barnett.

Tottenham have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 shape in 2026, and the squad list supports that structure with a deep pool of attacking midfielders and wide players. Expect a back four featuring at least two of M. Senesi, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, and D. Udogie, with creative responsibility likely to fall on the likes of J. Maddison, M. Kudus, X. Simons or M. Mudryk behind a central striker such as Richarlison or D. Solanke. The challenge is turning possession into goals after three straight blanks; selection may tilt towards more direct, high-tempo options to break Everton down.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: T. King, J. Pickford, M. Travers.
Defenders: J. Branthwaite, Elijah Xavier Campbell, G. Finney, M. Keane, V. Mykolenko, J. O'Brien, W. Tamen, J. Tarkowski, M. Röhl.
Midfielders: A. Maitland-Niles, C. Alcaraz, H. Armstrong, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Foster, J. Garner, J. Grealish, H. Hackney, C. Nørgaard, Malik Olayiwola, Tyrique George, B. Johnson.
Forwards: T. Barry, T. Dibling, B. Graham.

Everton have also lined up in a 4-2-3-1 across their 3 league matches. With J. Pickford a likely starter in goal and an experienced centre-back pairing such as J. Tarkowski alongside J. Branthwaite or M. Keane, they have a solid defensive base. In midfield, the blend of work-rate (J. Garner, C. Nørgaard) and creativity (J. Grealish, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Hackney) gives them multiple ways to progress the ball. Out wide or in the advanced roles, players like B. Johnson and T. Barry provide running power and pressing, fitting well with their unbeaten, hard-working profile so far.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham:

• None reported.

Everton:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Tottenham vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Draw. The prediction model gives 45% to a draw and 45% to an Everton win, versus just 10% for Tottenham. However, bookmakers still price Spurs as favourites at home, with their win odds between 1.95 and 2.05 (implied roughly 48.8%–51.3%), while the draw ranges from 3.40 to 3.71 (about 26.9%–29.4%). Given Tottenham’s goal drought and Everton’s unbeaten WDD form, the draw looks a sensible compromise between the model’s caution and the market’s respect for home advantage.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Tottenham have seen under 3.5 in all 3 of their league matches (0 scored, 5 conceded), and their attacking numbers are extremely weak. Everton average 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against per game, but only one of their three fixtures has required more than 2 goals to settle. With the prediction advice already leaning to a combo of Everton and under 3.5, a goals-leaning angle of under 3.5 fits the statistical profile, even if specific under/over odds are not listed here.
• Value Tip: Everton double chance (Everton or Draw). With Everton priced between 3.60 and 3.86 for the outright win (implied 25.9%–27.8%), the market is arguably underestimating their form edge: they have 5 goals scored, none of their games have ended in defeat, and their last-five form index stands at 56 compared to Tottenham’s 11. A conservative angle backing Everton to avoid defeat (via double chance) offers a way to side with their stronger attack and defensive stability while respecting Tottenham’s strong H2H home record.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.