Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Vancouver FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Willoughby Community Park Stadium on 6 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could prove pivotal in the race for the upper half of the table. With only five points separating the sides, this fixture has the feel of a mini six-pointer between two mid-table rivals trying to stay in touch with the frontrunners.

The hosts come into this match 4th in the Canadian Premier League on 27 points after 20 games, with a positive goal difference and a solid home record. Supra du Quebec sit 5th with 22 points from 19 matches and a significantly worse goal difference, but they have shown they can score freely, especially away from home. For fans looking for Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction angles, recent head-to-head meetings and contrasting attacking profiles make this a fascinating contest.

Beyond the table, there is a psychological edge at stake. Vancouver FC hammered Supra du Quebec 5-1 away in July, while the earlier meeting at Willoughby ended 1-1. Supra will be desperate to respond to that heavy defeat, while Vancouver know another strong result here would underline their status as the more balanced, resilient side in this matchup.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Vancouver FC are 4th with 27 points from 20 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 23 in the Canadian Premier League standings.
• The last meeting on 17 July 2026 saw Vancouver FC thrash Supra du Quebec 5-1 at CEPSUM Stadium.
• Season statistics show Vancouver FC averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 5
• Points: 27 vs 22
• Goals For: 26 vs 27
• Goals Against: 23 vs 33
• Clean Sheets: Vancouver FC 3 (tournament statistics); Supra du Quebec 1 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline how tight this matchup is in terms of points, but also highlight a key structural difference. Vancouver FC have a +3 goal difference (26 scored, 23 conceded) across 20 games, reflecting a more controlled profile: they are not prolific but keep things relatively tight at the back.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, are more volatile. With 27 goals scored and 33 conceded in 19 matches, they are involved in higher-scoring games but pay a price defensively. Their away record (16 scored, 18 conceded in 9 games) shows they can hurt opponents on the road but also leak chances. Vancouver’s slightly better defensive record and home advantage tilt the balance marginally in their favour, even if Supra’s attack remains a genuine threat.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

T. Campbell vs L. Kwemi

For Vancouver FC, attacker Terran Campbell has been a key offensive outlet. He has 4 goals in 20 appearances, despite starting only 11 of those matches and playing 428 minutes. His return of 4 goals from 12 shots (4 on target) is efficient, and he also contributes 5 key passes and 91 total passes at 73% accuracy. Campbell’s ability to impact games both as a starter and from the bench makes him a central figure in Vancouver’s attacking plan.

Opposite him, Supra du Quebec’s main danger man is Loïc Adrien Kwemi. The attacker has 5 goals in 17 appearances (14 starts), with 18 shots and 11 on target, plus 155 passes at 82% accuracy. He has also drawn 4 fouls and attempted 37 dribbles, succeeding 18 times, underlining his capacity to carry the ball and destabilise defences. If Kwemi finds space between Vancouver’s lines, he can punish them; keeping him quiet will be a priority for the hosts.

I. Ssewankambo vs D. Choinière

In midfield creativity terms, Vancouver FC look to Isak Ssali Ssewankambo. In just 7 appearances (5 starts) and 185 minutes, he has already produced 2 assists, with 75 passes at 84% accuracy. His ability to progress the ball and link play, combined with a solid defensive contribution (3 tackles, 2 interceptions), makes him an important conduit between defence and attack.

For Supra du Quebec, David Choinière is a key playmaker. He has 3 assists in 18 appearances (14 starts), with 239 passes at 86% accuracy and an impressive 15 key passes. He also attempts shots (10 total, 6 on target) and contributes defensively with 6 tackles and 5 interceptions. Choinière’s vision and passing range can unlock Vancouver’s back line, especially if Supra dominate spells of possession. The midfield battle between Ssewankambo’s control and Choinière’s creativity could shape the tempo of the game.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already met twice in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, with Vancouver FC enjoying the better of the recent exchanges. The sample is small but offers clear tactical clues: Vancouver have shown they can both match Supra in a tight contest and blow them away when chances are taken ruthlessly.

• 17 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-5 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 23 May 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced encounter with a slight edge to Vancouver FC, especially given the venue and the recent 5-1 away win. The prediction model rates Vancouver’s win probability at 45 out of 100, with the draw also at 45 out of 100 and Supra du Quebec at just 10 out of 100. That distribution points strongly towards a “Vancouver or draw” scenario rather than a clear-cut home win.

Vancouver’s overall defensive numbers (1.2 goals conceded per game, three clean sheets in tournament statistics) compare favourably with Supra’s 1.7 conceded per match and just one clean sheet. However, Supra’s attack away from home (1.8 goals scored per game) and the presence of in-form forwards like Kwemi mean the visitors are unlikely to be completely shut down.

Expect Vancouver to try to control the tempo, using their more balanced structure and home comfort, while Supra look to exploit transitions and individual quality from Kwemi, Choinière and supporting attackers. With both sides averaging over a goal per game and recent meetings producing six and two goals respectively, a low-scoring stalemate feels less likely than a competitive game with chances at both ends.

Predicted Score: Vancouver FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Vancouver FC Recent Form

In the Canadian Premier League standings, Vancouver FC’s recent run is mixed, reflected in a form line of LLLDW over their last five league fixtures. That sequence shows three straight defeats followed by a win and a draw, indicating a side that has struggled for consistency but retains the ability to respond. Across the broader tournament statistics, they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses from 20 matches, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded, underlining their tendency to stay in games even when not at their best.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent league form reads WDLLD, combining one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. They have been unpredictable all season: 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in 19 matches, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. That negative goal difference and high concession rate, particularly late in games, point to defensive frailties and lapses in concentration, even when their attack is functioning well.

Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: C. Irving; Defenders: M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, M. Campagna, P. Gee; Midfielders: M. Polisi, I. Ssewankambo, N. Mezquida, L. Toomey; Forwards: T. Campbell, L. Mousset.

Vancouver FC have a well-stocked squad with experience in all lines. At the back, players like Thomas Geoffrey Field and M. Doner provide stability, while in midfield the likes of Marcello Polisi and Isak Ssewankambo combine work rate with passing quality. Further forward, Terran Campbell and Lys Mousset offer goal threat, supported by creative midfielders such as N. Mezquida and L. Toomey. Tactical flexibility is evident from their tournament statistics, where Vancouver have frequently used a 4-2-3-1 but can also shift to 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, allowing them to adapt to Supra’s approach.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: [not available]; Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien; Midfielders: D. Choinière, S. Rea, A. Sissoko, Alessandro Biello; Forwards: L. Kwemi, I. Conde, S. Mlah.

While a full squad list is not available, Supra du Quebec’s key contributors suggest a side built around a strong spine. In defence, Diyaeddine Abzi and Charles Auguste bring aggression and ball progression from the back, with M. Chretien adding aerial presence and distribution. The midfield unit of David Choinière, Sean Rea, Aboubacar Sissoko and Alessandro Biello combines creativity, pressing and defensive work, while in attack, Loïc Adrien Kwemi, I. Conde and Safwane Mlah provide varied goal threats. Supra’s tactical identity leans towards proactive, front-foot football, but their defensive discipline will be under scrutiny after the 5-1 defeat in July.

Vancouver FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Vancouver FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct betting ideas from different markets, based on available probabilities and performance trends:

• Result Tip: Vancouver FC Double Chance (Home or Draw). With the prediction model assigning 45% to a Vancouver win and 45% to the draw, against only 10% for a Supra victory, backing Vancouver on the double-chance market is a data-backed approach. Their stronger defensive record and home advantage support this conservative angle.
• Goals Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Vancouver average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Supra average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Both recent H2H matches saw both teams score (1-1 and 5-1), and Supra’s away attack (1.8 goals per game) suggests they can find the net even if Vancouver edge the result.
• Value Tip: Anytime Goalscorer – L. Kwemi (Supra du Quebec). Kwemi has 5 goals in 17 appearances with 11 shots on target and 2 penalties scored at a 100% conversion rate. Even in a match where Vancouver are favoured not to lose, his individual numbers and Supra’s attacking style make him a logical value candidate to score.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.