AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

AC Milan welcome Venezia to Milan on 28 August 2026 for Round 2 of the Serie A regular season, with the hosts looking to build early momentum in front of their own fans. The match will be played in Milan, and although the specific stadium name is not listed, AC Milan’s home advantage is clear.

After opening with a 2-1 away win, AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A with 3 points and a positive goal difference. Venezia, by contrast, started their campaign with a 0-2 home defeat and find themselves 18th, already in the relegation zone. That context makes this an important early-season fixture for both sides: Milan aiming to underline their top-four credentials, Venezia desperate to avoid back-to-back losses that would immediately deepen survival concerns.

For those searching for AC Milan vs Venezia prediction, Serie A betting tips, and AC Milan vs Venezia H2H trends, this matchup offers a strong statistical tilt towards the Rossoneri, but also the classic early-season volatility that can spring surprises.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Stats

• AC Milan are 5th with 3 points from 1 match (2 goals scored, 1 conceded), while Venezia are 18th with 0 points and a 0-2 goal record.
• Across the last four Serie A meetings since 2021, AC Milan have won every game against Venezia, scoring 11 goals and conceding none.
• In 2026 Serie A statistics so far, AC Milan average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Venezia average 0.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

AC Milan vs Venezia — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 18
• Points: 3 vs 0
• Goals For: 2 vs 0
• Goals Against: 1 vs 2
• Clean Sheets: AC Milan 0, Venezia 0 (2026 Serie A statistics)

After one round, the standings already hint at a familiar pattern. AC Milan, with 1 win from 1 (2-1 away), are in the upper part of the table and tracking towards European qualification spots. Venezia’s 0-2 home defeat leaves them in the bottom three, immediately tagged in the “Relegation” description band.

Over 1 match each, Milan’s attacking output (2 goals) and Venezia’s lack of scoring (0 goals) are mirrored by their respective defensive numbers. Milan concede 1.0 goal per game, Venezia 2.0. While the sample size is tiny, it aligns with the broader narrative: Milan are expected to challenge near the top, Venezia are tipped to fight to stay in the division.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Matchups

A. Rabiot vs M. Dagasso

Adrien Rabiot has hit the ground running for AC Milan in this Serie A campaign. In his single appearance so far, he produced 1 goal and 1 assist in just 34 minutes, with 1 shot on target from 1 attempt and 12 passes (1 key pass). A 7.5 rating underlines his impact as a high-quality, box-to-box presence who can both create and finish.

For Venezia, Matteo Dagasso stands out more for his discipline profile than attacking threat. In 20 minutes off the bench he completed 20 passes at 85% accuracy but picked up 1 yellow card and committed 1 foul, with no goals or assists. If Rabiot operates between the lines and drives at Venezia’s midfield, Dagasso and his colleagues will need to be careful not to concede dangerous free-kicks or pick up early cards that tilt the contest further towards Milan.

A. Cissé vs R. Loftus-Cheek

AC Milan’s young attacker Alphadjo Cissé has also impressed early. In his 66 minutes, he scored 1 goal from 3 shots (1 on target), added 1 key pass and completed 24 passes at 87% accuracy. Winning 6 of 10 duels and drawing 4 fouls, he showed he can be a constant nuisance for defenders.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek, listed as an attacker, has a different profile. In 56 minutes he did not score or assist but still managed 3 shots and 3 key passes from 20 total passes, with a perfect 100% pass accuracy. He also drew defenders with 3 dribble attempts (1 successful) and took 1 yellow card. If both feature, Milan’s attacking rotations with Cissé and Loftus-Cheek between the lines and in half-spaces could overload Venezia’s back three, especially given the visitors’ early defensive frailty.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent Serie A history between these sides is completely one-sided in favour of AC Milan, both home and away. Venezia have struggled to lay a glove on the Rossoneri in the modern era.

• 27 April 2025: Venezia 0-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 14 September 2024: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia (Serie A)
• 9 January 2022: Venezia 0-3 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 22 September 2021: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia (Serie A)

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

All indicators point towards another AC Milan victory. The prediction model names Milan as the expected winner, and the probability split is striking: 50% chance of a home win, 50% chance of a draw, and effectively 0% assigned to a Venezia upset. That reflects Milan’s superior squad, their strong H2H dominance (11-0 on aggregate across the last four meetings), and a better start to the 2026 campaign.

Tactically, Milan are likely to control territory and possession, as they did in the recent 4-0 and 3-0 home and away wins. Venezia’s 3-5-2 structure can be compact, but their early numbers — 0 goals scored, 2 conceded, and 1 match where they failed to score — suggest they may struggle to carry enough attacking threat to punish Milan on transitions. Expect the hosts to build pressure, with Rabiot, Cissé, Chukwueze and Loftus-Cheek providing multiple routes to goal.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia

AC Milan Recent Form

AC Milan’s recent Serie A form is positive. They opened the 2026 campaign with a win, scoring twice and conceding once away from home. That continues a broader pattern of strong performances against mid-to-lower table sides, and they come into this fixture with confidence, attacking fluency (2.0 goals per game) and no early signs of instability.

Venezia Recent Form

Venezia’s recent form is concerning. Their only 2026 Serie A outing so far ended in a 0-2 home defeat, with no goals scored and 2 conceded. The team has yet to find an attacking rhythm and already shows signs of vulnerability at the back, mirroring their historical struggles against stronger opposition like AC Milan.

AC Milan Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Maignan; Defenders: P. Estupiñán, F. Tomori, M. Gabbia, S. Pavlović; Midfielders: A. Rabiot, R. Loftus-Cheek, Y. Fofana, S. Chukwueze; Forwards: Rafael Leão, A. Cissé.

AC Milan have the depth to rotate, but their 3-4-2-1 base in early 2026 statistics suggests a back three is also an option, with wing-backs such as Estupiñán and perhaps Saelemaekers or Chukwueze providing width. Key creative influence should come from Rabiot and Loftus-Cheek in midfield, while Leão, Cissé and potentially Pulišić or Nkunku offer multiple goal threats. With no listed absences, Stefano Pioli (or the current Milan coach) can select an aggressive, attack-minded XI tailored to break down a deep Venezia block.

Venezia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Stanković; Defenders: A. Bella-Kotchap, M. Šverko, R. Haps; Midfielders: Thierry Correia, E. Bohinen, G. Busio, T. Bašić, M. Dagasso; Forwards: J. Yeboah, A. Adams.

Venezia’s 2026 statistics indicate a 3-5-2 shape, with three centre-backs and a packed midfield. Bella-Kotchap and Šverko provide physical presence at the back, while Busio, Bohinen and Bašić can offer work-rate and distribution in midfield. Yeboah and Adams (or alternatives such as Antonio Casas or Lauberbach) will likely be tasked with stretching Milan on the counter. However, with no goals yet this season and a heavy historical H2H deficit, Venezia may focus primarily on defensive solidity and hope to nick something from set pieces or rare transitions.

AC Milan Team News

No significant absences reported.

Venezia Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

AC Milan:

• None reported.

Venezia:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: AC Milan vs Venezia

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AC Milan in the match result market. The prediction probabilities allocate 50% to a Milan win and 50% to a draw, with effectively no chance given to a Venezia victory. Combined with Milan’s perfect H2H record (four wins from four, 11-0 on aggregate) and better early-season form, the home win is the logical play.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals looks reasonable. Milan average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded so far, while Venezia average 0.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Previous meetings have often been comfortable Milan wins without turning into complete goal-fests (2-0, 3-0, 2-0). With Venezia likely to sit deep and offer limited attacking threat, a controlled 2-0 or 3-0 type scoreline favours an unders angle rather than a wild shootout.
• Value Tip: Consider a Milan win to nil. Venezia have failed to score in their only 2026 match and have not scored in any of the last four head-to-head Serie A clashes with Milan. Milan’s defence conceded once in their opener but historically handles Venezia well, and the visitors’ lack of cutting edge suggests a clean-sheet home win offers attractive value if priced generously.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.