Bologna vs Inter Prediction: Key Matchups and Betting Tips

Bologna welcome champions-elect Inter to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 23 May 2026 in the final round of Serie A’s regular season. With safety long secured and a top-half finish already in hand, Bologna have the chance to sign off in front of their own fans by upsetting the league’s standout side.

Inter arrive in Bologna sitting top of the table with 86 points from 37 games, boasting the division’s most potent attack and one of its meanest defences. Bologna, eighth with 55 points from 37 matches, have overachieved by staying in the upper half of the standings despite modest scoring numbers. This clash pitches Inter’s firepower against a Bologna side that has become a tricky opponent for the big clubs at the Dall'Ara.

From a betting perspective, many punters will be looking at Bologna vs Inter predictions and odds around the away win, but recent head-to-head meetings and Bologna’s solid overall campaign suggest this may be more competitive than the league table alone implies.

Bologna vs Inter Key Stats

• Bologna sit 8th with 55 points, scoring 46 and conceding 43 in 37 league games.
• The last Serie A meeting on 4 January 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza ended Inter 3-1 Bologna.
• Inter average 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league game, with 18 clean sheets in 37 matches.

Bologna vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 1
• Points: 55 vs 86
• Goals For: 46 vs 86
• Goals Against: 43 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: 12 vs 18

The season record shows Bologna have been a resilient mid-table force. With 16 wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats, they have a positive goal difference of +3 and have taken 55 points from 37 matches. The concern is at home: only 16 goals scored and 20 conceded across 18 games underline why they are more dangerous on their travels than at the Dall'Ara.

Inter, by contrast, have dominated Serie A. They top the standings with 27 wins from 37, scoring 86 and conceding just 32. Their attack has produced an average of 2.3 goals per match, while defensively they allow only 0.9 goals per game. Away from home they have been ruthless, winning 13 of 18, scoring 36 and conceding 16. The description attached to their league position confirms they are firmly in the Champions League league-phase zone and have lived up to that elite billing all year.

Bologna vs Inter Key Matchups

Riccardo Orsolini vs Lautaro Martínez

Riccardo Orsolini has been Bologna’s standout attacking threat in this Serie A campaign. The winger has 10 league goals and 1 assist in 35 appearances, with 26 key passes and 66 shots (31 on target). He also contributes defensively with 21 tackles and 8 interceptions, and his 4 penalties scored underline his importance in high-pressure moments.

Lautaro Martínez is Inter’s attacking spearhead and one of the division’s top performers. In 29 appearances, he has 17 goals and 6 assists, backed by 69 shots (39 on target) and 37 key passes. He is heavily involved in build-up play with 583 passes at 78% accuracy and has drawn 45 fouls, constantly troubling defences. This duel pits Bologna’s primary finisher against Serie A’s most complete centre-forward, and whichever of the two is more clinical will heavily influence the result.

Federico Dimarco vs N. Cambiaghi

Federico Dimarco has been a creative powerhouse for Inter from wide areas. With 6 goals and a league-leading 16 assists in 34 appearances, plus 94 key passes and 44 shots (20 on target), he is central to Inter’s chance creation. Defensively, he adds 50 tackles and 30 interceptions, making him a two-way force.

On the Bologna side, N. Cambiaghi has offered energy and end product when available, with 3 goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances. He has 16 shots (6 on target), 18 key passes and 33 dribble attempts (15 successful), and draws a remarkable 71 fouls, constantly inviting contact and set-piece opportunities. However, his availability is a concern for this fixture, which could blunt Bologna’s ability to exploit space behind Dimarco and on the counter.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Bologna and Inter have been remarkably balanced, with both sides enjoying big wins and tight contests across league and cup. The last five clashes in all competitions highlight how often this fixture produces competitive scorelines.

• 4 January 2026: Inter 3-1 Bologna (Serie A)
• 19 December 2025: Bologna 1-1 Inter (Super Cup)
• 20 April 2025: Bologna 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
• 15 January 2025: Inter 2-2 Bologna (Serie A)
• 9 March 2024: Bologna 0-1 Inter (Serie A)

Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Analysis points to Inter as favourites, but not overwhelming ones. The prediction metrics give Bologna only 10% implied chance of victory, with 45% each on the draw and an away win. Inter’s league form string of “WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWLDDWWWDWWD” underlines sustained excellence, while Bologna’s “WWDLL” suggests inconsistency in the run-in.

Bologna’s home scoring rate of 0.9 goals per game, combined with Inter’s 2.0 goals per game away and 10 away clean sheets, suggests the visitors are more likely to control territory and chances. However, the recent H2H record, including Bologna’s 1-0 win at the Dall'Ara on 20 April 2025 and a Super Cup success on penalties, warns against writing the hosts off. Expect Inter to edge a relatively tight contest, with their superior attacking depth ultimately telling.

Predicted Score: Bologna 1-2 Inter

Bologna League Form

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Inter League Form

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Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

Ł. Skorupski; Joāo Mário, J. Lucumí, N. Casale, Juan Miranda; R. Freuler, L. Ferguson, N. Moro; R. Orsolini, F. Bernardeschi, T. Dallinga.

Bologna’s squad profile and tactical history this season indicate a preference for a back four, most often in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3. With N. Casale and Juan Miranda among the recognised defenders, and R. Freuler and L. Ferguson offering solidity in midfield, the hosts are likely to build a compact block and rely on the creativity of Orsolini and F. Bernardeschi to fashion chances for a central striker such as T. Dallinga. The absence of several defenders and attackers through injury may limit rotation options and push Bologna towards their strongest available XI.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

Y. Sommer; F. Acerbi, A. Bastoni, S. de Vrij; D. Dumfries, F. Dimarco; H. Çalhanoğlu, N. Barella, H. Mkhitaryan; Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.

Inter have lined up in a 3-5-2 for all 37 league matches, and there is little reason to expect a deviation here. The back three of experienced centre-backs is shielded by H. Çalhanoğlu at the base of midfield, with N. Barella providing box-to-box energy. Wing-backs D. Dumfries and F. Dimarco are crucial in stretching Bologna’s defensive shape, while the strike partnership of Lautaro Martínez and M. Thuram brings a blend of movement, physicality and finishing that few Serie A defences have contained this season.

Bologna Team News

Bologna have several confirmed absentees for this fixture, notably in defence and attack, which may force changes to the bench and reduce flexibility in-game.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Bologna:

• K. Bonifazi — Reason: Inactive
• N. Cambiaghi — Reason: Muscle Injury
• N. Casale — Reason: Calf Injury
• M. Vitik — Reason: Ankle Injury

Inter:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Bologna vs Inter

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Inter to win. Inter have 27 wins from 37 league games and a strong away record, while Bologna’s home attack is modest. The prediction metrics lean towards the away side with Inter favoured over Bologna’s 10% home win probability. For the 1X2 market, Bet365 price the away win at 2.20, while Pinnacle go as high as 2.26, offering solid value on the champions.
• Goals Tip: Inter to score at least 2 goals. They average 2.0 goals per game away and 2.3 overall, while Bologna concede 1.1 per game at home and have struggled to keep elite attacks quiet. Although no explicit over/under odds are listed, the strong attacking metrics and recent 3-1 home win for Inter on 4 January 2026 support a goals-based angle favouring the visitors’ scoring output.
• Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime. With 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances, plus 39 shots on target, Lautaro is Inter’s primary goal threat. His involvement in both finishing and build-up increases his chances of finding the net in a game where Inter are odds-on favourites in many books. Bettors can pair this angle with the attractive away-win prices such as 2.20 at 10Bet or 2.26 at Pinnacle for a potential same-game multiple.

How to Watch Bologna vs Inter

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.