Cremonese vs Como Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Cremonese host Como at Stadio Giovanni Zini in a fascinating final-day Serie A clash that pits a side fighting for survival against one pushing to cement European football. With Cremonese sitting 18th on 34 points and in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone, this match could define their immediate future. Como, by contrast, arrive in Cremona in 5th place on 68 points, already in the “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” positions and looking to cap a superb campaign.

The venue in Cremona has seen its share of tense occasions, and this promises to be another. Cremonese have struggled across the campaign, scoring just 31 goals and conceding 53 in 37 league games, but they have shown resilience at home with seven draws from 18 matches. Como travel with one of the division’s most balanced profiles: 61 goals scored, only 28 conceded and an impressive 19 wins from 37. For those searching for Cremonese vs Como prediction angles, the contrast in trajectories is stark.

Recent meetings between these two have tended to be competitive, and with Como already assured of European qualification, the narrative of a desperate home side against a confident, well-drilled visitor will shape many Cremonese vs Como betting tips. The underlying stats suggest a controlled, low-scoring contest rather than a shootout, which is vital for anyone weighing up Serie A predictions on this fixture.

Cremonese vs Como Key Stats

• Cremonese are 18th with 34 points from 37 games, having scored 31 and conceded 53 in Serie A.
• Cremonese are unbeaten in their last five league and cup meetings with Como, including a 1-1 draw at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A on 27 September 2025.
• Como have kept 19 clean sheets in the league campaign, compared to Cremonese’s 11, underlining the visitors’ defensive strength.

Cremonese vs Como — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 18 vs 5
• Points: 34 vs 68
• Goals For: 31 vs 61
• Goals Against: 53 vs 28
• Clean Sheets: 11 vs 19

The season record shows two teams operating at very different levels. Cremonese’s 8 wins, 10 draws and 19 defeats from 37 matches leave them deep in trouble, with a goal difference of -22. Their attack averages less than a goal per game, and the defence concedes at 1.4 goals per match. At Stadio Giovanni Zini, they have only three wins from 18, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded, underlining how hard they have found it to turn home support into victories.

Como, meanwhile, have put together a genuinely top-tier campaign. With 19 wins and only 7 defeats, plus a goal difference of +33, they have combined one of the league’s sharper attacks (61 goals, 1.6 per game) with an excellent defence (28 conceded, 0.8 per game). They are strong both home and away: 10 wins from 19 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia and 9 wins from 18 on their travels. That balance explains why they occupy a Europa League league-phase spot and why many Cremonese vs Como predictions lean towards the visitors avoiding defeat.

Cremonese vs Como Key Matchups

Federico Bonazzoli vs Tasos Douvikas

For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli is the clear attacking reference point. The forward has 9 goals and 1 assist in 34 Serie A appearances, having started 30 of those games and played 2,439 minutes. He has taken 55 shots with 31 on target, showing he is capable of testing goalkeepers regularly, and he has also converted 2 penalties. His duel output (242 total duels, 125 won) and 76 fouls drawn underline how often he becomes the focal point of Cremonese’s direct play.

Up against him in the goalscoring stakes is Como striker Anastasios (Tasos) Douvikas. He has 13 goals and 1 assist from 37 appearances, with 24 starts and 2,195 minutes. Douvikas has fired 46 shots with 28 on target, and his movement is reflected in 23 key passes and 40 fouls drawn. While he may not be as physically central to build-up as Bonazzoli, his efficiency in front of goal and involvement in combination play give Como a reliable finisher in a side that already creates plenty.

Jari Vandeputte vs Nicolás Paz

Creativity in midfield could be decisive, and here Cremonese rely heavily on Jari Vandeputte. The Belgian has 5 assists and 1 goal in 31 appearances, with 23 starts and 1,884 minutes. His 893 total passes and 53 key passes show he is the main supply line, and he also contributes defensively with 37 tackles and 18 interceptions. If Cremonese are to unlock Como’s tight back line, Vandeputte’s delivery and vision will be central.

Como’s answer is Nicolás Paz, one of Serie A’s standout midfielders this season. Paz has 12 goals and 6 assists across 35 appearances, starting 33 and logging 2,884 minutes. He has taken 86 shots (48 on target) and produced 51 key passes, supported by 1,394 completed passes at 82% accuracy. Add 91 tackles and 28 interceptions, and you have a complete midfielder who influences every phase. The duel between Vandeputte’s creativity and Paz’s all-round dominance could tilt control of the midfield.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history is heavily tilted towards Cremonese, who have not lost any of the last seven competitive meetings across Serie A, Serie B and Serie C. The last five clashes highlight Cremonese’s edge, with three wins and two draws.

• 27 September 2025: Como 1-1 Cremonese (Serie A)
• 9 March 2024: Cremonese 2-1 Como (Serie B)
• 8 October 2023: Como 1-3 Cremonese (Serie B)
• 6 May 2022: Como 1-2 Cremonese (Serie B)
• 15 January 2022: Cremonese 2-0 Como (Serie B)

Cremonese vs Como Prediction

Analysis points to a tense, tactical game. Cremonese’s league form line of “WWLLD” suggests some recent improvement, but over the full campaign they have struggled for consistency and goals. Como’s “WWDWL” form underlines their ability to keep picking up results, and their last five league matches show just 2 goals conceded, reinforcing the idea of a controlled defensive display.

Head-to-head trends clearly favour Cremonese, yet the broader context and predictive metrics lean towards Como avoiding defeat. The prediction data labels Como as the likely winner or at least to secure a draw, with both away win and draw given 45% probability and the home win only 10%. The goals projection points strongly to an under 3.5 goals scenario, aligning with Cremonese’s low-scoring profile and Como’s defensive solidity. Expect Cremonese to fight, but Como’s structure and quality should see them leave with at least a point.

Predicted Score: Cremonese 1-1 Como

Cremonese League Form

WWLLD

Como League Form

WWDWL

Cremonese Possible Starting Lineup

E. Audero; F. Baschirotto, M. Bianchetti, S. Luperto, F. Ceccherini; G. Pezzella, M. Thorsby, J. Vandeputte, M. Payero; F. Bonazzoli, D. Okereke.

Cremonese have predominantly used a three-centre-back structure this season, often in a 3-5-2, but they are also comfortable in a back four. With options such as E. Audero in goal and a defensive pool including F. Baschirotto, M. Bianchetti and S. Luperto, they can set up compactly. In midfield, G. Pezzella offers aggression and ball-winning, while Jari Vandeputte is the main creative outlet. Up front, Federico Bonazzoli is likely to lead the line, supported by the pace and direct running of someone like D. Okereke or another attacker from their deep forward group.

Como Possible Starting Lineup

J. Butez; Jacobo Ramón Naveros, M. Kempf, Diego Carlos, Alberto Moreno; M. Perrone, M. Caqueret; N. Paz, Jesú s Rodríguez, Assane Diao; T. Douvikas.

Como have favoured a 4-2-3-1 shape, reflected in their frequent use of that system across the campaign. At the back, Jacobo Ramón Naveros has been a mainstay, combining defensive solidity with distribution, while experienced figures such as Diego Carlos and Alberto Moreno add know-how. In midfield, the pairing of M. Perrone and M. Caqueret provides control and ball progression, with Nicolás Paz operating higher as a goal-scoring playmaker. Wide options like Jesú s Rodríguez and Assane Diao can stretch the game, and Tasos Douvikas offers a reliable focal point up front.

Cremonese Team News

No significant absences reported.

Como Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Cremonese:

• None reported.

Como:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Cremonese vs Como

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Como in the Draw No Bet or Double Chance market. The prediction metrics give Como a 45% chance to win and 45% for the draw, with only 10% on a home victory, and the visitors’ superior league record (68 points vs 34) supports that stance. For a straight away win, several firms price Como around 1.58–1.63, with 10Bet offering 1.58 and Pinnacle 1.63.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. Cremonese average 0.8 goals for and 1.4 against per game, while Como concede just 0.8 per match. The prediction advice explicitly points to a combo of double chance for Como and under 3.5 goals, reflecting an expectation of a tight contest rather than a goal glut.
• Value Tip: Nicolás Paz to score or assist (player performance markets where available). Paz has 12 goals and 6 assists in 35 appearances, making him directly involved in 18 goals from midfield. In a match where Como are favourites (away odds around 1.60 at William Hill and Bet365), backing their most productive midfielder in a goals or assists market offers attractive upside compared with the main 1X2 line.

How to Watch Cremonese vs Como

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.