Top Contenders to Win Each Group at the 2026 World Cup

Expanded Group Stage Brings More Action in 2026 World Cup

The 2026 World Cup introduces a larger group stage featuring 12 groups, 48 teams, and 72 matches. Hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, the tournament promises intense clashes among teams from all six continental federations. From underdogs to powerhouses, each group offers unique challenges.

Only one-third of teams will exit after this round, but topping the group matters most since winners face theoretically easier opponents in the last 32. Here's how things could unfold across each group.

Group A: Mexico

Teams: Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia

Mexico enjoys a home advantage and was placed in Pot 1 as a host nation despite sitting 15th in FIFA rankings. This setup spares them from facing the world’s strongest squads early on. South Korea and Czechia present solid competition, while South Africa might surprise. Still, El Tri is expected to claim first place with passionate home support.

Group B: Switzerland

Teams: Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia & Herzegovina

Canada shares the hosting benefit and a Pot 1 spot but might find it tough to top this group. Switzerland, with extensive tournament experience and a balanced team, looks best equipped to lead the weakest statistical group. Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina appear less likely to challenge for first.

Group C: Brazil

Teams: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti

Brazil is favored to top Group C, aiming for their sixth World Cup title. Morocco, climbing to eighth in FIFA rankings and semifinalists in 2022, could push Brazil hard. Scotland and Haiti are expected to have minimal impact.

Group D: United States

Teams: United States, Australia, Paraguay, Türkiye

The U.S. enters with high hopes, led by Mauricio Pochettino and buoyed by home support. Türkiye, with a talented young squad, stands as their primary challenger. Australia and Paraguay should not be underestimated in this competitive group.

Group E: Germany

Teams: Germany, Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire, Curaçao

Germany has struggled since their 2014 win but remains the favorite here. Ecuador impressed during qualifiers and might cause upsets. Côte d'Ivoire’s golden days have faded, and newcomer Curaçao is unlikely to make a significant mark.

Group F: Netherlands

Teams: Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden

This could be one of the toughest groups. The Netherlands leads in quality and depth but faces serious threats. Japan recently defeated England and has a history of surprising big teams. Sweden's offense could be dangerous, and Tunisia might spring an upset.

Group G: Belgium

Teams: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand

Belgium’s golden era has passed, though stars like Kevin De Bruyne remain. Defensive weaknesses linger. Egypt looks like the main threat. Iran’s status is uncertain, while New Zealand, the only Oceania team, is unlikely to compete strongly.

Group H: Spain

Teams: Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde

Spain should top this group, with Uruguay their main rival. Led by Marcelo Bielsa, Uruguay could disrupt expectations. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde—who notably beat Argentina in 2022—are long shots. The key battle for first will likely be Spain versus Uruguay.

Group I: France

Teams: France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq

Called the "Group of Death," France stands out but faces stiff opposition from Senegal and Norway. Iraq will likely struggle, but the contests among the top three promise intensity. Despite the challenge, France is predicted to come out on top.

Group J: Argentina

Teams: Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan

Argentina is clear favorite to win, aiming to defend their title. Austria and Algeria will battle for second place. Jordan makes their debut and may face harsh results.

Group K: Portugal

Teams: Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo

This group is less predictable. Portugal and Colombia both have solid chances to finish first, with their match likely deciding the leader. Uzbekistan and DR Congo could offer more resistance than expected.

Group L: England

Teams: England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana

England and Croatia, closely ranked and 2018 semifinal foes, will fight for the top spot. England, coached by Thomas Tuchel, is favored. Panama and unpredictable Ghana add complexity to the race for first.