FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

FC Tulsa welcome Monterey Bay to ONEOK Field in USL Championship Group Stage action on 18 June 2026, with both sides looking to sharpen their playoff credentials. The match in Tulsa comes with the hosts sitting higher in the standings and targeting another strong home display, while the visitors try to arrest their inconsistency on the road.

FC Tulsa are currently 7th in the USL 1 group with 16 points from 11 matches, firmly in the zone marked “Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)”. Their goal difference is perfectly balanced at 14 scored and 14 conceded, underlining how fine the margins have been in their campaign so far. At ONEOK Field they have taken 8 points from 5 home games, losing just once.

Monterey Bay arrive in Oklahoma 12th in the same group on 11 points from 12 matches, with a goal difference of -7 (13 for, 20 against). Their away record is a major concern: four defeats in five on the road with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. Given the historical head-to-head dominance FC Tulsa have enjoyed in this matchup, this fixture shapes as a key test of whether Monterey Bay can change the narrative.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Stats

• FC Tulsa sit 7th with 16 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats, 14 goals for, 14 against), occupying a playoff position.
• FC Tulsa are unbeaten in the last six league meetings listed against Monterey Bay, winning four and drawing two.
• FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 12
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 14 vs 13
• Goals Against: 14 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: FC Tulsa 3, Monterey Bay 2

The standings underline FC Tulsa’s stronger platform coming into this clash. With 16 points from 11 games, they have converted a balanced attack and defence into a solid foothold in the playoff spots. Their home record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and only 4 conceded, suggests they are difficult to break down at ONEOK Field.

Monterey Bay, by contrast, have struggled to find consistency. Their 11 points from 12 matches leave them in the lower half of the group, and the -7 goal difference is largely driven by their away fragility: 4 goals scored and 12 conceded on the road, with 4 defeats in 5 away fixtures. While they do carry some attacking threat, their defensive record, especially away from home, makes this a challenging assignment against a side that historically has had their number.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Matchups

Midfield battle and transition vs Monterey Bay’s attacking line

With no individual top scorers or assist leaders specified, the focus shifts to collective units. FC Tulsa’s season profile shows a team that scores 1.3 goals per match and concedes at the same rate, with 3 clean sheets recorded. Their ability to keep things tight, particularly at home where they allow just 0.8 goals per game, will be central to containing a Monterey Bay side that averages 2 goals scored over their last five matches but still concedes 1.4 on average in that span.

FC Tulsa home defence vs Monterey Bay away defence

The contrast between FC Tulsa’s home defensive record and Monterey Bay’s away defensive numbers is stark. Tulsa have conceded only 4 goals in 5 home games, while Monterey Bay have shipped 12 in 5 away fixtures. Tulsa’s structure, backed by 3 clean sheets overall, will look to exploit Monterey Bay’s vulnerability in the key 46-75 minute window where the visitors concede heavily, while the visitors must tighten up if they are to take anything from ONEOK Field.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings have been heavily tilted in FC Tulsa’s favour, both home and away. Across the last seven USL Championship clashes listed, FC Tulsa have four wins, three draws and no defeats, with Monterey Bay yet to record a victory in this sequence.

• 3 May 2026: Monterey Bay 1-2 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 7 August 2025: Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 17 July 2025: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 27 October 2024: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 14 July 2024: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 1 June 2023: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 13 October 2022: Tulsa Roughnecks 2-0 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Stats suggest a tight but home-leaning contest. FC Tulsa’s league form string of “LDWWW” indicates three straight wins after a slower patch, and their last-five metrics show strong attacking output (9 goals in 5 games) paired with a defence that, while not watertight, is significantly more reliable than Monterey Bay’s on the road. Monterey Bay’s broader league form of “WWWLL” hints at recent improvement, but their season-long away record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats is a major red flag.

Head-to-head patterns are firmly in FC Tulsa’s favour, with four wins and three draws in the last seven encounters. The prediction metrics give FC Tulsa a 45% chance of victory and a 45% probability of a draw, with only 10% assigned to a Monterey Bay win, and the advice leans towards a double chance on the hosts. Expected goals lines point towards a game under 2.5 goals, reinforcing the idea of a controlled, relatively low-scoring home performance.

Predicted Score: FC Tulsa 1-0 Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa League Form

LDWWW

Monterey Bay League Form

WWWLL

FC Tulsa Possible Starting Lineup

Tambakis (GK); Batista, Cissoko, D. Pierre, Robinson (Defenders); Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, G. Colli, K. ElMedkhar, R. Somersall (Midfielders); L. Dorsey, N. Pierre (Forwards).

FC Tulsa have depth across the pitch, with multiple goalkeepers available including A. Tambakis and T. Henry, and a solid defensive pool featuring L. Batista, A. Cissoko and G. Robinson. In midfield, creative options such as Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral and K. ElMedkhar give the hosts flexibility between a possession-based approach and more direct transitions, while forwards like L. Dorsey and N. Pierre can stretch Monterey Bay’s vulnerable back line. The squad profile supports a balanced 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 shape built on defensive stability at home.

Monterey Bay Possible Starting Lineup

F. Delgado (GK); K. Egwu, N. Gordon, L. Malešević, S. Ritchie (Defenders); S. Lletget, E. Blancas, A. Rebollar, R. Nakamura (Midfielders); R. Bidois, G. Lomtadze (Forwards).

Monterey Bay’s roster mixes youthful energy with experienced campaigners such as S. Lletget and N. Ross in midfield. At the back, players like K. Egwu, N. Gordon and L. Malešević form the core of a defence that has struggled, particularly away from home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away game. In attack, options including R. Bidois, O. Glasgow and G. Lomtadze offer different profiles, but the tactical priority will be to find a structure that protects their back line while still allowing them to exploit FC Tulsa on the break.

FC Tulsa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Monterey Bay Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Tulsa:

• None reported.

Monterey Bay:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back FC Tulsa or Draw (Double Chance). The prediction metrics give FC Tulsa a 45% chance of victory and a 45% probability of a draw, with only 10% for a Monterey Bay win. Combined with Tulsa’s stronger league position and dominant head-to-head record, the double chance on the hosts looks the most secure angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Total Goals. Both teams’ goal averages (1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded for Tulsa; 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded for Monterey Bay) and the advice indicating goals under 2.5 point towards a relatively low-scoring encounter, especially given Tulsa’s solid home defensive record.
• Value Tip: FC Tulsa to Win to Nil. With 3 clean sheets already and just 4 goals conceded in 5 home matches, FC Tulsa have the defensive base to shut down a Monterey Bay side that scores only 0.8 goals per game away from home. The combination of Tulsa’s home strength and Monterey Bay’s away struggles offers potential value in a home win without conceding.

How to Watch FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.