Hellas Verona vs AS Roma: Season Finale Showdown

On 24 May 2026, the lights of Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona will frame a meeting of opposites: Hellas Verona, fighting to salvage pride at the end of a grim campaign, against an AS Roma side closing in on the Champions League places. For Verona, this finale at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona is about defiance in front of their own fans; for Roma, it is about protecting a top-four berth and confirming a year of progress at the sharp end of Serie A.

Season Context

Hellas Verona arrive in deep trouble near the foot of Serie A. Nineteenth place with 21 points and a goal difference of -34 underlines a season of struggle (25 goals scored, 59 conceded in 37 matches). With only 3 wins and 12 draws from those 37 games, their campaign has been defined by blunt attacking (0.68 goals per game) and a defence that has been regularly exposed (1.59 goals conceded per game).

AS Roma travel to Verona from a very different vantage point. Fourth place on 70 points and a +26 goal difference tells the story of a side operating near the top of the league (57 goals scored, 31 conceded in 37 games). With 22 wins and just 4 draws, Roma have combined a potent attack (1.54 goals per game) with one of the more secure defences in the division (0.84 goals conceded per game), fully justifying their status in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” zone.

Form & Momentum

Verona’s recent form string reads “DLDDL”, a sequence that captures their inability to turn resistance into victories (3 wins in 37 league matches). The attack has rarely caught fire (25 goals in 37 games), while the defence has been repeatedly stretched (59 conceded in 37), making every point hard-earned and every lead fragile.

Roma, by contrast, are surging into the run-in with the form line “WWWWD”. Four straight wins followed by a draw reflect a side in full flow (70 points from 37 matches) and one that consistently out-scores opponents (57 goals scored, 31 conceded). Their balance between efficiency in front of goal and defensive control has given them the momentum of a genuine Champions League contender.

Head-to-Head Patterns

The recent history between these sides has swung back and forth, with home advantage often decisive. On 28 September 2025, Roma asserted their superiority at the Stadio Olimpico with a 2-0 victory over Verona in Serie A (Serie A, season 2025, September 2025). Earlier that year, on 19 April 2025, Roma again edged a tight contest 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico (Serie A, season 2024, April 2025), underlining their ability to grind out narrow home wins.

Verona, however, have shown they can hurt Roma in front of their own supporters. On 3 November 2024 at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona prevailed 3-2 in a wild encounter (Serie A, season 2024, November 2024), a reminder that this fixture in Verona can become chaotic and high-scoring when the hosts find rhythm and courage.

Tactical Preview

Verona’s season-long numbers point to a side that has leaned heavily on a three-at-the-back framework. The most-used system is a 3-5-2 (25 league matches), with alternative shapes like 3-5-1-1 and 3-4-2-1 appearing when they seek extra cover or an extra link between midfield and attack. The aim is to crowd central areas and shield a defence that has leaked 59 goals in 37 games, but the structure has not always translated into solidity. Players such as R. Gagliardini, a combative midfielder with 73 tackles and 54 interceptions plus 10 yellow cards, and J. Akpa Akpro, another hard-running midfielder with 39 tackles and 20 interceptions, embody a team that must rely on work-rate and aggression to stay competitive.

Out wide and in the back line, M. Frese has been one of Verona’s more reliable performers, contributing 79 tackles and 28 interceptions along with 8 yellow cards. Higher up, G. Orban offers a threat in transition with 7 goals and 2 assists, but Verona’s overall return of 25 league goals highlights how rarely they manage to sustain pressure. At home they have only 1 win in 18 matches, and despite the 3-5-2 platform, they often struggle to push enough bodies forward without leaving gaps behind.

Roma arrive with a clear identity built around a back three and aggressive wing play. The 3-4-2-1 has been their default in 29 league fixtures, supported at times by 3-4-1-2 and 3-5-2. This structure has delivered 57 goals in 37 matches and a strong defensive record of just 31 conceded. At the heart of their attack, D. Malen has been a decisive figure, scoring 13 goals and adding 2 assists in 17 appearances, with 29 shots on target from 46 attempts, making him the natural focal point against a fragile Verona back line.

Behind and around him, M. Soulé has provided both craft and work-rate from an attacking role, with 6 goals and 5 assists plus 45 key passes and 92 dribble attempts, indicating how often Roma look to him between the lines. In deeper zones, G. Mancini and Hermoso bring front-foot defending and distribution from the back, with Mancini contributing 4 goals and 2 assists along with 51 tackles, and Hermoso adding 3 goals, 2 assists and 36 tackles. On the flanks and in midfield, Z. Çelik and Wesley add bite and energy; Wesley in particular combines 5 goals with 53 tackles and one red card, underlining his aggressive style.

Roma must, however, make do without E. Bove, who is listed as a “Missing Fixture” for this match due to heart problems. Even so, their depth in midfield with options like B. Cristante and L. Pellegrini, plus the presence of creative forwards such as P. Dybala and M. Soulé, should allow them to maintain their 3-4-2-1 fluency. Expect Roma to dominate territory and possession, using their wing-backs to pin Verona back and their attacking triangle to probe the spaces between Verona’s midfield and defence.

Statistical Snapshot

• Competition: Serie A, season 2025 — 24 May 2026.
• Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona.
• Prediction: null — Winner : AS Roma.
• Win Probabilities: Home 10% / Draw 45% / Away 45%.
• Model: Hellas Verona 31.0% — AS Roma 69.0%.

Betting Verdict

The market is firmly behind Roma, with away odds clustered around 1.29–1.35, while Verona are out at roughly 9.00–12.00 and the draw around 4.70–5.50. That pricing reflects the gulf in form and quality: Roma sit fourth with 70 points and a “WWWWD” run, while Verona are nineteenth with just 21 points and a “DLDDL” sequence. Head-to-head trends also lean Roma’s way recently, with 2-0 and 1-0 home wins in 2025, even if Verona’s 3-2 success in November 2024 at this very ground warns against complacency. Taken together, the data supports the prediction of “Winner : AS Roma”, with Roma’s superior attack and defensive stability well placed to overcome Verona’s struggling side despite the inherent risks of a final-day away fixture.