Torino vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino welcome early pacesetters AS Roma to Stadio Olimpico di Torino on 14 September 2026 in a Serie A clash that already feels significant for both ends of the table. The hosts are looking to stabilise after a mixed start, while Roma arrive in Turin with a perfect record and serious title ambitions.

After three rounds, Torino sit 13th with three points from three games, having scored four and conceded five. Roma, by contrast, are top of the standings with nine points, a +9 goal difference and 10 goals scored, making this one of the standout fixtures of the round for anyone searching for Torino vs AS Roma prediction and betting tips.

Recent head-to-head meetings suggest this is rarely straightforward for Roma in terms of match flow, but their current form and attacking firepower led by Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala makes them clear favourites on paper. Torino, however, have already shown in 2025 that they can upset the Giallorossi, especially in cup settings.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Torino are 13th with 3 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 defeats, goal difference -1), while AS Roma are 1st with 9 points from 3 (3 wins, goal difference +9).
• In the most recent meeting on 18 January 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, AS Roma beat Torino 2-0 away.
• Roma’s 2026 Serie A campaign so far: 10 goals scored and just 1 conceded across 3 matches, with 2 clean sheets in that span.

Torino vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 1
• Points: 3 vs 9
• Goals For: 4 vs 10
• Goals Against: 5 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Torino 0, AS Roma 2 (current Serie A statistics)

Standings underline the contrast between these sides in the opening weeks. Torino have one win and two losses from three matches, with a negative goal difference and no clean sheets, suggesting a side still searching for balance at both ends of the pitch.

Roma, meanwhile, have been almost flawless. Three wins from three, 10 goals scored at an average of 3.3 per game and only one goal conceded (0.3 per match) highlight their dominance. They have already delivered a 4-0 home win and a 4-0 away win in this Serie A season, underlining both attacking depth and defensive solidity. Coming into this fixture as league leaders, anything less than a strong performance in Turin would be a disappointment for the visitors.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Matchups

C. Adams vs D. Malen

Che Adams has been Torino’s main attacking reference in the early stages of the campaign. The Scottish forward has scored 2 goals in 3 appearances, with 2 starts and 193 minutes played. He has been efficient in front of goal, turning all 3 of his shots on target into a 100% on-target rate and maintaining a solid passing contribution with 48 passes at 83% accuracy and 2 key passes.

On the other side, Donyell Malen has been one of the standout players in Serie A so far. For Roma, he has 5 goals in 3 appearances, all as a starter, across 198 minutes, supported by an excellent average rating of 8.17. With 11 shots and 7 on target, Malen combines volume with accuracy, and he also contributes outside the box with 42 passes at 80% accuracy, 3 key passes and 8 successful dribbles from 13 attempts. Torino’s back line must limit service into Malen; if he finds space between the lines or in transition, his current form suggests he will be decisive.

N. Vlašić vs P. Dybala

While Nikola Vlašić does not appear in the top scorers or assists lists, he remains a key creative profile in Torino’s squad list and will likely be tasked with linking midfield to attack. His ability to help Torino retain the ball and feed Adams and the other forwards will be crucial if the hosts are to disrupt Roma’s rhythm.

For Roma, Paulo Dybala is the creative hub. In 3 appearances and 253 minutes, he has already delivered 4 assists, leading the Serie A assists chart. His all-round contribution is elite: 164 passes with 14 key passes and 82% accuracy, plus 12 shots (4 on target) show how heavily Roma’s attacking play runs through him. Dybala’s 8.63 average rating reflects both his playmaking and his work rate, including 3 tackles and 1 block. Torino’s midfield and defensive structure must find a way to close his passing lanes; if Dybala dictates the tempo, Roma will create plenty of chances.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Torino and Roma have been competitive, often tight on the scoreline but with momentum swings. Roma have enjoyed several strong wins, yet Torino have also produced notable upsets, especially away from home.

• 18 January 2026: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 13 January 2026: AS Roma 2-3 Torino (Coppa Italia)
• 14 September 2025: AS Roma 0-1 Torino (Serie A)
• 25 May 2025: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 31 October 2024: AS Roma 1-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs AS Roma Prediction

Stats suggest a clear favourite in Roma, but the head-to-head history warns against writing Torino off. Roma arrive in Turin with three straight league wins, 10 goals scored and just one conceded. Their comparison indices are heavily in their favour across form, attack and defence, and the Poisson index leans entirely towards the visitors.

Torino’s own numbers show a side capable of scoring (1.3 goals per game) but vulnerable defensively (1.7 conceded per match). They have lost both of their last two games in the current form cycle and are yet to keep a clean sheet. However, they have beaten Roma twice in 2025, including a 3-2 win in Coppa Italia and a 1-0 league success in Rome, which should give them belief.

The prediction model gives Roma and the draw each a 50% share of the outcome spectrum, with Torino’s win probability effectively at 0%. Interpreting that, the expectation is Roma avoid defeat, with a strong lean towards an away victory. Given Roma’s defensive record and attacking firepower, a controlled but not runaway win looks likely.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-2 AS Roma

Torino Recent Form

Torino’s recent form in Serie A reads as one win and two defeats from their opening three fixtures. They have scored four goals and conceded five, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their last-three form cycle is negative, with back-to-back losses following an initial win. At home, they have played once, losing 2-1, while away they have one win and one defeat.

AS Roma Recent Form

Roma’s recent form is impeccable. They have three wins from three league matches, with 10 goals scored and only 1 conceded. Offensively, they average 3.3 goals per game, and defensively they allow just 0.3. They have produced a 4-0 home win and a 4-0 away win already this season, and they have kept two clean sheets. Their current winning streak stands at three matches in Serie A.

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Israel or Lucas Perri; Defenders: C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, E. Cömert, N. Patterson; Midfielders: R. Mandragora, Daniel Bragança, C. Casadei, N. Vlašić, G. Oristanio; Forwards: C. Adams, Z. Aboukhlal, G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Torino have several options across the back line, with experienced full-back C. Biraghi and centre-backs like Saúl Coco and E. Cömert likely to form the core of a back three or four. In midfield, R. Mandragora and Daniel Bragança offer control, while creative players such as N. Vlašić and G. Oristanio can support the forwards. In attack, Ivan Juric (or the current coach) has a deep pool: C. Adams is in form, while G. Simeone and D. Zapata provide physical presence and penalty-box threat. Expect a flexible shape that can switch between a back three and back four, as suggested by their use of 3-4-2-1, 5-3-2 and 3-1-4-2 so far this season.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar; Defenders: L. Balerdi, Hermoso, G. Mancini, N. Molina, E. Ndicka; Midfielders: B. Cristante, M. Koné, L. Pellegrini; Forwards: P. Dybala, D. Malen, M. Soulé.

Roma’s squad list points to a back three or back four with ball-playing defenders such as Hermoso and G. Mancini, supported by wing-backs or full-backs like N. Molina. In midfield, B. Cristante and M. Koné can provide balance, with L. Pellegrini adding creativity and late runs into the box. The front line is the real danger zone: P. Dybala as the primary creator, D. Malen as the central goal threat, and M. Soulé offering a mix of goals and assists. Roma have predominantly used 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-1-2 shapes this season, so expect a similar structure that maximises their attacking trio.

Torino Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are unbeaten with 3 wins from 3, a +9 goal difference and two clean sheets, while Torino have lost two of their three matches and conceded in every game. The prediction model assigns Roma and the draw a combined 100% share, with Torino at 0%, and Roma are clear favourites in the odds. The away win is priced between 1.54 and 1.65 across major bookmakers, implying an approximate probability range of 60.6% (odds 1.65) to 64.9% (odds 1.54).
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Roma’s matches have been high scoring on their side (10 for, 1 against), and Torino average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Both teams have gone over the 1.5 goals line in all three of their league fixtures according to the under/over records. The market advice also points towards Roma and +1.5 goals. While specific over/under odds are not listed, this is a strong statistical angle aligned with both teams’ early-season profiles.
• Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime (via player goal markets where available). Malen has 5 goals in 3 appearances, with strong shot volume (11 total, 7 on target) and a central role in Roma’s attack. Supported by P. Dybala’s 4 assists and 14 key passes, Malen should get multiple chances. Match-winner odds for Roma sit around 1.54–1.65, so Malen’s anytime scorer price is likely to offer a higher but still realistic return, making him an appealing value angle built on clear statistical dominance.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.