Torino vs Juventus Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino host Juventus at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino in Turin on 24 May 2026 in the final round of Serie A’s Regular Season - 38. It is a Derby della Mole with very different stakes for each side: Torino are safely in mid-table, while Juventus are protecting a European spot and looking to finish with authority.

The season record shows Torino sitting 12th on 44 points after 37 matches, with a negative goal difference of -19. Survival is not in question, but pride certainly is, especially against their city rivals. Juventus arrive in Turin in 6th place on 68 points, already in the “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” zone and aiming to lock in that position or even climb, depending on other results.

From a betting perspective, this Torino vs Juventus prediction leans heavily towards the visitors. Juventus have been far more consistent across the campaign, while Torino’s recent league form has been patchy. Add in Juventus’ strong defensive numbers and their historical edge in this fixture, and the derby narrative is as much about form and structure as it is about local bragging rights.

Torino vs Juventus Key Stats

• Torino are 12th with 44 points from 37 games, scoring 42 and conceding 61 in Serie A.
• The last three derbies in Turin’s top flight at the Allianz Stadium have seen Juventus beat Torino 2-0 on 9 November 2024 and 2-0 on 7 October 2023, plus a 0-0 draw on 8 November 2025.
• Juventus average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per league match this season, with 16 clean sheets in Serie A.

Torino vs Juventus — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 6
• Points: 44 vs 68
• Goals For: 42 vs 59
• Goals Against: 61 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: Torino 12 vs Juventus 16

Across 37 league fixtures, Torino have put together 12 wins, 8 draws and 17 defeats, with 42 goals scored and 61 conceded. That averages out at 1.1 goals for and 1.6 against per game, underlining why they sit in the bottom half. Their home record (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, 25 scored, 27 conceded) is respectable but not intimidating.

Juventus, by contrast, have 19 wins, 11 draws and only 7 defeats from 37 matches. They have scored 59 goals and conceded just 32, delivering one of the most balanced profiles in the division. Away from home they have 9 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 24 scored and 16 conceded, suggesting a side that travels well and rarely gets exposed defensively. The gap in points, goal difference and defensive solidity all point towards Juventus having a clear edge going into this derby.

Torino vs Juventus Key Matchups

G. Simeone vs K. Yıldız

Giovanni Pablo Simeone has been Torino’s standout attacking threat in Serie A. He has 11 goals in 31 appearances, starting 26 times and logging 2,161 minutes. With 58 shots and 28 on target, he averages close to two shots per game and almost one on target, underlining how central he is to Torino’s attacking output. His 22 key passes and 39 fouls drawn further highlight his role as both finisher and focal point.

Kenan Yıldız has emerged as one of Juventus’ most influential attacking players. In 36 appearances (33 starts, 2,838 minutes), he has scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists. His creative numbers are elite: 64 shots (40 on target), 1,223 passes with 76 key passes, and an 84% pass accuracy. He also attempts 149 dribbles with 78 successes, making him a constant threat between the lines. This matchup pits Simeone’s penalty-box instincts against Yıldız’s all-round attacking influence; whichever player finds more space could tilt the derby.

W. McKennie vs M. Locatelli

Weston McKennie offers Juventus a powerful two-way presence in midfield. He has 5 goals and 5 assists in 35 league appearances, starting 31 times and playing 2,751 minutes. With 36 shots (16 on target), 1,163 passes and 47 key passes, plus 39 tackles and 24 interceptions, he contributes in every phase. His 5 yellow cards underline his combative style.

Behind him, Manuel Locatelli anchors the midfield. In 35 appearances (all starts, 2,915 minutes), he has 1 goal and 2 assists but his influence is defined by control and ball-winning. He has completed 2,720 passes with 46 key passes at 88% accuracy, alongside 99 tackles, 23 blocks and 38 interceptions. His 9 yellow cards show how often he is involved in breaking up play. McKennie’s box-to-box energy combined with Locatelli’s distribution and defensive work will be crucial in stifling Torino’s midfield runners and limiting service into Simeone.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The Derby della Mole has been dominated by Juventus in recent years, though Torino have managed to keep several clashes tight. Recent meetings have often been low scoring, with Juventus’ defensive structure regularly frustrating their neighbours. Below are the most recent Serie A encounters, all in the league and listed in full to give a clear picture of the matchup.

• 8 November 2025: Juventus 0-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 11 January 2025: Torino 1-1 Juventus (Serie A)
• 9 November 2024: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 13 April 2024: Torino 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)
• 7 October 2023: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Evidence from this campaign points strongly towards Juventus having the upper hand. They boast a far superior defensive record, conceding 32 goals to Torino’s 61, and have collected 24 more points. Their 16 clean sheets indicate that they are well-equipped to handle Torino’s attack, which averages just 1.1 goals per match. Torino’s recent league form of “LWLDD” also suggests inconsistency heading into the finale.

The head-to-head pattern reinforces the expectation of a tight, low-scoring derby, with three of the last five meetings ending level and two Juventus wins by 2-0. The prediction model gives Juventus and the draw equal weight at 45% each, with Torino down at 10%, and the advice leans towards a double chance of draw or Juventus. With that in mind, a narrow Juventus win in a controlled, cagey contest looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-1 Juventus

Torino League Form

LWLDD

Juventus League Form

LWDDW

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

F. Israel; C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, G. Maripán, N. Nkounkou; A. Tamèze, I. Ilić, C. Casadei; N. Vlašić; G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Torino have predominantly used three-at-the-back structures this season, with 3-5-2 their most frequent shape, supported by variants like 3-4-1-2 and 3-4-2-1. That suggests a back three built around experienced defenders such as G. Maripán and Saúl Coco, with wing-backs like C. Biraghi and N. Nkounkou providing width. In midfield, A. Tamèze and I. Ilić can offer balance, while N. Vlašić operates between the lines behind a strike partnership featuring G. Simeone and D. Zapata. The emphasis will likely be on compactness, transitions and using Simeone’s movement to exploit any space behind Juventus’ defensive line.

Juventus Possible Starting Lineup

M. Di Gregorio; Bremer, F. Gatti, A. Cambiaso; E. Holm, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, F. Kostić; K. Yıldız; D. Vlahović, J. David.

Juventus have favoured a 3-4-2-1 shape in 23 league matches, with occasional switches to back-four systems like 4-2-3-1. A back three marshalled by Bremer and F. Gatti, with A. Cambiaso able to step into wide or hybrid roles, underpins their strong defensive record. In midfield, M. Locatelli’s passing range and defensive work combine with W. McKennie’s box-to-box energy. Out wide, E. Holm and F. Kostić can stretch Torino, while K. Yıldız operates as the primary creative hub behind a powerful front line including D. Vlahović and J. David. This structure allows Juventus to control territory and tempo while remaining solid without the ball.

Torino Team News

Torino have at least one confirmed absentee for this derby, with a forward option ruled out through injury. Otherwise, there are no further confirmed issues listed, suggesting a largely stable squad for the visit of Juventus.

Juventus Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• Zannetos Savva — Reason: Jumpers knee

Juventus:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs Juventus

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Juventus to win. Juventus hold 68 points to Torino’s 44, with a far better goal difference (27 vs -19) and a prediction edge of 45% for the away side compared to just 10% for Torino. The advice points to “Double chance: draw or Juventus”, but given Juventus’ superior form and defensive record, the straight away win appeals. Odds for an away victory are around 1.38–1.45 with major bookmakers (e.g. 1.38 at Unibet, 1.40 at William Hill and Betfair, 1.45 at 1xBet).
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Torino average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Juventus concede only 0.9 on average. Recent derbies have been tight: three of the last five meetings ended 0-0, 1-1 and 0-0. The predictions goals indicators lean towards a low-scoring contest, and Juventus’ 16 clean sheets support an unders angle. Look to combine under 2.5 goals with a cautious stake; use the match-winner prices as a reference for the expected tightness of the game.
• Value Tip: Juventus win to nil. Juventus’ defensive metrics (32 goals conceded in 37 games, 16 clean sheets) and Torino’s modest attack suggest a realistic chance of the visitors shutting out their hosts. H2H history backs this up, with Juventus winning 2-0 on 9 November 2024 and 2-0 on 7 October 2023. With creative threats like K. Yıldız and the work rate of midfielders such as M. Locatelli and W. McKennie, Juventus can control the game and limit Torino’s chances. Expect a price notably higher than the straight away win, offering potential value for those seeking a bigger return.

How to Watch Torino vs Juventus

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.