Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Chicago Red Stars W welcome San Diego Wave W to SeatGeek Stadium on 31 May 2026 in NWSL Women Group Stage action, with the two sides arriving in sharply contrasting positions. Chicago sit bottom of the table in 15th place with 9 points from 11 matches, while San Diego are pushing at the top end in 3rd on 22 points from 12 games and currently occupying a “Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)” spot.

For Chicago, this feels like a damage-limitation assignment as much as an opportunity. They have lost 8 of their 11 league fixtures, scoring just 5 goals and conceding 22. At home, SeatGeek Stadium has been slightly kinder (2 wins from 5), but they face a San Diego side that has already beaten them 2-0 this season on 29 March 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium in the Group Stage.

San Diego Wave W, by contrast, travel with one of the best records in the league. Seven wins from 12, a positive goal difference of +4 (17 scored, 13 conceded) and a strong away return of 4 wins from 6 underline why many NWSL betting tips are siding with the visitors. With the playoff positions in sight and the head-to-head trend in their favour, this is a chance for San Diego to consolidate their top-three status.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Stats

• Chicago Red Stars W are 15th with 9 points from 11 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses, 5 goals for, 22 against).
• San Diego Wave W beat Chicago Red Stars W 2-0 at Snapdragon Stadium in the NWSL Women Group Stage on 29 March 2026.
• Chicago average just 0.5 goals scored per match this season, while conceding 2.0 per game across 11 fixtures.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 15 vs 3
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 5 vs 17
• Goals Against: 22 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Red Stars W 2; San Diego Wave W 2

The standings underline the gulf between the sides. Chicago’s 5 goals from 11 matches is the output of a team struggling badly in the final third, and their -17 goal difference is driven by a defence conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. Their league form string of “WLLLL” shows one recent win but four defeats around it, suggesting inconsistency and fragility.

San Diego Wave W, meanwhile, have been far more balanced. With 17 goals scored and only 13 conceded over 12 fixtures, they combine a functional attack with a relatively solid defence. Their league form of “LDWWL” hints at some recent bumps, but with 4 away wins from 6 and a positive away goal difference (10 scored, 8 conceded), they look well equipped to exploit Chicago’s vulnerabilities, especially as the visitors already sit in a confirmed playoff-qualifying zone.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Matchups

Chicago attacking unit vs Dudinha

Chicago do not have any players listed among the league’s top scorers or assist providers, which reflects their tally of just 5 goals all season. Their challenge will be to collectively find a way through a San Diego side marshalled in part by one of the league’s standout attacking threats, Dudinha. For San Diego, the 20-year-old attacker has been central to their offensive output: she has 4 goals and 4 assists in 12 appearances, starting every match and logging 856 minutes. With 17 shots (9 on target), 197 passes and 15 key passes, plus 26 successful dribbles from 42 attempts, she offers both end product and ball progression. Chicago’s back line, which concedes an average of 2.3 goals per game away but 1.6 at home, will have to be at its best to prevent Dudinha from dictating the game between the lines and in the final third.

Chicago midfield vs L. E. Godfrey

In midfield, Chicago’s engine room will have to cope with the influence of L. E. Godfrey, who has also scored 4 goals and added 2 assists for San Diego across 12 appearances (8 starts). Godfrey has contributed 216 passes with 17 key passes and an impressive 80% accuracy, underlining her ability to control tempo and create. With 10 total shots (9 on target), she is also a genuine goal threat arriving from midfield. For a Chicago side that has failed to score in 8 of their 11 league matches and struggles to retain possession under pressure, limiting Godfrey’s time on the ball will be crucial if they are to avoid being overrun and pinned back in their own half.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head record has been competitive in recent seasons, but San Diego Wave W have held the upper hand overall. The sides have met frequently in NWSL Women play since 2022, with San Diego winning the majority of those encounters while Chicago have managed a handful of notable victories, particularly at home.

• 29 March 2026: San Diego Wave W 2-0 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Group Stage)
• 19 October 2025: San Diego Wave W 6-1 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 25)
• 26 April 2025: Chicago Red Stars W 0-3 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 6)
• 22 September 2024: Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 16)
• 29 June 2024: San Diego Wave W 0-3 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 11)

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction

Everything points towards San Diego Wave W having the edge. Chicago’s league campaign has been undermined by a blunt attack and porous defence, reflected in their low scoring rate and high concession average. Their recent form “WLLLL” suggests they can occasionally raise their level, but sustaining it against a top-three side is another matter. San Diego, despite the “LDWWL” form line, still boast a strong away record and have already beaten Chicago 2-0 this term.

The prediction metrics split the outcome evenly between draw and away win (50% each), with 0% for a home victory, and the advice leans towards “Double chance: draw or San Diego Wave W”. That, combined with San Diego’s superior attacking numbers and head-to-head dominance in the last three meetings (aggregate 11-1 in their favour), suggests the visitors should avoid defeat and are more likely to take all three points.

Predicted Score: Chicago Red Stars W 1-2 San Diego Wave W

Chicago Red Stars W League Form

WLLLL

San Diego Wave W League Form

LDWWL

Chicago Red Stars W Possible Starting Lineup

K. Lund; M. Alozie, S. Cary, K. Hendrich, S. Staab; J. Grosso, B. Franklin, B. Pinto, Maitane López; J. Huitema, I. Chacón.

Chicago have typically used a back four this season, often in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 structure, and the personnel listed reflect a likely blend of experience and youth from their squad list. With only 5 goals scored in 11 matches and 8 clean sheets failed, the emphasis will be on tightening the defensive unit around Hendrich and Staab while hoping that creative midfielders like Pinto and Maitane López can provide service to forwards such as Huitema and Chacón. Given the lack of reported injuries, the coach has scope to rotate, but the tactical priority should be compactness and quick transitions rather than expansive possession play.

San Diego Wave W Possible Starting Lineup

Luisa Agudelo; P. Morroni, K. McNabb, K. Pickett, N. Harrison; L. E. Godfrey, K. Dali, L. Fazer; Dudinha, Gabi Portilho, A. Leon.

San Diego have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 across 12 matches, and the above XI mirrors that flexibility, featuring a solid defensive core and a technically gifted midfield. With both Dudinha and Godfrey key to their attacking patterns, San Diego can build through the thirds and exploit wide areas via Morroni and Portilho. Their away record of 4 wins from 6 and only 8 goals conceded suggests a side comfortable playing on the front foot but also capable of managing games when ahead.

Chicago Red Stars W Team News

No significant absences reported.

San Diego Wave W Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Red Stars W:

• None reported.

San Diego Wave W:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back San Diego Wave W in the match winner market. Predictions give 0% to a home win, with 50% each for draw and away victory and an explicit “Win or draw” edge for San Diego. The away side are 3rd with 22 points and a +4 goal difference, while Chicago are 15th with a -17 goal difference. Odds around 1.36–1.45 on San Diego (e.g. 1.36 with Marathonbet or Betfair, 1.40 with William Hill and Pinnacle, 1.45 with Betano) look justified given the gulf in quality and form.
• Goals Tip: Consider San Diego Wave W to score at least once rather than a high total goals line. Chicago concede 2.0 goals per game on average and San Diego score 1.4 per match, but Chicago’s attack is very weak at 0.5 goals per game, which could limit a big total. With the away side having scored 17 in 12 and already winning 2-0 in the last meeting, pairing an away win with a modest goal count (such as an away win in a multi-goal band) is a sensible angle, using the short away odds (1.36–1.45) as a base in builders.
• Value Tip: Double chance: draw or San Diego Wave W. The prediction advice specifically highlights “Double chance : draw or San Diego Wave W”, and the comparison metrics give San Diego 71.0% overall edge. Given Chicago’s “WLLLL” league form and San Diego’s strong away record, backing San Diego not to lose offers a safer angle that can be combined with other markets. With away prices as low as 1.36, the double-chance line should be shorter but still attractive in accumulators, leveraging San Diego’s attacking threats from Dudinha and L. E. Godfrey.

How to Watch Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.