Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Selhurst Park hosts a high-stakes Premier League finale as Crystal Palace welcome title-chasing Arsenal to London. With referee F. Hallam in charge and kick-off set for 24 May 2026, this clash pits a Palace side looking to close out a difficult campaign on a positive note against an Arsenal team sitting at the summit and already guaranteed a Champions League league-phase berth.

Crystal Palace come into the final round in 15th place on 45 points, safely clear of the drop but with little margin for error after a run of inconsistent results. Their goal difference of -9 from 40 scored and 49 conceded underlines a season where defensive lapses have frequently undermined their efforts. The hosts will still want to make a statement against one of the division’s elite and give the Selhurst Park crowd a result to savour.

Arsenal arrive top of the table on 82 points after 37 matches, boasting 25 wins and the league’s most imposing balance between attack and defence: 69 goals scored and only 26 conceded. Stats suggest this Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction leans heavily towards the visitors, but the final day can be unpredictable and Palace have enough attacking threat to ask questions if Arsenal’s focus wavers.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Stats

• Crystal Palace sit 15th with 45 points from 37 games, scoring 40 and conceding 49 in the Premier League.
• Arsenal have dominated recent meetings, including a 5-1 away win at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on 21 December 2024.
• Arsenal average 1.9 goals per league game this season, while Palace concede 1.3 per match on average.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 15 vs 1
• Points: 45 vs 82
• Goals For: 40 vs 69
• Goals Against: 49 vs 26
• Clean Sheets: Crystal Palace 12 vs Arsenal 19

The season record shows a clear gap between these sides. Palace’s 11 wins, 12 draws and 14 defeats from 37 matches reflect a mid-table team that has struggled for consistency, particularly at home where they have won just 4 of 18 league games and scored only 18 times. Their negative goal difference and modest scoring rate of 1.1 goals per game underline why they have hovered in the lower half of the table.

Arsenal, by contrast, have put together a title-worthy campaign. With 25 wins and just 5 losses, they have combined a potent attack with a miserly defence. They have been strong both at the Emirates and on the road, winning 10 of 18 away fixtures with 28 goals scored and only 15 conceded. Their 19 clean sheets overall highlight a side that controls games and rarely allows opponents many clear chances, a significant factor in this Crystal Palace vs Arsenal preview.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Matchups

J. Mateta vs V. Gyökeres

Jean-Philippe Mateta has been Crystal Palace’s primary goal threat in the league, scoring 11 goals in 31 appearances. He has started 25 of those matches, logging 2209 minutes and showing a real presence up front with 55 shots and 31 on target. His physical profile and aerial ability are backed up by 289 duels contested and 110 won, while he has also converted 4 penalties from 4 attempts.

For Arsenal, Viktor Gyökeres has led the line effectively, netting 14 goals in 35 appearances. Despite starting only 26 times and playing 2238 minutes, he has been efficient with 40 shots and 22 on target, and has also scored 3 penalties. His contribution goes beyond goals, adding 1 assist and drawing 31 fouls, which helps Arsenal sustain pressure in the final third. The battle between Mateta’s ability to punish rare Palace chances and Gyökeres’ capacity to finish off Arsenal’s flowing attacks will be central to any Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction.

L. Trossard vs M. Lacroix

Leandro Trossard has been one of Arsenal’s key creative outlets, contributing 6 goals and 6 assists in 31 league appearances. With 757 passes at 77% accuracy and 36 key passes, he is integral to breaking down compact defences. His 56 dribble attempts with 25 successes and 39 fouls drawn show how often he commits defenders in the final third.

Maxence Lacroix anchors the Palace back line and will be tasked with containing players like Trossard. He has played every minute in 35 appearances, contributing 1 goal and 2 assists from defence. More importantly, he has made 60 tackles, 18 blocks and 45 interceptions, and won 204 of 333 duels, underlining his defensive importance. However, his 4 yellow cards and 1 red card hint at a tendency to be aggressive in challenges, something Arsenal’s nimble attackers could exploit in and around the box.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings have been heavily tilted in Arsenal’s favour, with the Gunners consistently finding ways to win both home and away. Across the last five clashes listed below, Arsenal have recorded four victories and one draw.

• 23 December 2025: Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace (League Cup – Arsenal won on penalties 8-7)
• 26 October 2025: Arsenal 1-0 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
• 23 April 2025: Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
• 21 December 2024: Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal (Premier League)
• 18 December 2024: Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace (League Cup)

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

Analysis points to a game where Arsenal control possession and territory, while Palace look to stay compact and strike through Mateta and their pace in transition. Palace’s recent defensive record is worrying: in their last five league matches they have conceded 13 goals at an average of 2.6 per game, while scoring just 5. Arsenal, by contrast, have taken 80% of the points available in their last five, scoring 7 and conceding only 2.

The predictive metrics give Arsenal a 45% chance of victory and the draw also at 45%, with Palace rated at just 10%. With a strong defensive platform, 19 clean sheets this league campaign, and significantly superior attacking numbers, Arsenal are well placed to avoid defeat at minimum. Palace’s home scoring rate of 1.0 per game against Arsenal’s defensive average of 0.7 conceded suggests the visitors can keep them to a low total, while Arsenal’s 1.9 goals per game overall should eventually tell.

Predicted Score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal

Crystal Palace League Form

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Arsenal League Form

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Crystal Palace Possible Starting Lineup

W. Benítez; N. Clyne, M. Lacroix, C. Richards, B. Sosa; J. Lerma, D. Kamada, W. Hughes, A. Wharton; J. Mateta, B. Johnson

Palace have largely favoured a back three or flexible defensive structures this season, often lining up in a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3. With M. Lacroix an ever-present at the heart of defence and experienced options like N. Clyne and B. Sosa available, they can switch between a back three and back four depending on Arsenal’s shape. In midfield, the likes of J. Lerma, D. Kamada and W. Hughes offer industry and ball retention, while A. Wharton provides youthful energy. Up front, J. Mateta is the focal point, supported by attackers such as B. Johnson and Yeremy Pino from the wider areas.

Arsenal Possible Starting Lineup

David Raya; B. White, W. Saliba, R. Calafiori, P. Hincapié; D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, Mikel Merino; B. Saka, V. Gyökeres, L. Trossard

Arsenal have alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, and both shapes suit their current squad profile. David Raya is the likely starter in goal, protected by a back four built around W. Saliba and one of R. Calafiori or P. Hincapié. In midfield, D. Rice anchors play, with M. Ødegaard and Mikel Merino providing progression and creativity between the lines. The front line is packed with end product and invention: B. Saka’s 7 goals and 5 assists, L. Trossard’s 6 goals and 6 assists, and V. Gyökeres’ 14 goals give Arsenal multiple routes to goal.

Crystal Palace Team News

No significant absences reported.

Arsenal Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Crystal Palace:

• None reported.

Arsenal:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Arsenal in the Match Winner market. With Arsenal holding a 77.5% overall edge in the comparison metrics and the prediction favouring “double chance: draw or Arsenal”, siding with the visitors makes sense. Among the available prices, Bet365 offer around 1.80 on an away win, while Unibet go as low as 1.71 and 1xBet as high as 1.86, giving punters a range of options.
• Goals Tip: Arsenal’s attack averages 1.9 goals per game, while Palace concede 1.3 on average and have shipped 13 in their last five league outings. Recent head-to-heads have seen scorelines like 5-1 and 3-2, indicating open contests. A goals-based angle such as backing a high-scoring Arsenal win pairs well with the away win odds around 1.80 at Bet365 or 1.83 at William Hill and Marathonbet, though specific over/under prices are not listed here.
• Value Tip: Focusing on Arsenal’s attacking stars offers value. V. Gyökeres (14 league goals) and B. Saka (7 goals, 5 assists) spearhead a front line that regularly breaks down mid-table defences. With Palace’s discipline occasionally an issue — M. Lacroix has already collected a red card — Arsenal’s forwards are well placed to exploit any defensive errors. Combining an Arsenal win with their attacking edge at the best available away prices (for example, 1.86 at 1xBet or 1.83 at William Hill and Pinnacle) looks a solid value angle.

How to Watch Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.