Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Craven Cottage hosts a finely poised final-day Premier League clash as Fulham welcome Newcastle on 24 May 2026. With both sides locked on 49 points after 37 matches, this is a straight shootout for a potential top-half finish and important prize-money positioning. The historic London venue should provide a lively backdrop as supporters look for a positive end to the campaign.

Fulham arrive in 13th place with 49 points, a negative goal difference of -6 and a solid home record that has underpinned their safety. Newcastle sit 11th, also on 49 points but with a neutral goal difference of 0, reflecting a more potent attack but a similarly leaky defence. With just one round left in the Premier League regular season, both teams have clear incentive to go for the win rather than settle for mid-table anonymity.

Stats suggest a tight, tactical encounter between two sides whose seasons have mirrored each other: 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 defeats apiece. However, Newcastle’s recent head-to-head edge and stronger attacking metrics give this match an extra layer of intrigue for fans and bettors alike, particularly for those searching for Fulham vs Newcastle predictions and value in the match winner market.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Stats

• Both Fulham and Newcastle have identical league records of 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses from 37 matches, but Newcastle have scored 53 goals to Fulham’s 45.
• Newcastle have won three of the last four meetings in all competitions, including a 2-1 League Cup victory on 17 December 2025 at St James' Park.
• Fulham’s league matches have gone over 1.5 goals in only 12 of 37 fixtures, while Newcastle have gone over 1.5 in 17 of 37, underlining a more conservative Fulham profile versus a slightly more open Newcastle side.

Fulham vs Newcastle — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 11
• Points: 49 vs 49
• Goals For: 45 vs 53
• Goals Against: 51 vs 53
• Clean Sheets: Fulham 8 vs Newcastle 8

The season record shows two remarkably similar campaigns. Fulham, 13th on 49 points, have relied heavily on their home form: 10 wins from 18 at Craven Cottage, with 28 goals scored and only 20 conceded. Newcastle, 11th also on 49 points, have been stronger at St. James’ Park but less convincing on the road, winning just 4 of 18 away games and scoring 17 while conceding 23.

Both sides have identical overall clean sheet tallies (8 each), and both concede an average of 1.4 goals per match across the league programme. The key difference is in attack: Newcastle’s 53 goals (1.4 per game) outstrip Fulham’s 45 (1.2 per game), thanks largely to more productive home performances. With nothing separating them in the table, this final round could determine who finishes as the “best of the rest” in mid-table.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Matchups

H. Wilson vs Bruno Guimarães

Fulham’s standout attacking threat is H. Wilson, who has delivered 10 goals and 6 assists in 35 Premier League appearances. Operating primarily as an advanced midfielder or wide attacker, he has produced 50 shots with 25 on target and created 38 key passes from 769 total passes at 81% accuracy. His 7 yellow cards underline how involved he is in both phases of play.

Newcastle’s creative heartbeat is Bruno Guimarães. In 28 league appearances, he has scored 9 goals and provided 5 assists, combining goal threat with high-volume distribution. He has attempted 35 shots with 22 on target and completed 1404 passes at 86% accuracy, including 46 key passes. Defensively, 62 tackles and 15 interceptions show his all-round influence. This midfield duel will be crucial: if Wilson can find pockets between the lines, Fulham’s attack comes alive; if Bruno dictates tempo, Newcastle’s superior attacking metrics should tell.

J. Andersen vs A. Gordon

At the back, Fulham’s J. Andersen is central to their structure. Across 33 appearances and 2884 minutes, he has contributed 45 tackles, 19 blocks and 36 interceptions, alongside 2275 passes at 86% accuracy. He also carries a disciplinary edge with 7 yellow cards and 1 red, highlighting an aggressive defensive style that can both break up play and invite risk.

For Newcastle, A. Gordon offers direct running and end product from the front line. In 26 appearances (24 starts), he has 6 goals and 2 assists, with 37 shots (20 on target) and 26 key passes from 517 total passes at 81% accuracy. His 71 dribble attempts with 33 successful underline his one-v-one threat. Andersen’s ability to read Gordon’s movement and avoid being isolated will be a decisive subplot, especially with Newcastle’s tendency to score late — 13 of their league goals have come in the 76–90 minute window.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings have generally favoured Newcastle, particularly at St. James’ Park, though Fulham have shown they can strike back, especially at Craven Cottage. The pattern is of competitive but often decisive scorelines rather than stalemates.

• 17 December 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (League Cup)
• 25 October 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• 1 February 2025: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham (Premier League)
• 21 September 2024: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
• 6 April 2024: Fulham 0-1 Newcastle (Premier League)

Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest. Newcastle edge the overall comparison metrics with 55.5% to Fulham’s 44.5%, and the predictive outlook labels Newcastle as the more likely winner, albeit with a “win or draw” safety angle. The probability split of 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away underlines how much the visitors are favoured to avoid defeat rather than win outright.

Fulham’s strong home record and their ability to score late — 29.55% of their league goals arrive between 76–90 minutes — suggest they will create moments, particularly through H. Wilson. However, Newcastle’s superior attacking profile, better recent last-five metrics (1.6 goals for per game versus Fulham’s 0.4), and consistent edge in the head-to-head series tilt this towards the visitors taking at least a point. With the goals projections listed as conservative and both teams’ under/over records skewing to low-scoring games, a tight draw looks plausible.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle

Fulham League Form

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Newcastle League Form

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Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

B. Leno; T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; S. Lukić, H. Reed; H. Wilson, E. Smith Rowe, A. Iwobi; R. Jiménez

Fulham have predominantly used a 4-2-3-1 structure this season, and the personnel available suit that shape. B. Leno offers experience in goal, with J. Andersen marshalling a back line that has kept 8 clean sheets in the league. In midfield, a double pivot built around S. Lukić and H. Reed would provide balance, allowing H. Wilson to operate as the main creative outlet in the attacking band. With 10 goals and 6 assists, Wilson is likely to be the focal point, supported by the technical quality of E. Smith Rowe and A. Iwobi, while R. Jiménez or Rodrigo Muniz can lead the line as a penalty-box presence.

Newcastle Possible Starting Lineup

N. Pope; K. Trippier, F. Schär, S. Botman, D. Burn; Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, J. Willock; A. Gordon, Y. Wissa, H. Barnes

Newcastle’s most-used system has been a 4-3-3, reflected in their season statistics. At the back, the physical presence of D. Burn and S. Botman, plus the distribution of F. Schär and K. Trippier, underpins their build-up. In midfield, Bruno Guimarães is the hub, with Joelinton adding physicality and J. Willock providing vertical runs. Up front, the pace and dribbling of A. Gordon, combined with the direct threat of H. Barnes and Y. Wissa, align with Newcastle’s strong attacking numbers, particularly in the final quarter of matches where they score heavily late on.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Newcastle Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Fulham:

• None reported.

Newcastle:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Fulham vs Newcastle

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Newcastle in the double chance market (draw or away). The prediction probabilities give Fulham just 10% to win, with 45% each for draw and away, and the advice explicitly leans to “draw or Newcastle”. In the match winner market, away prices are around 2.25–2.36 (e.g. 2.25 at 10Bet and Bet365, 2.32 at Pinnacle, 2.36 at 1xBet), indicating bookmakers also rate Newcastle as slight favourites.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals appeals. Fulham have gone over 2.5 in only 6 of 37 league matches, while Newcastle have gone over 2.5 in just 5 of 37. The predicted goals lines for both teams are set conservatively, and several recent H2H meetings have been tight (1-0, 2-1 scorelines). Look to under-goals markets with prices derived from the same books that rate the match as closely fought.
• Value Tip: Consider a card-focused angle around Newcastle’s combative players. D. Burn and Joelinton have each collected 10 yellow cards in league play, and Fulham’s J. Andersen and H. Wilson also carry notable card counts (7 yellows each, plus a red for Andersen). In a tense final-day fixture, player card markets could offer value alongside the main match winner odds, which price Fulham at up to 2.99 (1xBet) and Newcastle around 2.25–2.36.

How to Watch Fulham vs Newcastle

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.